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13 Cards in this Set

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What is probability?
It is a random set function that maps classes of events to real numbers in the interval [0,1]

It is a random set function that maps classes of events to real numbers in the interval [0,1]


What is a sample set (S)?
The set of all possible outcomes

What is an event?
Any collection of outcomes contained in the sample set S

What are the four axioms of probability?

1) 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1 for any A in (fancy A)


2) P(S) = 1


3) P(~A) = 1-P(A) where ~A is the complement of event A


4) If A1 and A2 are disjoint (non-overlapping) then P(A1 or A2) = P(A1 ∪ A2) = P(at least one of them) = P(A1)+P(A2)


Additivity Property: If A1, A2,···,An is an infinite collection of disjoint events then..
P(A1 ∪ A2 ∪ ···) = ∑ P(Ai)

Prove: P(Ā) = 1-P(A)

A∪Ā = S


=> P(A∪Ā) = P(S)


=> P(A) + P(Ā) = 1


=> P(Ā) = 1 - P(A)

A∩Ā = AĀ = ∅
A∪Ā = S

A∩Ā = AĀ = ∅

A∪Ā = S
What is the general formula for conditional probability represented by P(A|B)
P(A|B) = P(A∩B) / P(B)

What is the Multiplication Rule of Probability?

P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B|A)


P(A∩B∩C) = P(A)P(B|A)P(C|A∩B)


P(A∩B∩C∩D) = P(A)P(B|A)P(C|A∩B)P(D|A∩B∩C)


What is DeMorgan's Law

~(A1∪A2) = ~A1∩~A2


~(A1∩A2) = ~A1∪~A2


If A and Bare independent then..


- P(A|B) = ?


- P(B|A) = ?

- P(A∩B) = ?

- P(A|B) = P(A)


- P(B|A) = P(B)

- P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B)
Conditional probability does not apply under independence
What is P(A∩~B)?
P(A) - P(A∩B)

What is the general formula for discrete binomial distribution?
(nCp)p^x(1-p)^n-x

What is the general formula for poisson distribution
(e^-λ)(λ^x)/x!