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19 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
The size of the potential market, the likely demand from all actual and potential buyers of a product or product class.
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Market Potential
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The size of the current customers.
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Penetrated Market
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The size of the potential and penetrated markets for the market segments.
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Target Market.
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Prediction of sales.
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Sales forecast
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They use past history and various statistical techniques, such as multiple regression or time series analysis, to forecast the future based on an extrapolation from the past.
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Statistical methods
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To directly observe or gather existing data about what real consumers do in the product-market of interest.
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Observation-based Forecasting
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1. Statistical and Quantitative Methods
2. Observation 3. Surveys or Focus Groups 4. Analogy 5. Judgment 6. Market Tests |
Methods for Estimating Market Potential and Forecasting Sales
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1. Survey of Buyer's Intentions
2. Survey of Salesforce Opinion |
Types of Surveys or Focus Groups
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1. Experimental Test Market
2. Live Test Market |
Types of Market Tests
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Seeks to explain the adoption of an innovative product or service over time among a group of potential buyers.
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Diffusion of innovation theory
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It involves the attitudinal changes experienced by individuals from the time they first hear about a new product, service, or idea until they adopt it.
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Adoption Process
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1. innovators
2. Early Adopters 3. Early Majority 4. Late Majority 5. Laggards |
Adopter Categories (5)
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1. Risk
2. Relative advantage 3. Relative simplicity 4. Compatibility with current behavior 5. Ease of small-scale trial 6. Ease of communication of benefits |
Key Factors influencing Adopting Speed (6)
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1. Make explicit assumption on which the forecast is based
2. Use multiple methods 3. Make contingency plans |
Keys to Good Forecasting (3)
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1. Forecasters are subjet to anchoring bias
2. Capacity constraints misinterpreted as forecasts 3. Incentive Pay 4. Unstated but implicit assumptions (awareness & distribution coverage) |
Sources of Error on Forecasting (4)
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A better understanding of market and competitive conditions and of what buyers in a given market want and need.
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Market Knowledge
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1. Internal Record Systems
2. Marketing Databases 3. Competiting Intelligence Systems 4. Client Contact and Salesforce Automation Systems |
Market Knowledge Systems to gather Data (4)
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The design, collection, analysis, and reporting of research intended to gather data pertinent to a particular marketing challenge or situation.
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Marketing Research Task
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1. Identify managerial problem and establish research objectives
2. Determine data sources and types of data and research approaches (qualitative or quantitative) required 3. Design research: type of study, data collection approach, sample, etc. 4. Collect data 5. Analyze data 6. Report results to the decision maker |
Marketing Research Process (6)
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