Moving average

to an earlier event. For example, we could forecast conditional probability of doubling ridership on Mass Transit 20 years from now given that the gasoline price rises to $3 per gallon in seven years. Historical Analogy helps companies to forecast the life cycles of new product or services. An example could be predicting the market penetration of newly launched 4D TV based on historical data of 3D TV. The Regression Model is a quantitative method that finds explanatory factors of an event. A daily example would be to forecast the future economic growth of our country by selecting numbers of independent variables, such as oil price (x) that can contribute to economic growth (dependent variable y). McDonald uses Simple Moving Average (SMA) or Weighted Moving Average (WMA) to estimate the demand for its hamburger in the next hour. While both methods remove random variations in demand, WMA assigns more weight to recent data to make the forecast more responsive to changes in demand. Assume the demand for hamburger becomes relatively unstable; McDonald would switch to the Exponential Smoothing Model that can gradually correct forecast errors and systematically ages the data. When a commuter airline observes a steady increase in percentages of seats sold each week, they might use the Exponential Smoothing with Trend Adjustment, because it not only helps them to predict seat sales for the next week, but…

times of the year? How was the span of data collection recorded? It could be possible that one campaign collection was affected by the dates or times chosen to collect that data. Also, what was the difference in the mailings sent to Mailing D? The response rates are much higher for campaign 1 than campaign 2. This could be due to the mailing targeting the specific area but, it could be linked to something more. Campaign 1 could have been playing outside of the rules when it came to the area…

There was not one number of pages viewed by customers that were significantly higher than the rest. The most frequently visited amount of pages on the website was 4 and the least frequently visited amount of pages being 43. The range between the greatest amount of pages viewed and the least amount of pages viewed is not a very big difference. The most frequently occurring amount of pages viewed was between 5 and 7, both having 56 customers view those number of pages. The least amount of pages…

the closet. The one area where there could be a treatment integrity issue was in the dishes in the dishwasher; however Nic eats in the same place at every meal and it is apparent if he has dishes in his room; therefore the integrity issue would be with his reporting more than was actually done. With respect to implementation protocol the parents were provide a cue card with steps involved in administering the token system and asked to rate their compliance with each individual step…

student-respected style in instructional and classroom management. The authors of this research study, visited the participating schools in Seoul, Korea and displayed the questionnaires and consent forms. Since the authors did not have much luck in the United States, they posted the questionnaires online and finally got 251 teachers in one county’s school district to participate. Once the authors had teachers from the United States and Korea to participate, it was time for them to get the…

significance. For Job Satisfaction (indicated by js), r and r squared results are .215 and .046 respectively. The Adjusted r squared was .039. There was significance as determined by a score of .012. Frequent Supervisor Feedback seems to support Job Satisfaction by nearly 5%, with significance. A look at Organizational Citizenship Behavior (indicated by ocb) data shows r at .196 and r squared at .038. The Adjusted r square is .031. Significance is .023. Frequent Supervisor Feedback seems to…

adhered to nail polish on the leaf. Then by using the tape handle, the nail polish from the leaf was removed carefully and placed on a slide. The same procedure was applied to the second leaf as well. Peels were made from similar locations on each leaf. After by using microscope number оf stоmata per field оf view was counted for ten non-overlapping fields оf view fоr eаch pееl. All data was recorded on the data sheet. By using this formula the all obtained data was converted to stomata per…

percentage, then divided into two subgroups: the general education population and the special education population. The results of the summative common assessment are shown in the graph below. In the first common assessment of the year there is little difference in the percentage of student growth between students who used self-assessment strategies and students who did not. In period one, which used self-assessment strategies, the class average percentage of growth was 88% with…

percentage of youth attending Christian Formation groups per church size. Thus, Figure 10 compares youth as a percent among other age groups. The conference average percentage of youth per total CF participation is 16%. This demonstrates a progression of youth participation toward medium churches. In fact, Groups 100-134 and 135-199 have 31% of the conference’s total youth and 22% of the conference’s weekly attendees. Figure 11 – Young Adults as a % of Church’s Total CF Participation…

Superb Lyrebird page 1 of 2 Body Structure: The Superb Lyrebird is a species of Menura novaehollandiae, the Lyrebird has short rounded wings and the birds typical weight is around 2.2lb(Kg).The typical size of Lyrebird is about 100 centimeters long, for females its around 74 to 84 centimeters.The birds physical adaptations are the Lyrebirds wonderful variation of colorful feathers and keen sense of smell that allows the bird to smell out its prey. Lyrebirds colors…