Memory-prediction framework

the first six chapters, Silver covers the topics; the failure to predict the 2008 housing bubble in chapter 1, political predictions in chapter 2, baseball predictions in chapter 3, weather prediction in chapter 4, earthquake predictions in chapter 5, and communication of predictions in chapter 6. These six chapters take readers, including me on a journey of why so many predictions are not as accurate as we think and what can be done to fix the…

Risk assessment refers to determining the potential threat that an individual as upon their release from custody because of mental illness and/or criminal activity. There are two methods of risk assessments they are actuarial and clinical judgment (Brown & Singh, 2014). Actuarial risk assessment refers to a method of assessment that is based on statistics that estimates the risk level of a particular event to occur for example, how likely is this offender to commit a violent crime. There are…

The photograph, Candy Cigarette, by Sally Mann is a portrayal of children in today’s society who are all caught in different stages of life. Mann utilizes several key elements such as atmosphere, landscape, body language, and focus to emphasize the overall theme. Losing childhood innocence too soon as the developing stages of maturity are onset by the fear of the future is an idea that Mann so simply portrayed in Candy Cigarette. The young girl, who catches the viewer’s eye at first glance,…

Forecasting GDP Now that we know the timely indicators to help us predict the GDP. We can look into forecasting the GDP and how it is done using the BMC. If we go back to the WEC and take a look at the relevance of each indicator. Here we can see that indicators like PMI which we discussed are highly recommended for investors to look at. Along with the survey column to see what analyst have forecasted for this specific indicator. If we take a look at PMI for example we can right click on the…

In the recent article written in Business Insider Matthew DeBord talks about Tesla’s future for investors. Tesla has been in the news recently about falling stock prices and falling to meet production. Many analysts are saying that Tesla can not meet their production and do not care about the company as much as investors want. From a managerial prospective the falling stock prices are not the problem for musk, and in fact he is not worried that the cars are not selling as well as people want.…

Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn’s “New Generation” wants us to understand that the nature of the universe is open to any possible thing. He addresses that the world changes when he talks about women. In Solzhenitsyn’s “new Generation,” he mentions “in only a few short years women have acquired personal freedom in their intimate lives-sexual liberation.” From this I understood that the world changes and the universe is open to it. The universe has no effect whether changes occur, therefore it is open to…

passengers to fly on Alliance carriers, and what variables can be manipulated to increase market share, increase profit, up-sell, drive the purchase of more premium cabin seats, or increase in share of other offerings for which there is data for prediction. In other words, predictive analytics will explain the most influential behaviors which comprise the 'common dedication to the highest standards of safety and customer service ' for SA, and the 'individual style(s) and cultural identit(ies),…

The purpose of the study, A Psychological Exploration of Engagement in Geek Culture, was to identify and understand why people participate in geek culture. Geek culture is defined as a subculture of enthusiasts that are interested in “obscure” media such as anime, sci-fi, and videogames. However, there are many faucets of the culture and it has become increasingly appealing to mainstream audiences, causing a greater shift in active engagement. Despite geek interests once being marginalized,…

First and foremost, I want to clarify that a paradox has two separate meanings. Firstly, a paradox can be a statement that is seemingly contradictory or opposed to common sense and yet is perhaps true; and secondly, it is something, such as a situation, that is made up of two opposite things and that seems impossible but is true or possible. Both definitions, although close to each other are much different upon closer look. I argue that the gray zone is more in line with the second definition…

I am reading _The Talk-Funny Girl__ by _(author) Roland Merullo and I am on page Roland Merullo ___. So far this book is about a girl who is living with her parents who are sadistic. The church she goes to is actually somewhat of a colt. The pastor is a sadist and somehow gets the church parents to believe in his lie . In this journal I will be Predicting and Evaluating Name of Strategy - Evaluation G – I will be evaluating Margie Y – Kept to herself R – She is scared to tell anyone what…