demographic and economic data, and 4) accounting for uncertainty and simulating the election thousands of times.”(fivethirtyeight.com) One factor that the FiveThirtyEight model uses is probability of the polls. They have taken data on presidential election polls since 1972 and still use probabilities…
The United States stands on the precipice of what is shaping up to be a historic election. Small talk these days rarely occurs without the mention of the election, and it begs the question of what the true measure of a presidential campaign is, no two candidates like Andrew Jackson and Abraham Lincoln gave the people their answer. This pair of men shook the foundation of American politics during their times. One, the glittering hero of the Battle of New Orleans who truly stood for the populist…
Due to fear invoked by terrorist groups like ISIS in the Middle East, especially Syria, many natives have been forced to leave their home country to find refuge in other countries, like the United States. America now faces the important decision of whether to allow or deny several thousand Syrian refugees into the country. In making this decision, the government must consider the few issues that stand out the most. The Republicans prominently voice their uneasiness over the national security…
to the highest office in the land. The Republicans and Democrats choose their nominees by going from state to state; having races among themselves and their tenets the hopeful must take after to get on the tally. The guidelines of voting change from state to state. On the off chance that you meet the prerequisites you…
NRA, KKK, rural-supported Republican Nominee—now President Elect. This boched election--from the Democratic perspective-- exposed major fractures within the United States. These faults are evident by the post-electoral…
How exactly does the Electoral College work and why did the Founding Fathers choose this system for us to select the new president and vice president of the United States? As we know that years prior to this, the Founding Fathers and other colonists in early America fled Great Britain in hopes of a fresh start. Obviously, when setting up the government for this new country, they would not create it the same as it was in Great Britain. The Founding Fathers created a flawed system but has and…
The 2008 presidential election was the 56th presidential election and was held on November 4, 2008. Democrat Barak Obama was against Republican John McCain. The parties’ candidates focused mostly on change and reform in Washington, but in the last few months of the election campaign domestic policy and the economy surfaced as the main issues after the 2008 economic crisis. Obama’s ability to ensure voters that he could handle the economic crisis at the time and voters disapproval of the outgoing…
Winning any election is tough. Winning an election for a second term as President of the United States is really tough. So many factors fall into why a candidate will succeed or fail come Election Day. It is easy to measure when it is all over, one-person wins the other loses. The tougher part is analyzing why one person lost and the other won. Background Then Senator Barack Obama won the 2008 United States Presidential election 66,882,230 to Senator John McCain 58,343,671 votes (CNN). Thus,…
Introduction The time has come once again to choose the leader of the free world. Every four years the United States of America has the privilege of electing someone (only men so far) to become one of the most powerful people in the world. Electing the President of the United States (POTUS) has always been an important task. However, this election cycle feels differently. Perhaps it is because everyone on social media is talking about it. It could be America’s dissatisfaction with the political…
Recently America gained the forty-fifth president of the United States. Before Americans could gain a new president the candidates had to run against each other and convince the people that they are the best person of choice. On election day the candidates were narrowed down to two choices democrat, Hillary Clinton and Republican, Donald Trump. The election was won by Donald Trump due to electoral votes. Truly Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by millions, but she did not win with electoral…