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17 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
true positive
a correct prediction and occurs when a person who is predicted to be violent engages in violence
true negative
a correct prediction and occurs when a person who is predicted not to be violent does not act violently
false positive
an incorrect prediction and occurs when a person who is predicted to be violent but is not
false negative
an incorrect prediction and occurs when a person who is not predicted to be violence but acts violently
base rate
the percentage of people withing a given population who commit a criminal or violent act
illusory correlation
belief that a correlation exists between two events that in reality are either not correlated or correlated to a much lesser degree
unstructured clinical judgement
Decisions characterized by a substantial amount of professional discretion and lack of guidelines
actuarial prediction
decisions are based on risk factors that are selected and combined based on their empirical or statistical association with a specific outcome
structured professional judgement
decisions are guided by a predetermined list of risk factors that have been selected from the research and professional literature. judgement of risk level is based on the evaluator's professional judgemet
risk factor
a measurable feature of an individual that predicts the behaviour of interest (e.g., violence or psychopathology)
static risk factor
risk factor that does not fluctuate over time and is not changed by treatment(e.g., age at first arrest). Also known as historical risk factor
dynamic risk factor
risk factors that fluctuate over time and are amenable to changing
historical risk factor
risk factor that refers to events that have been experienced in the past. Also known as static risk factor
dispositional risk factor
risk factors that reflect the individual's traits, tendencies, or styles (e.g.,negative attitudes)
clinical risk factors
types and symptoms of mental disorders (e.g., substance abuse)
contextual risk factors
risk factors that refer to aspects of the current environment (e.g.,access to victims or weapons). Also referred to situational risk factors
protective factors
factors that reduce the likelihood of a negative outcome.Ex.prosocial involvement, strong social support