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58 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

What is sampling?

Selecting representative items from a population, examining those selected items and drawing a conclusion about the population based on the results derived from the examination of the selected items

What is the main issue in sampling?

Choosing a sample that is representative of the population

Example of Discrete Variables

Yes/no decision whether to authorize payments of invoices

How are discrete variables tested

Tested using attribute sampling

Example of Continuous Variables

Monetary amounts of A/R

How are continuous variables tested

Tested using variables sampling

Most important distribution curve

Normal distribution - aka the bell curve. Values form a symmetrical bell-shaped cure centered around the mean.



In a normal distribution, the mean, median, and mode are the same and the tails are identical

Mean

Arithmetic average of a set of numbers

Median

Middle value if data are arranged in numerical order - the 50th percentile

Mode

Most frequently occurring value. If all values are unique no mode exists

Which way do accounting distributions tends to skew?

Positively skewed - To the right, the right tail is longer. mean > mode. A/R generally include many medium and low value items and a few high value items.

Positively skewed

Skewed to the right, right tail is longer. Mean > Mode

Negatively skewed

Skewed to the left, left tail is longer. Median > Mean

Best estimate of central tendency for asymmetrical distributions?

Median - not biased by extremes

Population's Variability

The extent to which the values of items are spread about the mean

How is population variability measured

Standard deviation

Area under the Standard Deviation Curve

Confidence Level

Confidence Level

Reliability



Percentage of times that a sample is expected to be representative of the population - i.e., a confidence level of 95% should result in representative samples 95% of the time

Confidence Interval

Precision



Allowance for sampling risk, based on a specified confidence level is the range around a sample value that is expected to contain the true population value



If repeated random samples are drawn from a normally distributed population and the auditor specifies a 95% confidence level the probability is that 95% of the confidence intervals constructed around the samples will contain the population value

What does the size of the confidence interval depend on

The sample size



The larger the sample size, the smaller the confidence interval can be



A smaller confidence interval means that the precision of the sample is greater and the true population value is expected to be in the narrower range around the sample value

Standard error of mean

Standard deviation of the distribution of sample means

What is the standard error used for?

Compute precision (the confidence interval). The larger the standard error the wider the interval

Coefficient of variability

Measures the relative variability within the data and is calculated by dividing the standard deviation of the sample by the mean

Nonstatistical/Judgmental Sampling

Uses the subjective judgment to determine the sample size and selection

Advantages of judgmental sampling

Can be less expensive and time consuming, not special knowledge of statistics and no special statistics software is needed



Greater discretion to use judgment and expertise - with substantial experience, no time is wasted on testing immaterial items

Disadvantages of judgmental sampling

Does not provide a quantitative of sampling risk



Does not provide a quantitative expression of sample risks



Is the auditor is not proficient, the sample may not be effective

What does statistical sampling proide

An objective method of determining sample size and selecting the items to be examined



Provides means of quantitatively assessing precision (how closely the sample represents the population) and confidence level (the percentage of time the sample will adequately represent the population)

Advantages of statistical sampling

Provides a quantitative measure of sampling risk confidence level, and precision



Provides a quantitative expression of sample results



Helps the auditor to design an efficient sample

Disadvantages of statistical sampling

Can be more expensive and time consuming



Requires special statistical knowledge and training



Requires statistical software

Nonsampling Risk

Audit risk not related to sampling - i.e., failure to detect and error in the sample

Sampling Risk

Risk that a sample is not representative of the population, which may result in an incorrect conclusion

How is sampling risk related to sample size?

Inverse relation - as the sample increases, sampling risk decreases

Methods of sampling a population

Random sample



Systemic (interval) sampling



Cluster (block) sampling

Random sample

Every item in a population has an equal and nonzero chance of being selected

Traditional means of ensuring randomness

Assign a random number to each item using random number tables

What does a systemic (interval) sampling assume

That items are arranged randomly in the population

What does systemic sampling involve

Dividing the population by the sample size and selecting every nth item after a random start in the first interval

Cluster (block) sampling

Randomly selects groups of items as the sampling units rather than individual items

Advantage of cluster sampling

Avoids the need to assign random numbers to individual items in the population. Instead, clusters are randomly selected

Possible disadvantage of cluster sampling

Variability of items within the clusters may not be representative of the variability within the population

Attribute sampling

Each item in the population has an attribute of interest

Uses of attribute sampling

Appropriate for tests of controls - i.e., when two outcomes are possible - compliance/noncompliance

Factors in determining sample size for an attribute test

Confidence level - percentage of times that a sample is expected to be representative of the population. The greater the desired confidence level the larger the sample size should be



Population size - the larger the population the larger the sample size



Expected deviation rate - the greater the population deviation, the larger the sample size



Tolerable deviation rate - highest allowable percentage of the population that can be in error and still allow reliance on the tested control. The lower the tolerable deviation rate the larger the sample size

Audit Effectiveness

The degree to which a particular engagement step helps to achieve one or more engagement objectives

Determining precision in attribute sampling

Precision = Tolerable deviation rate - expected deviation rate

Relation between precision and sample size in attribute sampling

Inversely related - as the required precision decreases (tightens), the sample size must increase

Two other attribute sampling methods

Discovery sampling



Stop or go sampling

Discovery sampling

Appropriate when even a single deviation is critical



Occurrence rate assumed to be at or near 0%, and the method cannot be used to evaluate results statistically if deviations are found



Sample size calculated so that it will include at least once instance of a deviation if deviations occur in the population at a given rate

Stop or go sampling

aka Sequential sampling - reduce the sample size when the auditor believes the error rate is low



Examines only enough sample items to be able to state that the deviation rate is below a specified rate at a specified level of confidence



Because the sample size is not fixed, auditor can achieve the desired, result, even if deviations are found by enlarging the sample sufficiency

Relation between expected deviation rate and sample size in attribute testing

Directly related - if expected deviation rate decreases sample size will decrease

What kind of variables is attribute sampling used for?

Discrete variables

What type of sampling is used for continuous variables?

Variables sampling

What are continuous variables

Weights, monetary amounts, etc

What does variables sampling provide

Information about whether a stated amount is matterially missated

4 variables sampling techniques

Unstratified mean-per-unit



Stratified mean-per-unit



Difference estimation



Ratio estimation

Factors in determining sample size for variables testing

Confidence level - the greater the desired confidence level the larger the sample size



Population size - the larger the population, the larger the sample



Tolerate misstatement - interval around the sample statistic that is expected the include the true balance of the population at the specific level - the narrower the precision, the larger the sample should be



Standard deviation - increase in the estimated standard deviation increases the sample size

Variables Sample Size Chart - factors affecting sample size:



Confidence level increase


Estimated std deviation increase


Population size increase


Tolerable misstatement increase

Confidence level increase = sample size increase



Std deviation increase = sample size increase



Population size increase = sample size increase



Tolerable misstatement increase = sample size decrease

Attribute Sample Size Chart - factors affecting sample size:



Confidence level increase


Population size increase


Expected deviation rate increase


Tolerable deviation rate increase

Confidence level increase = sample size increase


Population size increase = sample size increase


Std deviation increase = sample size increase




Tolerable misstatement increase = sample size decrease