Swing State Political Analysis

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For the upcoming 2016 general election between Secretary Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, there are a few states that will prove to be key role players as they shape the outcome of the election. After a candidate secures the election bid for their party, their work is not over. While securing the nomination is a big deal, in actuality, their work is just beginning as they typically have only spent time talking to the members of their own party. Now, these candidates must go out and try to convince members of another party as to why they should support and ultimately vote for them. We have seen Secretary Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump do this throughout all three of the televised Presidential Debates as well as the countless rallies that …show more content…
To my knowledge, I considered Pennsylvania to be a strictly Democratic State, and historically that has held true, even up to present day politics. “In 2016, Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes, which is 3.7 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 7.4 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election” (Ballotpedia, 2016) .The recent statewide election for the judicial offices in Pennsylvania that was held in November, proved to be fruitful for the Democratic Party as they swept the vote. Additionally, the three victories for the Democrats in the Supreme Court Races to change the majority to 5-to-2 also increased the democratic footprint nationwide, as they will shape judicial decisions for generations to come. “Democrats [also] have a narrow edge in the race for Pennsylvania 's U.S. Senate seat, with Katie McGinty topping incumbent Pat Toomey 49% to 46% among likely voters, just inside the poll 's margin of error” (Agiesta, 2016). It also does not hurt that the current Vice President of the United States, Joe Biden, is a democrat from the Electric City Scranton, Pennsylvania, a city about 30 minutes from my hometown of Hazleton, Pennsylvania. It is unknown whether the changes in the court elections will have any significant impact on the upcoming 2016 Presidential election race, but what is evident is that these victories have shown that in the national elections Pennsylvania has typically been a “blue” state. “The statewide survey — conducted between Oct. 30 and Nov. 4 with 405 likely Pennsylvania voters and with a margin of error of 5.5 percentage points — shows Clinton with support from 48 percent and Trump with the backing of 42 percent in a head-to-head matchup” (Olsen, 2016). Pennsylvania has indeed been a very democratic state in terms of the Presidential elections in the past, as Democrats have won the Keystone State in

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