“The theory of randomness is fundamentally a codification of common sense.”
First thing I had to do was look up the definition of the word codification. It means to arrange something in some sort of system, code, or pattern. I then had to apply that definition, and figure out what the author is trying to say. This quote comes early into the chapter, and the author uses the rest of the chapter to give examples, and attempts to explain the quote. He gives examples of experiments done to people. The experiments pretty much make people believe something is more likely to happen if additional details are added, no matter how irrelevant. People don’t think the quotes through, not using common sense. This chapter proves that common sense may be the best way to look at chance and randomness. The easiest mistake people make is forgetting that there are other possibilities. They choose what is in front of them. The extra bit of thinking can very much help. This quote helps since it is early on in the book. I can think about it as I read, and I will probably understand more of the story.
Chapter 3: Finding your way through a space of possibilities (41)
“As I said earlier, understanding the Monty Hall problem requires no mathematical training. But it does require some careful …show more content…
It was too many random mathematical examples. It was non-stop probability. It was too much math, and did not get down to the philosophy of chance. Therefore, there weren’t many good ideas that I could analyze. The quote I took out mainly reinforces the same ideas that were brought up in the earlier paragraph. It keeps mentioning common sense, and logical thinking. People can’t be fooled by the certain wording. It doesn’t really matter how intelligent the person is. Kind of a book smarts vs street smarts thing. Kind of branches out the idea of chance, but it is hard to explain or