This conflict took place is because to the original rainfall patterns have been changed over the past 30 years which leads to decrease in the availability of water. In addition, the population in Darfur increases by double within a short period of time 4,5.(4,5) Researcher Marshall B. Burke explained that during warmer years, chances for civil war happening is relatively high. If the temperature rises by 1%, the risk of civil war increases by 4.5% in the same year and 0.9% next year. Burke also stated that the temperature may increase by 1 degree Celsius by 2030. Using data from the 18 climate models, conflict in sub-Saharan Africa would increase by roughly 54% by the year 2030. As a result, this leads to an approximate battle deaths of 390000 4,5.(4,5) Pete Newell is a retired army colonel who has seen a conflict happened due to the scarcity of water and energy. He stated that this war happened a few years ago where tribes were fighting for water at the Iraq-Iran border. This results in the migration of citizens to urban coastal centers and other areas.(6) Lastly, Burke strongly agreed and believed that there is a close relationship between climate change and wars 5.
This conflict took place is because to the original rainfall patterns have been changed over the past 30 years which leads to decrease in the availability of water. In addition, the population in Darfur increases by double within a short period of time 4,5.(4,5) Researcher Marshall B. Burke explained that during warmer years, chances for civil war happening is relatively high. If the temperature rises by 1%, the risk of civil war increases by 4.5% in the same year and 0.9% next year. Burke also stated that the temperature may increase by 1 degree Celsius by 2030. Using data from the 18 climate models, conflict in sub-Saharan Africa would increase by roughly 54% by the year 2030. As a result, this leads to an approximate battle deaths of 390000 4,5.(4,5) Pete Newell is a retired army colonel who has seen a conflict happened due to the scarcity of water and energy. He stated that this war happened a few years ago where tribes were fighting for water at the Iraq-Iran border. This results in the migration of citizens to urban coastal centers and other areas.(6) Lastly, Burke strongly agreed and believed that there is a close relationship between climate change and wars 5.