To come up with a forecast for the overall market, we first need to estimate the patient population. I assume the total US population growth rate is as predicted to be around 0.7% per year. Then we will assume the changes of ratio of older population, gender, and race as osteoporosis and bone health issues vary for women and men of different ages and ethnic backgrounds. After all these factors to be considered, we could predict future increase in the patient population. In addition, some other numbers come into play here, such as the ratio of patients being treated or diagnosed, number of patients being covered by Medicare, and drug price change.
