Scenario Planning Scenario

Great Essays
Having the assistance of the external advisors to create a scenario will only make that scenario to be reliable to its users. These external advisors may include people like “the customers or clients, suppliers, experts of scenario planning, external scenario consultants and analysts.
External advisors ensure that everyone involved with the organisation is accounted for in the scenario planning process. They also ensure that the goal of the scenario planning process is achieved, that is to consider a range of possible alternative futures and to analyse and manipulate how the organisation will act within the setting of each and any of the different scenarios.
These external advisors will verify that the information received is current, reliable,
…show more content…
Pick an industry context and discuss the major trends and forces that would drive the future of business in that industry.
In creating scenarios, organizations ought to hunt down pre-determined results, especially startling ones, which are frequently the most effective source of new knowledge revealed in the scenario development process.
I chose to use an organisation in the mobile phones and tablets industry. Extensively speaking, in this industry there are three types of pre-determined results/outcomes, which are: demographic patterns/trends, technological changes and improvement of network speed coverage (4G to 5G and beyond).
• Demographic trends/patterns:
Changes in patterns of population magnitude and structure are among the few profoundly predictable aspects of what lays ahead. If the population size growths companies turn to generation a lot of profits since they can provide for a bigger market share. Unfortunately the opposite is true. This trend has a very powerful effect of the future of the industry, so it is vital to stay updated as to how the demography of the country is
…show more content…
The inclusion of this trend will increase to ability of predicting better alternative futures.
• Technological trends:
Changes in technology will a very powerful effect on the mobile phone industry. So it is of great importance that the company tries by all means to stay ahead of the peck in terms of technology innovation in this industry. Scenarios can help in identifying future technological trends to provide the organisation with a sustainable competitive advantage.
Experts in telecommunication believe that mobile phones in future will be much more effective and powerful, with a battery life that that is long-lasting and new innovative screen formats (example of such screens are virtual screens which are flexible in nature). Smartphones’ glass screens will be considered relics as soon as electroluminescent polymers prove their

Related Documents

  • Great Essays

    Alexandra Corredor P. MGM 2301 Prof. Gwendolyn Wilson Assignment #1: Chapter 3 Understanding the Chapter: What Do I know? 1. How would you explain the difference between internal and external stakeholders? A.- Internal and external stakeholders are two groups of entities that follow a path to achieve their own objective, being that, the main differences between them.…

    • 810 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Great Essays
  • Superior Essays

    Lens Crafter Analysis

    • 1924 Words
    • 8 Pages

    Lens Crafters has been in business since 1983 and used a unheard off method of offering customers a set of glasses within one hour. They broke the mold on this idea giving copy cats such as Vision Works something they can use. The company has been able to evolve over time and keep up with demand and technology. They have used operations Management Successfully over the years to continue to be a major competitor in eye care needs. LensCrafters ability to keep up with technology, good customer service, appealing stores and payment options have put them above other companies offering the same or similar product.…

    • 1924 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Superior Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Question 1: Look at your company, work group or even yourself. Pull together a very simple external analysis with a least three Opportunities and Threats. Also offer your interpretation of what you’ve pulled together. How could you maximize the Opportunities you identified? How could you minimize the Threats you identified?…

    • 704 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    The strategic management process, can be summarized in five steps (Parnell, 2013): External analysis is to analyze the opportunities and threats or restrictions that exist in the organization’s microenvironment, including industry and external forces. , managers identify the sources of crises that exist in the firm’s external environment. Typically, the organization’s external opportunities and threats are identified to determine specific vulnerabilities of concern (Crandall, Parnell and Spillan, 2014). An internal analysis is a process of identifying and evaluating an organization's specific characteristics, including its resources, capabilities, and core competencies.…

    • 424 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    As you are aware, Mighty Cleaners, Inc. and its affiliates (“the Company” or “Mighty Cleaners”) have provided cleaning products and services in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area since 1953. We are proud of the reputation that we have built, which is based on offering excellent service and value to our stakeholders, including our employees, investors, contractors and vendors, through fairness, integrity and our best efforts. Every employee plays a critical role in accomplishing these goals and contributing to organizational success. To help the Company succeed, all employees must perform their position to the best of their ability. To this end, I have become increasingly aware of the decline in sales in my department over the past quarter.…

    • 463 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Overview In order to develop a successful strategy for a business, it needs to analyze both the external factors of the industry and the internal factors of the business. There are many tools that can be used to analyze the external environment. This paper will analyze the fast food industry, where Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc operates, by using PESTEL analysis and Five Forces model. The PESTEL Framework It is an analytical tool that describes a framework of external factors that is used for strategic planning and managing.…

    • 1120 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Scenario Thinking

    • 780 Words
    • 4 Pages

    Fear of the future is one phobia that every so often gets a grip of us all. Wilkinson continues to assert, "We look out into the future, trying our best to make wise decisions, only to find ourselves staring into the teeth of ferocious and widespread uncertainties. If only everything didn't depend on, well, everything else. How do we decide what kind of career path to pursue when it's not clear what industries will exist in 10 or 15 years? How do we plan our children's education when we can't know what sort of society they'll live in?…

    • 780 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    As one who has been an external consultant in the past, experience would say that internal consultant 's would be able to make a better impact on a company then external consultants. An internal consultant may have limited perceptions and may be a part of the company already. They may add a different approach to how something is done because they have seen it done in the past and have applied the techniques themselves. They are also expected to have an in-depth knowledge on what the company needs to better its position in their industry. They are hired at a lesser rate than outside consultants.…

    • 1148 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    The elements of thought, as described by Dr. Paul and Dr. Elder, include many of the same steps as the army problem solving process, with a few important and significant additions. The army problem solving process includes the following seven steps: Gathering information and knowledge, identifying the problem, developing the criteria, generating possible solutions, analyzing possible solutions, comparing possible solutions, and making and implementing the decision . When utilized in conjunction with the problem solving process, the elements of thought provide an expansion of the analysis of the problem and a wider breadth of the problem’s potential solutions. In addition, the elements of thought include the need to consider different points…

    • 1037 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    The iPod product line, is in the “Growth’ stage of the Industry Life Cycle. Sales of the iPod have nearly doubled three years straight. The iPhone, being introduced recently, is in the “Embryonic” stage. Just as the Macintosh computer product line has seen a renewed increase in total product sales, we suspect the iPhone will see favorable increases in unit sales due to the innovation consumers have seen in Apple’s product…

    • 701 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Those who have been in the business world have probably heard of the words situational analysis, however this term is not a term that should is exclusive to the corporate world it can be applied in different areas of life. To understands and see how it can be applied in survivalist prepping, we need to unpack the term and look at the deeper meaning. What is a situational analysis? A situation is a position or context that a person is operating in at a specific point in time.…

    • 736 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Great Essays

    When we look back in time telecommunication network was not considered as important as Mobile brands, but now since the development of Internet, 3G and invention of smartphones telecommunication network also plays a vital role in our daily usage of phones. • In the upcoming years we will witness replacements of networks 3G and 4G with better and stronger networks. • Apart from that mobile brands and telecommunication networks will always be complimentary to each other. • “ For businesses, greater digitization supports increased revenues, lower costs and better access to consumers and customers.…

    • 1986 Words
    • 8 Pages
    Great Essays
  • Superior Essays

    Strategy Under Uncertainty: by Hugh Courtney The article addresses the issue of being successful in a highly uncertain business environment. Some managers prefer to play it safe by taking the wait-and-see strategy through positioning large investments until the future becomes clear and some others may prefer to invest in flexibility that allow their companies to adapt quickly as the market evolve, but the price in this s case is really high. The companies sometimes neglect the fact that a successful strategy depends on their industry position, assets, or appetite for risk necessary to make such strategies work. The paper discussed how should executive facing great uncertainty decide whether to bet big, hedge, or wait and see.…

    • 1536 Words
    • 7 Pages
    Superior Essays
  • Improved Essays

    In order to get a choice to judge the idea, you require a line of potential outcomes to do as such. Above all else, before judging any idea must make sense of, Strengths and shortcomings of the idea, Favorable circumstances and drawbacks of the idea, Terrible or smart idea and make a move in preparing it or not. (Ed Bernacki, 2001). In points of interest, a company confronts an issue to finish a job on time, on account of deficiency of staff, restrictions in aptitudes required and information.…

    • 817 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    The continual evolution of the phone has redesigned technology in the time frame of one hundred and forty years through improvements that both benefit and hinder society. Despite the fact that the phone was invented over one hundred and forty…

    • 1015 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Improved Essays