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19 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
The size of the potential market, the likely demand from all actual and potential buyers of a product or product class.
Market Potential
The size of the current customers.
Penetrated Market
The size of the potential and penetrated markets for the market segments.
Target Market.
Prediction of sales.
Sales forecast
They use past history and various statistical techniques, such as multiple regression or time series analysis, to forecast the future based on an extrapolation from the past.
Statistical methods
To directly observe or gather existing data about what real consumers do in the product-market of interest.
Observation-based Forecasting
1. Statistical and Quantitative Methods
2. Observation
3. Surveys or Focus Groups
4. Analogy
5. Judgment
6. Market Tests
Methods for Estimating Market Potential and Forecasting Sales
1. Survey of Buyer's Intentions
2. Survey of Salesforce Opinion
Types of Surveys or Focus Groups
1. Experimental Test Market
2. Live Test Market
Types of Market Tests
Seeks to explain the adoption of an innovative product or service over time among a group of potential buyers.
Diffusion of innovation theory
It involves the attitudinal changes experienced by individuals from the time they first hear about a new product, service, or idea until they adopt it.
Adoption Process
1. innovators
2. Early Adopters
3. Early Majority
4. Late Majority
5. Laggards
Adopter Categories (5)
1. Risk
2. Relative advantage
3. Relative simplicity
4. Compatibility with current behavior
5. Ease of small-scale trial
6. Ease of communication of benefits
Key Factors influencing Adopting Speed (6)
1. Make explicit assumption on which the forecast is based
2. Use multiple methods
3. Make contingency plans
Keys to Good Forecasting (3)
1. Forecasters are subjet to anchoring bias
2. Capacity constraints misinterpreted as forecasts
3. Incentive Pay
4. Unstated but implicit assumptions (awareness & distribution coverage)
Sources of Error on Forecasting (4)
A better understanding of market and competitive conditions and of what buyers in a given market want and need.
Market Knowledge
1. Internal Record Systems
2. Marketing Databases
3. Competiting Intelligence Systems
4. Client Contact and Salesforce Automation Systems
Market Knowledge Systems to gather Data (4)
The design, collection, analysis, and reporting of research intended to gather data pertinent to a particular marketing challenge or situation.
Marketing Research Task
1. Identify managerial problem and establish research objectives
2. Determine data sources and types of data and research approaches (qualitative or quantitative) required
3. Design research: type of study, data collection approach, sample, etc.
4. Collect data
5. Analyze data
6. Report results to the decision maker
Marketing Research Process (6)