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16 Cards in this Set

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Climate Surprise

broadly define as a gap between one's expectation about the likely climate and the climate that occurs

example of expectable surprises

floods, volcanoes

example of unexpectable surprises

ozone hole

what is abrupt climate change?



large and rapid changes in the physical climate system....changes take place within years to decades....unfold faster than expect/planned or budgeted for...leave little time for society and ecosystems to adapt

what are the two kinds of abrupt climate change associated with climate change?

abrupt changes to the climate system itself...climate changes slowly, but leads to a tipping point in another system (climate change crosses a threshold for a particular species)

Abrupt Example: Plants

Evapotranspiration from plants...threshold crossing: minor dry spell kills too many plants, evapotranspiration drops, positive feedback on drying...climate shifts into a severe drought...agricultural failures, possibility of famine

An abrupt cooling that occurred...

The Younger Dryas


12,900 - 11,500 ya

What is a chironomid?

larvae stage of a nonbiting midge...when emerges it looks like a mosquito but doesn't its...head capsules are made of chitin and preserved in lake sediments...can be identified to species level and used to infer temps.

What is a diatom?

golden brown algae...microscopic...12,000 diff species...sensitive to subtle changes in salinity

Megafauna extinction event

occurred 13,000 ya...many mammals weighing more than 40kg...in NA 33 of 45 went extinct

What caused megafauna extinction event?



highly variable climate was too much for animals to overcome...climate change too rapid to flee...changes in vegetation left animals adapted to one type of plant with nothing to eat




likely a combo with overhunting and stress

Thermohaline Circulation effects (on vs off)

when on: temperate to wet climates with seasonal monsoons




when off: cold, dry, windy climates

THC Impacts

increase in extreme weather in Europe (storms/floods)




collapse of North Atlantic plankton stocks <50% current biomass




warming in tropics or poles




changing rainfall patterns: monsoon fails




reduced CO2 uptake of the ocean...+ feedback

Other abrupt surprises

reorganization of ocean circulation


disappearance of permanent sea ice in arctic


changes in greenland/antarctic ice


increase in climate sensitivity


changes in precipitation patterns


dieback in forests


extinctions

what causes abrupt sea level rise

warming of the oceans causes expansion and results in an increase in sea level...melting of land-based ice can increase the volume of water in the oceans and lead to sea level rise

what is mean sea level?

average height of the oceans surface between high and low tide...changes in tides and wave conditions are averaged out to determine a "still water level"