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54 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
Two main aspects of Toyota's system
- Elimination of waste
- Respecting the person
ERP
Enterprise Resource Planning
MRP
Materials Requirements Planning - becoming obsolete - people are looking for ERP systems that also include MRP features
Know how to find least total cost and least unit cost from an MRP schedule table
Slides from 4/9
Types of Forecasting
Qualitative, Time Series Analysis, Causal Relationships, Simulation
Components of Demand
Average demand for a period, a trend, seasonal element, cyclical elements, random variation, and auto-correlation
The forecasting model that a firm should choose depends on
1) Time horizon to forecast
2) Data Availability
3) Accuracy Required
4) Size of forecasting budget
5) Availability of qualified personnel
Simple Moving Average
Just sum the values over the past x months and divide the sum by x (last 6 months of sales divided by 6 gives you predicted sales - can include a growth factor but the question on the final doesn't use a growth factor)
Qualitative Techniques in Forecasting
Market Research, Panel Consensus, Historical Analogy, Delphi Method
Delphi Method
1) Choose experts to participate
2) through a questionnaire obtain forecasts from all participants
3) Summarize results and redistribute among participants with further questions
4) summarize again, refine forecasts and conditions, and again develop new questions
5) Repeat step 4 if necessary - distribute the final results to all participants
Objective of the aggregate operations plan
Minimize the cost of resources required to meet demand over that period
Know exhibit 12.1
Or you will fail at life
Long Range Planning
Done annually, focusing on a horizon of more than one year
Intermediate Range Planning
Usually covers a period from 3-18 months - with weekly, monthly, or quarterly time increments
Short Range Planning
Covers a period from one day to six months
Production Planning Strategies
Chase Strategy, Stable Workforce, Level Strategy
Pure Strategy vs. Mixed Strategy
Mixed is when you use more than one of the production planning strategies. Pure is when you use only one.
relevant Costs
Basic Production Costs, Costs associated with changes in the production rate, Inventory Holding Costs, Backordering Costs
Aggregate Planning Techniques
Companies commonly use cut and try charting and graphic methods to develop aggregate plans - This involves elaborate spreadsheets and linear programming
Cut and Try
Costing out various production planning alternatives and selecting the one that is best
Benefits: spreadsheet programs like excel can perform cut and try cost estimates in seconds
Level Scheduling
A Level Schedule holds production constant over time
How does Level scheduling help Just In Time Production
1) Entire system can be planned to minimize inventory and work in process
2) Product Modifications are up to date because of the low amount of work in process
3) There is a smooth flow throughout the production system
4) Purchased items from vendors can be delivered when needed, and, in fact, often directly to the production line
What is required in order to use a level scheduling technique?
1) Production should be repetitive (assembly line format)
2) The system must contain excess capacity
3) Output of the system must be fixed for a period of time (preferably a month)
4) There must be a smooth relationship among purchasing, marketing, and production
5) The cost of carrying inventory must be high
6) Equipment costs must be low
7) The workforce must be multiskilled
Yield Management
The process of allocating the right type of capacity to the right type of customers at the right price and time to maximize revenue or yield
Yield Management is Effective When?
1) Demand can be segmented by customer
2) Fixed costs are high and variable costs are low
3) Inventory is perishable
4) Product can be sold in advance
5) Demand is highly variable
bullwhip effect
variability magnification as we move from customer to producer in the supply chain
Hau Lees Uncertainty Framework
Demand Uncertainty - X
Low - Functional Products
High - Innovative Products

Supply Uncertainty - Y
High - Evolving Process
Low - Stable Process
Outsourcing
The act of moving some of a firm's internal activities and decision responsibility to outside providers
Green Sourcing
Using items internally, eliminating waste, establish lines to help environmentally conscious customers,
1) Assess the opportunity
2) Engage internal supply chain sourcing agents
3) Assess the supply base
4) Develop the sourcing strategy
5) Implement the Sourcing strategy
6) Institutionalize the sourcing strategy
Inventory Turnover
cogs / average aggregate inventory value
Weeks of Supply
(aggregate average inventory value / cogs) * 52 Weeks
Decisions Related to Logistics
Highway (Truck) - everything uses this at least a little bit - flexible
Water (Ship) High capacity, cheap, but slow
Air - Fast but expensive
Rail (trains) - Good in Europe but not the US - low cost, can be slow and variable
Pipelines
Limited to liquids, gases, and slurry solids- high initial cost, but cheap and specialized
Hand Delivery
Last step in many supply chains - high labor cost
Cross- Docking
At consolidation warehouses cross docking is done to break large shipments into smaller shipments so that people don't have to store inventory
Issues in facility location
Proximity to Customers
Business Climate
Total Costs
Infrastructure
Quality of Labor
Suppliers
Other Facilities
Free Trad Zones
Political Risk
Government Barriers
Trading Blocs
Environmental Regulation
Host Community
Competitive Advantage
Lean Production
Eliminating as much waste as possible
Toyota System
Elimination of waste and respect for people -
7 Types of waste
Overproduction
Waiting Time
Transportation Waste
Inventory Waste
Processing waste
Waste of motion
Waste from product defects
Lean Supply Chain Principles
Lean Suppliers
Lean Procurement
Lean Manufacturing
Lean Warehousing
Lean Logistics
Lean Customers
Kanban
Kanban = sign or instruction card
kanban pull system
Using containers - two card system
Kanban squares
Conatiner System
Colored Golf Balls
Kanban Conatiner Equation
(Expected demand during lead time + safety stock) / Size of the container

D*L*(1+S) / C
Building a Lean Supply Chain
Specialized Plants
Work with Suppliers
1) Value must be defined jointly for each product family based on the customer's perception of value
2) All firms in the stream must make adequate return on Investment
3) Firms must work together to find and eliminate muda (waste)
4) Once those are met the firms must find new muda and make new goals to eliminate
5) Every firm has the right to find muda in other firms and help correct it

To be lean, everyone's got to be on the same page
Purposes of Inventory
Maintain independence of operations
Meet Variation in Product Deman
Allow Flexibility in Production Scheduling
Provide a Safeguard for variation in raw material delivery time
Take advantage of economic purchase order size
Inventory Costs
Holding/Carrying Costs
Setup or Production Costs
Ordering Costs
Shortage Costs
Fixed Order Quantity Model
D = Annual Demand
L = Lead Time
R = Order Point
S = Setup cost for placing order
H = Annual holding cost per unit of average inventory
Total annual Cost = DC + (D/Q)*S + (Q/2)*H

Optimal Quantity = Root(2DS/H)
Safety Stock
Amount of inventory on hand in excess of expected sales -
Common approaches - weeks of supply - probability approach is better
ABC Inventory Classification
Purpose - classify most important items as A to ensure that you don't stock-out
Usually top 15% expensive items are A, 35% B, and bottom 50% are C - but you can change those to put important items as A or whatever
MRP
Material Requirements Planning - based on dependent demand - ties all of the production functions to the demand functions - increases production and orders raw materials depending on demand factors
Master Production Scheduling
Deals with end items and is a major input of the MRP process.
1) Include all demands from sales, warehouse, spares, interplant needs, etc.
2) Never lose sight of the aggregate plan
3) Be involved with customer order promising
4) Be visible to all levels of management
5) Objectively trade off manufacturing marketing, and engineering conflicts
6) Identify and communicate all problems
Three Inputs into MPS (Master Production Schedule)
Firm Orders from customers
Aggregate product plan
Forecasts of demand from customers
Three inputs into MRP (Master Computer Program)
Bill of Materials File (Engineering design changes)
MPS (Master Production Schedule)
Inventory Records File (Inventory Transactions)
Bill of Materials
Contains listing of materials, parts, and components as well as the sequence in which the product is created
Lot Sizing
Strategies that have to do with how big of lots, or batches to order
L4L (Lot for Lot)
- High setup costs
Economic Order Quantity
- Ignores holding costs during the period, but only applies at the end of the period
- Root(2DS/H)
Least Total Cost
- weighs setup and carrying costs