In the lecture video, “Peter Donelly: How Stats Fool Juries,” Donelly explains how statistics are misrepresented and how they have fooled juries in past court cases.
In the beginning of his lecture, Donelly compares and contrasts coin toss outcomes to genetic sequence combinations. What separates genetic combinations from that of a coin toss is that there are far more factors in genetics than there are in a simple head-tail coin toss. He explains that factors such as these are not to be taken lightly and that they have an influence on logic in reasoning with uncertainty.
Donelly mentions the British court case that prosecuted Sally Clark for the deaths of her two children. The prosecution case relied