Prediction interval

technology has changed the way we live our daily lives through the way we act and think. Well, you are living in it. Sixty four years ago, author Ray Bradbury wrote a book on what he imagined the future would look like. Fahrenheit 451 was a book of predictions. Most of his ideas on what he thought the future would look like have came true. In Ray Bradbury’s point of view, we are currently living in the future, and we now use technological tools that help us in our everyday lives. Some people…

just a few years ago. Two years from now predictions are being made that self-driving cars may not quite be common but they will definitely start to become more noticeable and the technology leading up to them will be more common and advanced. In five years cars with internet should be very common, as well as car-to-car communications and the sight of the first completely driverless cars on the market. Finally while it may be hard to make accurate predictions ten years out people can safely…

the first six chapters, Silver covers the topics; the failure to predict the 2008 housing bubble in chapter 1, political predictions in chapter 2, baseball predictions in chapter 3, weather prediction in chapter 4, earthquake predictions in chapter 5, and communication of predictions in chapter 6. These six chapters take readers, including me on a journey of why so many predictions are not as accurate as we think and what can be done to fix the…

Risk assessment refers to determining the potential threat that an individual as upon their release from custody because of mental illness and/or criminal activity. There are two methods of risk assessments they are actuarial and clinical judgment (Brown & Singh, 2014). Actuarial risk assessment refers to a method of assessment that is based on statistics that estimates the risk level of a particular event to occur for example, how likely is this offender to commit a violent crime. There are…

The photograph, Candy Cigarette, by Sally Mann is a portrayal of children in today’s society who are all caught in different stages of life. Mann utilizes several key elements such as atmosphere, landscape, body language, and focus to emphasize the overall theme. Losing childhood innocence too soon as the developing stages of maturity are onset by the fear of the future is an idea that Mann so simply portrayed in Candy Cigarette. The young girl, who catches the viewer’s eye at first glance,…

Forecasting GDP Now that we know the timely indicators to help us predict the GDP. We can look into forecasting the GDP and how it is done using the BMC. If we go back to the WEC and take a look at the relevance of each indicator. Here we can see that indicators like PMI which we discussed are highly recommended for investors to look at. Along with the survey column to see what analyst have forecasted for this specific indicator. If we take a look at PMI for example we can right click on the…

In the recent article written in Business Insider Matthew DeBord talks about Tesla’s future for investors. Tesla has been in the news recently about falling stock prices and falling to meet production. Many analysts are saying that Tesla can not meet their production and do not care about the company as much as investors want. From a managerial prospective the falling stock prices are not the problem for musk, and in fact he is not worried that the cars are not selling as well as people want.…

Seven,” meaning the major and minor keys in relation to the chromatic scale, attempted to write all the possible heptatonic (seven-tone) scales in his book Sketch of a New Esthetic of Music. Busoni states: That some few have already felt how the interval of the Series of Seven might be differently arranged (graduated) is manifested in isolated passages by Liszt, and recently by Debussy and his following, and even…

Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn’s “New Generation” wants us to understand that the nature of the universe is open to any possible thing. He addresses that the world changes when he talks about women. In Solzhenitsyn’s “new Generation,” he mentions “in only a few short years women have acquired personal freedom in their intimate lives-sexual liberation.” From this I understood that the world changes and the universe is open to it. The universe has no effect whether changes occur, therefore it is open to…

passengers to fly on Alliance carriers, and what variables can be manipulated to increase market share, increase profit, up-sell, drive the purchase of more premium cabin seats, or increase in share of other offerings for which there is data for prediction. In other words, predictive analytics will explain the most influential behaviors which comprise the 'common dedication to the highest standards of safety and customer service ' for SA, and the 'individual style(s) and cultural identit(ies),…