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65 Cards in this Set

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  • Back
  • 3rd side (hint)

What is the formula for WACC?

WACC =

Weighted cost of equity + Weighted cost of debt

Interest on debt is taken from earnings before tax


WACC = (E/V * Re) + [D/V * Rd * (1-T)]


E = equity

V = debt + equity

Re = cost of equity (dividend/equity)

D = debt

Rd = cost of debt (interest payment on the P&L)

T = tax rate (taxes/net profit)

Explain in words the Internal Rate of Return

The discount rate required to get a 0 NPV from a cashflow

How do we calculate Internal Rate of Return?

Calculate by "trial and error" of different discount rates in NPV calculation


Solve for NPV = 0


(first cashflow must be negative, else reverse signs)

Explain in words how bond pricing works

The Net Present Value of the future cashflows


i.e. the Net Present Value of total coupon payments plus

the Net Present Value of the redemption amount

What is running yield of a bond?

Running Yield =

annual coupon payments / par value

What is the current yield of an investment?

Current Yield =

annual interest payment / current price

Explain what the redemption yield of a bond is

The IRR (single discount rate) for the bond cashflows

Give a formula for bond pricing using a single discount rate

Bond price =

Ct * [1-(1+r)^-t] / r

+

M / (1+r)^t


Ct = annual coupons

r = discount rate

t = time (years)

M = redemption value

How do we use spot rates in bond pricing when coupons are paid twice a year?

Work in periods and divide the spot rate by two

(t=6 months, r=spot rate/2)

What is yield curve and term structure?

Term structure of interest rates:



  • relationship between interest rate and time horizon of the investment

  • described using the Yield Curve

What determines the shape of a yield curve?

  • Real interest rate & future inflation expectation


  • Market segmentation e.g. pension fund demand (liability matching causing disproportionate demand for long durations)


  • Liquidity (short term, lower rate)

Why are longer term investments expected to pay higher rates?

Longer period of uncertainty


Great risk of change in inflation

Greater effect of change in inflation


(e.g. increase in inflation decreases value of coupons,

longer period means more coupon payments affected)

What causes a yield curve to flatten?

  • Lower inflation

  • Slower economic growth

  • Increase in BOE base rate (as it will cause the above)

What causes a yield curve to invert?

  • The market believes that interest rates will fall

  • Long term yields are likely to fall

  • A recession is likely

What can cause a yield curve to steepen?

  • Rising inflation

  • Stronger economic growth

What causes a parallel shift in a yield curve?

The interest rate on all maturities changes by the same number of basis points

What are butterfly shifts?

Positive - short and long term rates increase more than in the middle (smile)




Negative - short and long term rates move down more than intermediate rates (frown)

What is Sharpe Ratio?

(words and formula)

Ratio indicating how well the asset compensates for volatility


Sharpe Ratio = (Rp-Rf)/SD(Rp-Rf)


Rp = expected rate of return

Rf = risk free rate of return

SD = standard deviation

What is a bond credit spread?

Difference in yield between a "risk free" bond and one with the same maturity but of lesser quality


The reward for holding a riskier bond

What's the formula for a credit spread?

Credit spread =

Bond yield - risk free bond yield

What are the total returns on equities made up of?

Dividends


AND


Growth in capital value of the equities

Explain the present value of an equity?

The IRR of the dividend payments

What discount rate should we use when pricing an equity (using present value)?

R = Dividend yield +

expected percentage change in capital


(R = D1/P0 + g)

What does DDM stand for and explain what it is?

DDM = Dividend Discount Model e.g. Gordon growth model



A method for determining equity pricing



What is the formula for Gordon growth model?

P0 = D1 / (R - g)




P0 = price at time 0


D1 = price at time 1


R = investor return on equity (cost of equity capital)


g = expected growth



What is "market risk"?

The volatility of historic periodic returns of the market (eg FTSE all-share)

What is systemic risk?

Market risk

How do we measure market risk?

Market risk = volatility

Volatility = Standard deviation of returns (relative to risk free returns)

What is market risk premium?

Market risk in excess of the risk free rate

What is individual risk premium?

Risk of individual asset in excess of the risk free rate

What is the risk free rate?

The rate of return on a "risk free" investment,

typically a government bond

Explain what beta is

The risk of an individual share compared to the market


(effectively, ratio of individual volatility compared to market volatility, both in excess of the risk free volatility)

What determines beta?

  • Revenue cycle

  • Operating leverage (ratio of fixed to variable costs)

  • Financial leverage (capital structure)

What is the expected return of an asset using CAPM?

Expected return =

risk free rate + asset risk premium

What is the formula for asset risk premium?

Asset risk premium = b (rm-rf)



b = beta of the asset


rm = return of market


rf = risk free return

What is the security market line?

Graph representing CAPM (market risk vs return
x-axis: risk (in terms of beta)
y-axis: expected return
y-intercept: risk free rate


  • Graph representing CAPM (market risk vs return
  • x-axis: risk (in terms of beta)
  • y-axis: expected return
  • y-intercept: risk free rate

What is the capital market line?

Level of additional return (above risk free rate) for increase in risk
x-axis: risk (standard deviation of market returns)
y-axis: expected return
y-intercept: risk free rate
  • Level of additional return (above risk free rate) for increase in risk
  • x-axis: risk (standard deviation of market returns)
  • y-axis: expected return
  • y-intercept: risk free rate

What's the difference between security market line and capital market line?

They are the same except:


security is for a single asset

capital is for the whole market


(slightly different measures of risk)

Why would we expect longer term deposits to pay higher rates?

  • Money tied up for longer
  • More uncertainty
  • More price volitility

Obvious answer

What models to use to value projects

NPV


Payback and discounted chash==

Can be viewed as an ordinary perpetuity

What is the Dividend Constant Growth Formula?

Dt = Do x (1 + g)^t





  • Dt = Dividend for period in time
  • Do = Initial dividend
  • g = Dividend growth
  • t = Time period

Compound growth formula

What is the Dividend Growth Model (definition)

determines the current share price as its dividend next period divided by the discount rate less the dividend growth rate

What is the Dividend Growth Model Formula?

Pt = Dt x (1 + g) = D (t+1)


R - g R - g

Remember can use either part of the formula to determine values to input into other part of the formla

How do you work out today's value of equity for non-constant growth

Identify when long term/constant growth rate starts (e.g. year 3/4/5?)




e.g if from yr 3:


P3 = D3 x (1+g) / (R - g)




to give long term growth rate.




THEN,




calculate the PV of all other rates (in this example, yrs 1, 2 and 3) and also the answer worked out for the constant growth




Po = Div 1/ (1 +R) + Div 2 / (1 + R)^2 + Div 3 / (1 + R)^3 + Answer / (1 + R)^3




This will give you the present day value of equity. To determine share price, divide this answer by the number of shares.

Formula for Two Stage Growth (1/2)

Once Po is determined, plug into the next formula

  

Once Po is determined, plug into the next formula





Formula for Two Stage Growth (2/2)

To determine D1, increase Do by the dividend growth rate

To determine D1, increase Do by the dividend growth rate

Present Value Formula

Vo = Today's value


Vo = Today's value


Discount future value by the rate

Future value of current amount



Discount cashflow model

(multiple cashflows) Calculate the discount amount for each period individually and add together

Annuities

Level stream of cashflows for a set period of time (work out PV/FV for each amount and add together)

Perpetuities

Level stream of income forever

Level stream of income forever

Net Present Value Formula

Co - initial investment
C = cashflow


  • Co - initial investment
  • C = cashflow

IRR

Co = initial investment
C = cashflow


  • Co = initial investment
  • C = cashflow

Trial and error...

What investment valuation models to use to value projects

NPV


Payback and discounted payback


IRR

Strengths of NPV

Pro:



  1. Most important!
  2. Uses all cashflows (across the life of the project
  3. Considers the time value of money


Cons:




How to use NPV

Accept if the NPV is positive and reject if the NPV is negative

Payback cons

  1. Ignores cashflows past a certain point
  2. Payback period is set arbitrarily
  3. Biased against long-term projects (e.g. research)
  4. Ignores the time value of money

Payback Pros


  1. Easy to use
  2. Focuses on liquidity
  3. Adjusts for uncertainty of later cash flows

Payback Rule

The length of time required for a projects cashflows to cover its initial cost

Discounted payback rule

The length of time required for a project's discounted cashflows to cover its initial costs

Discounted payback advantages

  1. Includes the time value of money
  2. Does not accept negative estimated NPV investments
  3. Easy to use
  4. Biased towards liquidity

Discounted payback cons

  1. Same as NPV, except:
  2. May reject positive-NPV investments

IRR Rules

Accept projects where the IRR is greater than the discount rate


Reject or short sell where IRR is less than the discount rate.

IRR Cons


  1. Non-conventional (i.e. non-linear cashflows) = 2 possible rates
  2. The number of possible rates = number of times cashflows move between +tive and -tive

IRR Cons

  1. Usually returns same outcome as NPV
  2. Simple, intuitive and easy to communicate