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25 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
correlation coefficient
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r: measures the degree of linear association between two metric variables
positive association r>0 negative association r<0 |
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when to use correlation coefficient
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when exploring linear association between two metric variables
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hypothesis
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-Suggested explanation
-Reasoned correlation -Possible Explanation |
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what makes a good hypothesis?
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it is good if it is falsifiable and is capable of rejection
ex. there are no cars in the park vs. there are cars in the park |
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why is a bad hypothesis bad?
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absence of evidence is not the evidence of absence
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null hypothesis
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nothing happened
-no difference between the observed and the expected distribution |
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alternative hypothesis
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something happened
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p-value
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an estimate that a particular result could have occurred by chance if the null hypothesis is true
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chi-square test
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compare the observed distribution in the sample with the 'expected' distribution
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number of groups symbol
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G
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degrees of freedom
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df
-number of groups - 1 |
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when to reject the null
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when the test statistic is larger than the critical value
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df for association
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r-1*c-1
where r = rows and c = columns ex. a 2x2 table would have 1 df |
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steps for hypothesis testing of a single mean
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1.formulate hypotheses
2. select appropriate formula 3. select significance level 4. calculate z or t statistic 5.calculate degrees of freedom (t-test) 6.obtain critical value from table 7. make decision regarding the null hypotheses |
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z-test vs. t-test
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use a z-test when the variance of the distribution is known, otherwise use a t-test
-for a large sample, t-test is equivalent to a z-test |
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how large must t be to reject the null
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t must be larger than t-critical (threshold)
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what does t-critical depend on
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-significance level (typically .05)
-degrees of freedom (n-1) -whether t-test is one sided or two sided -go to t-tables |
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Critical value of t
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two sided test:
t-critical = t a/2,n-1 one sided test: t-critical =t a,n-1 |
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probability type 1 error
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probability of rejecting the null when it is actually true
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what does a low a mean?
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higher confidence level, lower chance of rejecting the null if it is true
(false positive) |
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type II error
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probability of not rejecting the null when it is false
(false negative) |
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regression analysis
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statistical technique that is used to infer a relationship among two or more variables
builds a model that can be used to: -describe -predict -control |
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5 key steps of regression modeling
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1.hypothesize deterministic component-IV
2.estimate unknown model parameters 3.specify probability distribution of random error term-estimate std. dev. of error 4.evaluate model 5. use model for prediction and estimation |
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where do independent variables come from
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-managerial experience
-research -common sense |
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R^2
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amount of variance of Y explained through the regression
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