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36 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Foreign currency

Foreign bank notes, coins, and bank deposits

Foreign exchange market

Market in which the currency of one country is exchanged for the currency of anouther


Many traders, no restrictions, competitive

Foreign exchange rate

The price at which one currency exchanges for another


Currency depreciation vs currency appreciation

Factors on purchase of Canadian $

1. Exchange rate


2. World demand for Canadian exports


3. Interest rates in Canada and other countries


4. The expected future exchange rate

Derived demand

Demand for dollars


People purchase Canadian $ so that they can buy Canadian produced goods and services or assets

Exchange rate influences quantity of Canadian dollars demanded because

Exports effect


Expected profit effect

Exports Effect on demand

High value exports --> High demand for Canadian $


Low exchange rate --> High volume of exports

Expected profit effect on demand

Larger the expected profit from Canadian $ --> Higher demand for $


Depends on exchange rate


Low rate today means a higher expected profit

Quantity of Canadian dollars supplied in foreign market depends on

1. Exchange rate


2. Canadian demand for imports


3. Interest rates in Canada and other countries


4. Expected future exchange rates

Exchange rate influences quantity of Canadian dollars supplied because

Import effect


Expected profit effect

Market Equilibrium

High exchange rate --> $ surplus drives it down


Low exchange rate --> $ shortage drives it up


Quickly pulled to equilibrium

Changes in demand for Canadian dollars

world demand for canadian exports


canadian interest rate relative to the foreign interest rate


expected future exchange rate

Canadian interest rate differential

Canadian interest rate minus the foreign interest rate


When this rises - demand for $ increase

Influences on changes in supply of $

Canadian demand for imports


Canadian interest rates relative to the foreign interest rate


Expected future exchange rate

When does the actual exchange rate change?

When it is expected to


Fundamental influences

Arbitrage

Buying in one market and selling for a higher price in anouther market


Ensures that exchange rate is the same everywhere


Causes : Interest rate parity, purchasing power parity

Return on currency equals

interest rate plus expected rate of appreciation over a given period

Interest rate parity

When the rates of returns on two currencies are equal


Market forces achieve this quickly

Purchasing power parity

Two quantities of money can buy the same quantity of goods and serves - equal value of money

Big Mac Index

3.57/4.09 = 0.87


Exchange rate 1:1


0.87/1 = 13% overvalued

Real exchange rate

Relative price of Canadian produced goods and services to foreign produced goods and services


RER= (nominal exchange rate x $price level)/ foreign price level

Short run real exchange rate

$ and foreign prices don't change


exchange can change

Exchange rate policies

Flexible exchange rate


Fixed exchange rate


Crawling peg

Flexible exchange rate

permits the exchange rate to be determined by demand and supply with no direct intervention in the foreign exchange market by the central bank

Fixed exchange rate policy

Pegs exchange rate at a value decided by the government or central bank and is achieved by direct intervention in the foreign exchange market to block unregulated forces of demand and supply


Persistent intervention cannot be sustained

Crawling peg policy

Exchange rate follows a path determined by a decision of the government or central bank and is achieved by active intervention in the market

Avoids wild swings in exchange rate


Balance of payments accounts

Records international trading, borrowing, and lending


1. Current account


2. Capital and financial account


3. Official settlement account


Sum of these three = 0

Current records account

Receipts from exports


Payments for imports


Net interest paid abroad


Net transfers such as foreign aid payments


=exports-imports+net interest income +net transfers

Capital and financial account

foreign investment in Canada minus Canadian investment abroad

Official settlements account

Change in Canadian official reserves

Canadian official reserves

Government holdings of foreign currency


Increase in reserves --> settlements negative

Debtor nations / creditor nations

Tend to borrow more/ lend more


US is the worlds largest debtor nation


Net borrower is not a problem if funds used to finance capital that will increase income, bad if finances consumption

Government sector surplus or deficit

Taxes - government expenditure (T-G)

Private sector surplus or deficit

Saving - Investment (S-I)

Net exports =

T-G + S-I

Short run vs long run exchange rate

short run change in nominal changes account deficit


long run no influence