Butterfly Simulation Model Analysis

During my investigation into the patch connections design, I utilized the butterfly simulation model. I used the simulation model to test the sensitivity of the three different patch connections (enlargement, Corridors, and stepping stones) when the death probability (NP) was adjusted up or down. The simulation demonstrated, through many runs, how the population of Fenders blue butterflies would react within the different types of patches with different death rates outside the patches. As I stated before, I used the simulation to test the sensitivity of each of the three different types of patches to three different death probabilities. For each type of patch, enlargement, corridors, and stepping stones, I set the following parameters …show more content…
From my data, I am able to conclude that the death probability, decreased or increased, does not appear to have a profound impact on the average Butterfly count. The patch that appears, from my simulation, to be most affected by an increased death probability (NP) from 0.1 to 0.4, is the stepping stone patch, with a difference in average butterfly count of 11.7. The extinction rate was not affect by the different rates of death probability in any of the patch …show more content…
I make this recommendation based on the data I collected from my simulated investigation. After testing the three different patch types with varying death probabilities, the patch type that was least effected by the death probability at three different rates, is the enlargement patch type. The overall average butterfly count when the death probability is different is the greatest in the enlargement patch type. However, all three averages for the three different patch types are no more than 7 butterflies