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54 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
Two main aspects of Toyota's system
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- Elimination of waste
- Respecting the person |
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ERP
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Enterprise Resource Planning
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MRP
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Materials Requirements Planning - becoming obsolete - people are looking for ERP systems that also include MRP features
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Know how to find least total cost and least unit cost from an MRP schedule table
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Slides from 4/9
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Types of Forecasting
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Qualitative, Time Series Analysis, Causal Relationships, Simulation
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Components of Demand
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Average demand for a period, a trend, seasonal element, cyclical elements, random variation, and auto-correlation
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The forecasting model that a firm should choose depends on
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1) Time horizon to forecast
2) Data Availability 3) Accuracy Required 4) Size of forecasting budget 5) Availability of qualified personnel |
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Simple Moving Average
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Just sum the values over the past x months and divide the sum by x (last 6 months of sales divided by 6 gives you predicted sales - can include a growth factor but the question on the final doesn't use a growth factor)
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Qualitative Techniques in Forecasting
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Market Research, Panel Consensus, Historical Analogy, Delphi Method
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Delphi Method
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1) Choose experts to participate
2) through a questionnaire obtain forecasts from all participants 3) Summarize results and redistribute among participants with further questions 4) summarize again, refine forecasts and conditions, and again develop new questions 5) Repeat step 4 if necessary - distribute the final results to all participants |
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Objective of the aggregate operations plan
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Minimize the cost of resources required to meet demand over that period
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Know exhibit 12.1
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Or you will fail at life
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Long Range Planning
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Done annually, focusing on a horizon of more than one year
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Intermediate Range Planning
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Usually covers a period from 3-18 months - with weekly, monthly, or quarterly time increments
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Short Range Planning
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Covers a period from one day to six months
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Production Planning Strategies
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Chase Strategy, Stable Workforce, Level Strategy
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Pure Strategy vs. Mixed Strategy
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Mixed is when you use more than one of the production planning strategies. Pure is when you use only one.
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relevant Costs
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Basic Production Costs, Costs associated with changes in the production rate, Inventory Holding Costs, Backordering Costs
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Aggregate Planning Techniques
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Companies commonly use cut and try charting and graphic methods to develop aggregate plans - This involves elaborate spreadsheets and linear programming
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Cut and Try
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Costing out various production planning alternatives and selecting the one that is best
Benefits: spreadsheet programs like excel can perform cut and try cost estimates in seconds |
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Level Scheduling
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A Level Schedule holds production constant over time
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How does Level scheduling help Just In Time Production
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1) Entire system can be planned to minimize inventory and work in process
2) Product Modifications are up to date because of the low amount of work in process 3) There is a smooth flow throughout the production system 4) Purchased items from vendors can be delivered when needed, and, in fact, often directly to the production line |
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What is required in order to use a level scheduling technique?
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1) Production should be repetitive (assembly line format)
2) The system must contain excess capacity 3) Output of the system must be fixed for a period of time (preferably a month) 4) There must be a smooth relationship among purchasing, marketing, and production 5) The cost of carrying inventory must be high 6) Equipment costs must be low 7) The workforce must be multiskilled |
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Yield Management
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The process of allocating the right type of capacity to the right type of customers at the right price and time to maximize revenue or yield
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Yield Management is Effective When?
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1) Demand can be segmented by customer
2) Fixed costs are high and variable costs are low 3) Inventory is perishable 4) Product can be sold in advance 5) Demand is highly variable |
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bullwhip effect
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variability magnification as we move from customer to producer in the supply chain
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Hau Lees Uncertainty Framework
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Demand Uncertainty - X
Low - Functional Products High - Innovative Products Supply Uncertainty - Y High - Evolving Process Low - Stable Process |
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Outsourcing
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The act of moving some of a firm's internal activities and decision responsibility to outside providers
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Green Sourcing
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Using items internally, eliminating waste, establish lines to help environmentally conscious customers,
1) Assess the opportunity 2) Engage internal supply chain sourcing agents 3) Assess the supply base 4) Develop the sourcing strategy 5) Implement the Sourcing strategy 6) Institutionalize the sourcing strategy |
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Inventory Turnover
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cogs / average aggregate inventory value
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Weeks of Supply
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(aggregate average inventory value / cogs) * 52 Weeks
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Decisions Related to Logistics
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Highway (Truck) - everything uses this at least a little bit - flexible
Water (Ship) High capacity, cheap, but slow Air - Fast but expensive Rail (trains) - Good in Europe but not the US - low cost, can be slow and variable |
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Pipelines
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Limited to liquids, gases, and slurry solids- high initial cost, but cheap and specialized
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Hand Delivery
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Last step in many supply chains - high labor cost
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Cross- Docking
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At consolidation warehouses cross docking is done to break large shipments into smaller shipments so that people don't have to store inventory
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Issues in facility location
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Proximity to Customers
Business Climate Total Costs Infrastructure Quality of Labor Suppliers Other Facilities Free Trad Zones Political Risk Government Barriers Trading Blocs Environmental Regulation Host Community Competitive Advantage |
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Lean Production
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Eliminating as much waste as possible
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Toyota System
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Elimination of waste and respect for people -
7 Types of waste Overproduction Waiting Time Transportation Waste Inventory Waste Processing waste Waste of motion Waste from product defects |
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Lean Supply Chain Principles
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Lean Suppliers
Lean Procurement Lean Manufacturing Lean Warehousing Lean Logistics Lean Customers |
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Kanban
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Kanban = sign or instruction card
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kanban pull system
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Using containers - two card system
Kanban squares Conatiner System Colored Golf Balls |
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Kanban Conatiner Equation
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(Expected demand during lead time + safety stock) / Size of the container
D*L*(1+S) / C |
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Building a Lean Supply Chain
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Specialized Plants
Work with Suppliers 1) Value must be defined jointly for each product family based on the customer's perception of value 2) All firms in the stream must make adequate return on Investment 3) Firms must work together to find and eliminate muda (waste) 4) Once those are met the firms must find new muda and make new goals to eliminate 5) Every firm has the right to find muda in other firms and help correct it To be lean, everyone's got to be on the same page |
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Purposes of Inventory
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Maintain independence of operations
Meet Variation in Product Deman Allow Flexibility in Production Scheduling Provide a Safeguard for variation in raw material delivery time Take advantage of economic purchase order size |
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Inventory Costs
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Holding/Carrying Costs
Setup or Production Costs Ordering Costs Shortage Costs |
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Fixed Order Quantity Model
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D = Annual Demand
L = Lead Time R = Order Point S = Setup cost for placing order H = Annual holding cost per unit of average inventory Total annual Cost = DC + (D/Q)*S + (Q/2)*H Optimal Quantity = Root(2DS/H) |
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Safety Stock
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Amount of inventory on hand in excess of expected sales -
Common approaches - weeks of supply - probability approach is better |
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ABC Inventory Classification
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Purpose - classify most important items as A to ensure that you don't stock-out
Usually top 15% expensive items are A, 35% B, and bottom 50% are C - but you can change those to put important items as A or whatever |
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MRP
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Material Requirements Planning - based on dependent demand - ties all of the production functions to the demand functions - increases production and orders raw materials depending on demand factors
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Master Production Scheduling
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Deals with end items and is a major input of the MRP process.
1) Include all demands from sales, warehouse, spares, interplant needs, etc. 2) Never lose sight of the aggregate plan 3) Be involved with customer order promising 4) Be visible to all levels of management 5) Objectively trade off manufacturing marketing, and engineering conflicts 6) Identify and communicate all problems |
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Three Inputs into MPS (Master Production Schedule)
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Firm Orders from customers
Aggregate product plan Forecasts of demand from customers |
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Three inputs into MRP (Master Computer Program)
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Bill of Materials File (Engineering design changes)
MPS (Master Production Schedule) Inventory Records File (Inventory Transactions) |
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Bill of Materials
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Contains listing of materials, parts, and components as well as the sequence in which the product is created
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Lot Sizing
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Strategies that have to do with how big of lots, or batches to order
L4L (Lot for Lot) - High setup costs Economic Order Quantity - Ignores holding costs during the period, but only applies at the end of the period - Root(2DS/H) Least Total Cost - weighs setup and carrying costs |