The development of atomic bomb in the United States started in 1939 when a small number of physicists were alarmed over the possibility of Germany successfully developing an atomic bomb and warned President Roosevelt. Einstein and Szilard wrote a letter on their proposal about atomic bombs and was delivered to the President's aide, General Edwin Watson, by Alexander Sachs, an economist and writer who had a friendly relationship with Roosevelt. The letter described the new powerful bombs that could be produced and recommended that the U.S. Government speed up experimental work currently taking place. Einstein emphasized in his letter that Germany had stopped the sale of uranium from Czechoslovakian …show more content…
The Committees of the Manhattan Project know of its impact and but not the probability assessment of the events. They know that the atomic bomb would affect to the results of the war, but as they go along the development of the atomic bomb, they have experienced difficulties in the isotope isolation methods, building the bomb, detonation of the bomb, time and budget …show more content…
& Hulett, D., (2004) in Assessing Risk Probability: Alternative Approaches, there is a wide range of factors that can influence the way uncertainty is perceived by both individuals and groups, which are Familiarity, Manageability, Proximity and Propinquity.
Familiarity: the Committee and the leaders of Manhattan Project have not yet come across with the same situation before, thus they are not familiar with the possibility; however, there people especially the scientist and the military have pertinent experience, skills, and knowledge.
Manageability: the Committee and the leaders of the Manhattan Project has a high degree of control on the process and progress of the atomic bomb creation as they are one that can decide on the given situation, and they can also access into the opinion of the higher top management. Relative to this, it is important to note that the Manhattan Project has several Committees that has the authority to deliberate, plan and decide on the assessment of the project as they go along.
Proximity: There is a higher proximity or possible occurrence of the risk since they are considering the time frame and success (since it is deadly) of the project. The Committee wanted the atomic bomb to be finished before the other countries was able to launch a bomb in