Stormy Weather: The New Hampshire Primary and Presidential Politics by Dante J. Scala is written with the intent to deliberately educate about the New Hampshire Primary. From its birth, with through many examples at various primaries, Stormy Weather does just that without skipping a single beat. Mr. Scala utilizes a concept from Analyst Rhodes Cook that breaks up the nomination process into five stages, but adopts it as his own by applying it almost exclusively to the New Hampshire Primary.
The first stage, for example, is the “Exhibition Stage,” also known as the invisible primary due to the fact that there is nothing in place to indicate how well a candidate is performing during this timeframe. It takes up the period following a general election, up until just before the Iowa Caucuses and the New Hampshire Primary. During this time candidates are forming their campaigns and raising money, but they are also paying special visits to New Hampshire and partaking in special events. …show more content…
He separates the Democratic voters in to two groups, the working-class voters and the elite voters. The working-class voters are concerned with actual issues that pertain to their well-being (Scala uses jobs and economic security as his example) whereas elite voters are concerned with shaking up the party, political party, that is. Thus, the two types of candidates that Scala creates are the “Reformer” and the “Establishment” candidates. The “Reformer” appeals to the elite voters and the “Establishment” candidate appeals to the working class. Scala jumps into further detail and divides the state of New Hampshire into 5 working-class zones and 5 elite zones and these zones allow predictions to be made based on the candidates of any given election year. These predictions are only somewhat reliable do to the consistent voting patterns of each
The first stage, for example, is the “Exhibition Stage,” also known as the invisible primary due to the fact that there is nothing in place to indicate how well a candidate is performing during this timeframe. It takes up the period following a general election, up until just before the Iowa Caucuses and the New Hampshire Primary. During this time candidates are forming their campaigns and raising money, but they are also paying special visits to New Hampshire and partaking in special events. …show more content…
He separates the Democratic voters in to two groups, the working-class voters and the elite voters. The working-class voters are concerned with actual issues that pertain to their well-being (Scala uses jobs and economic security as his example) whereas elite voters are concerned with shaking up the party, political party, that is. Thus, the two types of candidates that Scala creates are the “Reformer” and the “Establishment” candidates. The “Reformer” appeals to the elite voters and the “Establishment” candidate appeals to the working class. Scala jumps into further detail and divides the state of New Hampshire into 5 working-class zones and 5 elite zones and these zones allow predictions to be made based on the candidates of any given election year. These predictions are only somewhat reliable do to the consistent voting patterns of each