The Arctic is presently in a state of great flux. Since reliable satellite estimates first became available in the late 1970s, measured aerial sea ice extent has declined by about 10 percent every decade, and an acceleration of this trend has become evident in the past 5-10 years. Roughly half of the decline to date has been linked to anthropogenic forcing (namely greenhouse gas emissions), where the rest has been attributed to the variability of the ice-atmosphere system. …show more content…
As greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase, anthropogenic forcing is expected to dominate the ice-atmosphere system and lead to the development of a seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean within 15-50 years. The presence of widespread open water in the Arctic Ocean during summer is already taking its toll on the general atmospheric circulation and subsequently altering regional climate regimes in the Northern