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27 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Theory

often focusing on just one cause at a time

Theories explain variation

-longitudinal variation (over time)


-cross-sectional variation (across units at one point in time)

Theories generate testable hypotheses

expectations of what will happen, or observable implications

Theories take different forms in different disciplines

disciplines build theory from different foundational assumptions

Induction

building up theory from pieces of empirical evidence and observation

Deduction

starting from initial ideas or logical principles and then testing these with empirical observations

Where do theories come from?

important caution about induction


-You can't test an inductive theory with the same set of facts used to create the theory

Theories, norms, and values

-scientific theories are positive


-Not normative

Modifiable variables

causes of an outcome that we can influence

Nonmodifiable variables

cannot be changed by policy or practice

What is a model?

a graphical or mathematical representation of


-variables


-relationships


Variables

They vary-that can take on different values or assume different attributes


-observable and measurable

Relationships

That show how change in one variable produces change in another variable

Theoretical model

x y


indep. ----> dep.

Casual mechanisms

the process by which change in x is presumed to cause change y

positive relationship

high values of X are presumed to result in high values of Y

Negative relationship

high values of X tend to occur with low values of Y

Unit of analysis

the objects or things described by the variables in a model


-the major entity that is being analyzed in the study


-It is the what or whom that's being studied

Logic models

-program theories


-outcome-sequence charts


-theories of change

Graphical models often include

-inputs


-activities


-outputs


-outcomes (short/long-term)

Usefulness of a logic model

-helps identify previously unrecognized variables to track as performance indicators


cont.

helps in planning the design of a program evaluation

cont.

suggests logical weak links in a program

Tips for creating a logic model

1. start with single outcome (Y)


2. add single X variable


3. Put the program (X) on the left and outcome (Y) on right


4. add intervening variables between x and y

cont. tips

5. distinguish causal chains from separate paths


6. look for kings that need explanation


7. give nondirectional names to variables -/+


8. make sure there's not too much/little detail

Theories of the independent variable

consider possible common causes of both x and y

Moderator (interaction)

a variable that influence the relationship between two other variables