Residual Risk Assessment Paper

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Residual Risk Assessment As stated before, Course of Action #3 (SPRIRAL SPUR) is designed for the rapid recovery of the Zelzal-4 missiles and destruction of the Caprica’s Thunder terrorist camp. With a short pause to regroup the coalition party, operations will turn to securing of the nuclear reactor for UN and stable AO with Caprica deterred from further regional aggression. Due to the risked identified, mitigation has been put in place. Mitigation includes….
• intelligence preparation of the operating environment
• using our longer range strike capabilities to protect and defend
• heavily focusing on the diplomatic and information instruments of power (IOP)

If IOP or any military execution fails, PEGCOM/CCDR will be prepared for contingency
…show more content…
o Consideration/Mitigation: Planning needs to continually run the numbers, fine tune campaign with realistic capabilities, and make continuous modifications due to intelligence and information updates
2. Follow-on coalition forces
• Follow-on coalition forces may take longer to deploy as predicted, and it may not be the resources that I needed. o Consideration/Mitigation: CTF/CC needs to be heavily involved with coalition preparation.
3. Deter further aggression while protecting friendly resources in the AOR
• There are additional Pro-Caprica insurgents and/or terrorist groups in the AOR. Intel last reported that the majority are in the ACA (Asgard-controlled Andalusia). They are distanced enough away from Port Ray area, for us to have a minimum concern of united effort. However the risk increase is due to the possibility of retaliation against the local Asgardians in the ACA. Different tactics are required to deter terrorist. These Caprican guerrilla elements include...
 Caprica’s Hammer (CH)
 Caprica Thunder (CT)
 Caprican Nation
…show more content…
Capricans build sufficient forces during operational pause
• Consideration/Mitigation: PEGCOM needs to take advantage of this “build-up” to request additional force that is deemed to be limited supply within the coalition force. ISR is critical during this period.
5. Joint force interdependence to mitigate the risk to our joint forces.
• ‘Interdependence’ dictates that no service will operate independently and expects each of the services to relying on each other’s capabilities to be successful. However, as Colonel Paparone, U.S. Army, stated, "The challenge for senior military leaders is to design before engagement a joint interdependent force that will not need subsequent, recurrent reorganization yet will be flexible enough to adapt to rapid environmental changes in real time."There is a complex 'Risk' associated with coordinated mutual adjustment. o Consideration/Mitigation: 'Reciprocal interdependence' provides the best strategic model for continuous communication and decision-making during 'mutual adjustment' coordination. 'Reciprocal interdependence' requires trust and reliability as mainstay values. Conventional hierarchical conflict with 'reciprocal interdependence' and there is a risk associated with a balance between efficiencies and effectiveness. Therefore leaders need facilitate the nuanced intricacies of focused and mutually beneficial

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