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48 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
off-premises sources of data
practice database, diagnostic labs, dairy/packing plant, feed supply, drug supply
on-premises sources of data
record system, interview, collected by DVM
2 types of data
descriptive, quantitative
T/F: Collecting data is valuable no matter what
Collecting data that are NOT used is a WASTE of time, effort, money, and you will lose the farmer's cooperation!
Costs of data sampling
collection supplies, labor, shipping, diagnostic work-up, results
3 costly things concerning data
sampling, absent/insufficient, inaccurate
3 goals of data collection
moitor/review of health-related activities, problem/outbreak investigation, decision-making
6 areas of decision-making that are data dependent
about individual animals, groups, monitoring, herd investigation, food safety & quality, research
6 processes involved in data recording
data collection & entry, management & storage, analysis & evaluation
What is an outbreak per the OIE?
an identified occurrence of disease involving one or more animals in an agricultural establishment, breeding establishment or premises, including all buildings and adjoining premises where animals are present.
10 steps of outbreak investigations
Establish/verify diagnosis and presence of outbreak/performance problem, define a case, determine magnitude, temporal patterns, spatial patterns, animal patterns, analyze data, develop working hypothesis, test hypothesis, report
Types of sampling
Non-random, random
2 types of non-random sampling
convenience, purposive
5 types of random sampling
simple, systemic, stratified, cluster, multistage
risk =
cumulative incidence, incidence risk
risk difference =
attributable risk = risk for animals with a particular factor minus risk for animals without that factor
no attributable risk =
0
risk ratio =
relative risk = risk for animals with a factor ÷ risk for animals without that factor
no relative risk =
1
6 questions concerning outbreak investigations
Who has the problem? What is the problem? What is the source/cause of the problem? Can we do something about it? Can we prevent it?
incidence risk =
how likely it is that animals on that farm will be affected
What is the validity of the sampling theory based on?
the assumption that an aggregate of units can be divided into representative subunits, and that characteristics of the aggregate can be estimated from the subunits.
What must a case definition do?
Exclude non-cases
What does the magnitude of an outbreak/problem describe?
Attack risk or production loss, compared to expected assuming all other factors remain constant.
How is the magnitude of a problem/outbreak determined?
Prevalence of disease, incidence risk
prevalence =
how much?
temporal patterns that may affect a problem/outbreak
epidemic curve, season, climate factors, changes in management, additions to herd/flock/kennel, nutritional changes, pesticide spray, etc.
spacial patterns that affect a problem/outbreak
where, direction of spread, physical barriers
Animal patterns that affect a problem/outbreak
animal-related determinants, potential for exposure, groups
examples of animal-related determinants
breed, gender, age, usage, origin, color, body weight
What can an epidemic curve help with?
Determine when exposure occurred
What does the working hypothesis include?
A probable cause and a plan of what to do about it.
How do you test your working hypothesis?
Try removing the cause
7 items included in report of an outbreak/problem
complete description, data analysis, medical record, veterinarian-client-(patient) relationship, conclusions, recommendations, legal concerns
gold standard test =
valid criterion by which to determine an animal's true health status
What is the goal of testing?
to discriminate between differentials
Sensitivity =
the probability that a truly diseased animal will be classified as 'diseased.'
What does the sensitivity of a test depend on?
The ability of a test to detect disease among animals that actually have the disease
High sensitivity =
low number of false-positives
Specificity =
the probability that a truly non-diseased animal will be classified as non-diseased
What does the specificity of a test depend on?
The ability of a test to correctly identify animals w/o the disease among andimals that do not actually have the disease
predictive value positive =
proportion of animals that test positive, which actually have the disease
predictive value negative =
proportion of animals that test negative, which do not actually have the disease
herd level sensitivity =
probability that a truly diseased/infected herd will be classified as such
herd level specificity =
probability that a truly non-diseased/non-infected herd will be classified as such
4 things that may affect tests characteristics as the herd level
decision thresholds (cut-off, critical #), number of animals tested, true prevalence w/in the herd, pooled samples
Effect of prevalence on predictive value
???look up - graph stuff
attributable fraction =
risk difference ÷ risk for animals with that factor