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13 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Random Phenomenon
A phenomenon is random if we know what outcomes could happen, but not which particular values will happen.
Probability
The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1 that reports the likelihood of the event's occurrence. A probability can be derived from equally likely outcomes, from the long-run relative frequency of the event's occurrence, or from known probabilities. We write P(A) for the probability of the event A.
Trial
A single attempt or realization of a random phenomenon.
Outcome
The outcome of a trial is the value measured, observed, or reported for an individual instance of that trial.
Event
A collection of outcomes. Usually, we identify events so that we can attach probabilities to them. We denote these events with bold capital letters such as A, B, or C.
Independence (informally)
Two events are independent if knowing whether one event occurs does not alter the probability that the other event occurs.
Law of Large Numbers
The Law of Large Numbers states that the long-run relative frequency of repeated independent events settles down to the true relative frequency as the number of trials increases.
"Something Has to Happen Rule"
The sum of the probabilities of all possible outcomes must be 1.
Complement Rule
The probability of an event occurring is 1 minus the probability that it doesn't occur.

P(A) = 1 - P(Ac)
Disjoint (Mutually exclusive)
Two events are disjoint if they share no outcomes in common. If A and B are disjoint, then knowing that A occurs tells us that B cannot occur. Disjoint events are also called "mutually exclusive."
Addition Rule
If A and B are disjoint events, then the probability of A or B is:

P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B).
Legitimate probability assignment
An assignment of probabilities to outcomes is legitimate is
-each probability is between 0 and 1 (inclusive).
-the sum of the probabilities is 1.
Multiplication Rule
If A and B are independent events, then the probability of A and B is:

P(A and B) = P(A) X P(B)