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5 Cards in this Set

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Stationarity

A time series whose properties do not depend on the time at which the series is observed


--trends or seasonality will break this BUT cyclical behavior will NOT if the cycles are not of a fixed period/length

differencing

computing the differences between consecutive observations


--stabilizes the variance of a time series, and can eliminate trend and seasonality

ACF

Sample auto correlation function, gives correlations between the series and the lagged values of the series


--often very useful when looking at the residuals of a model

Python ACF plot

pandas.tools.plotting.autocorrelation_plot(total_data["organic.all"])

ADF

augmented Dickey Fuller test. A regression test to determine if a series needs to be differenced, uses a regression series where the first order difference is regressed against the previous value and other differenced values. If the co-efficient on the previous value is zero then it does not need to be differenced and if if it less than zero it is already stationary