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25 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
What part of the FAR would you find Cost Proposal |
FAR 15 |
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Random sampling |
used when you have low dollar items |
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Stratified sampling |
used when you have high dollar items |
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What are the benefits of the proposal model |
-The best way to understand how the propose cost roll together is to model the proposal, e.g. utilizing excel
-Duplicate the propose costs and profit
-Distinguish between "discrete", factor generated amounts and indirect cost
-Effective way to understand how the estimating system works
-Enable your ability to quickly trade offers in negotiations |
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What measure is used for "Equal chance of overrun and underrun" |
Median |
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What measure of central tendency & dispersion does Outliers impact the most |
Mean |
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A Right Skewed is a |
Positive (tailed to the right)
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A Left Skewed is a |
Negative (tailed to the left) |
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In the simple regression model, Y=A+BX, what does the X represent |
Independent variable (changes) |
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In the simple regression model, Y=A+BX, what does the Y represent |
Dependent variable (price/cost-stays the same) |
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R-Squared measures |
-variation -strength of association |
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When dealing with Skewed data |
the Median would be a used |
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When dealing with Kurtosis data |
the Mean would be used |
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CER Issues and Concerns |
1) Does the available data verify the existence and accuracy of the proposed relationship? 2) Is there a trend in the relationship? 3) Is the CER used consistently? 4) How is the current CER? 5) Would another independent variable be better for developing and applying a CER? 6) Would a detail estimate or direct comparison with actual from prior effort produce more accurate results? |
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Purpose of Regression analysis |
-To Predict the value of a Dependent variable Y, given the value of the Independent variable X - it is based on a straight-line linear relationship even when the data points do not fall on a straight line |
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Under the Prediction Interval, as the confidence level increases |
the range widens between high and low numbers but the estimate stays the same |
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Under the Prediction Interval, as the confidence level decreases |
the range becomes smaller between high and low numbers but the estimate stays the same |
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2 types of moving averages |
Single Moving Average - NO time-series data trend Double Moving Average - IS a time-series data trend |
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If a contractor proposes a high dollar value, |
the Gov't counter-offer should be a Low estimate |
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Cost realism analyses shall be performed on |
Cost-reimbursement contracts to determine the probable cost of performance for each offeror |
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If there is adequate competition |
no certified cost or pricing data is needed |
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Other than cost or pricing data we should obtain as little data as possible from the contractor |
True |
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2 types of CER's |
Cost/Cost Relationship = uses one or more elements of contract cost to estimate cost or product price Cost/Non-Cost Relationship = use physical or performance characteristics to estimate cost or product price |
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When conducting cost analysis you need a breakdown of cost elements |
Material Services Direct Labor |
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Coefficient of Variation (CV) |
-the accuracy of using mean -we could be off plus or minus |