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38 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
billy beane method
rethink normal baseball
instead find inefficiencies and exploit them -- scientific data driven approach to key decisions

analyze data differently -- better models of performance = better aquisition
- player acquisition
- using existing players
method of improvement for white sox case
goal = win more games w/ less $$

ex: more runs = better hitting vs. batting average
hold opponents to few runs scored

player aquisition -- work w/ undervalued assets
emergence of mgt.
prior to 1900 - no pro. mgt.

today: performance of important institutions depends on pro. mgt.
mgt. 1.0
mgr. as gunslinger

shoot from the hip/ gut feeling

performance depends on scarce mgt.

strict hierarchy
mgt. 2.0
face based decisions

DDS: decision support system (database, decision models, decision-marker insight, better tech.)
-- evolution: better data, better models, better tech., pushed lower in company

less reliance on superstar mgt.
DDS allows ordinary people to perform at extraordinary levels

what we think vs. what we know

competing on analytics
competing on analytics
sophisticated IS and analysis across all company functions

PRIMARY FOCUS = development and maintenance of analytics

FACT BASED DECISIONS IMPORTANT PART OF COMPANY CULTURE

hire people w/ best analytical skills

prop. metrics for eval. business processes

share data and analysis with customers and suppliers

TEST AND LEARN CULTURE: conduct experiments
objective and deliverables of Prime Supermarket case
obj: improve performance of FJD category at prime

deliverables:
- growth and mkt. share analysis for each juice and brand
- variety/product mix analysis for each type of juice and brand
- data analysis program to help the company make future decisions
changes in retail industry
POWER SHIFT TO LARGE RETAILERS: from mfg. "push" to consumer "pull"; bulk buying, large stores, economies of scale, control of shelves at extended store chains; store bran recognition and acceptance

PRODUCT PROLIFERATION: excess demand for shelf space, slotting fees, excessive product promotions

INTEGRATION OF SUPPLY CHAIN PARTNERS

new system more complex -- scan data
retail performance review process
retailer strategy and positioning

growth and mkt. share analysis

product mix/variety analysis

recommendations
prime's competitive positioning
differentation: better variety, customer service, everyday low prices on key items

target mkt: food and pharmacy customers (women 25-54)

primary category role: profit contributor
DDS concept
database
decision models
decision makers insights
interactive analytical modeling process
DDS design principles
reliability: output correct and consistent

audibility: user able to trace steps to generate output

modifiability: capable of easy modification

elegant simplicity: not complex, approp. degree of automation, approp. calculation/processing method
DDS effectiveness test
purpose -- goals? what questions DDS answers?

data - type and qty./source?

calculations -- which parts are calculated? what formulas are used?

changes -- easy to modify model or change data
structured approach vs. ad hoc approach
STRUCTURED: SDLC appropriate, simple model, many deliverables, large data set, BUILDER IS NOT THE USER

AD HOC: smaller data set, few deliverables, simple model, BUILDER IS THE USER
DDS design and development process
1. design
2. build and test
3. document
DDS design 4 step process
1. OUTPUT FORMS
-- METRICS: what to measure and how
-- TABLES AND GRAPHS: layouts and results groupings

2. PROCESSING LOGIC
-- MODELS to generate output metrics
-- EXCEL TOOLS/ METHODS to populate output form

3. DATA MODEL
-- SOURCES
-- STRUCTURE: table row and col. design
-- LINKS: among tables

4. EXCEL MULTISHEET LAYOUT
-- WHAT GOES WHERE in file
best DDS design processes
goal: elegant simplicity

approach: art, not science

process: iterate among 4 steps until the goal is met
DDS design tips
work backwards from end product

catch and fix problems early so they don't spiral out of control

ACID TEST: total stranger must be able to replicate analysis with new data set with no help from system developer
prime supermarkets avail. data
04-05 data for product SKU for Prime and for all firms combined competing in SE region:
-- annual sales, annual vol in sales (gal), ave. price/gal for all sales (w/ and w/out marketing promotion),

data classified into 4 subcategories (generic type of juice) and 8 mfg. brands
growth rate metric
% growth rate for mkt: (mkt. sales 05 - mkt. sales 04)/mkt sales 04

% growth rate for prime: (prime sales 05 - prime sales 04)/prime sales 04
mkt. share metric
prime's mkt. share = (primes sales in 05)/(total mkt. sales in 05)
variety metrics
variety index ratio = (# prime SKUs)/(# mkt. SKUs)
-- calculate for total categories, subcategories, and brands

TOP 10/BOTTOM 10 comparison: 10 SKUs carried by prime with LOWEST sales for yr & 10 SKUs carried by prime with HIGHEST yearly sales that PRIME DOES NOT CARRY
uses for spreadsheets
small simple databases

grid for drawing (flow charts)

financial models

stat. analysis

project mgt. (task/timeline)
alt. methods for deliverable processing
brute force: sort, output tables = data source for graph/chard

conditional calculations: ex: "sumif"

pivot table: report and chart
data model
describes how data is organized, managed, and accessed

efficient and effective organization of data: database principles tempered by analysis reqs. of excel based DSS
database
collection of tables that organizes and stores related info.
table
lists of rows and cols. containing data about a subject
columns
field/attributes of a subject
rows
records of individual instance

set of attributes
database design principles
MINIMIZE REDUNDANCY: duplicated data wastes space; increases likelihood for error

EFFICIENT USE OF STORAGE SPACE AND PROCESSING CAP.

ENSURE CORRECT INFO.: reports based on wrong data lead to bad choices
good database design
info. divided into subject based table to reduce redundant area

tables are linked together to retrieve data

ensure accurate info.

DATA MODEL IND. OF ANALYSIS AND PROCESSING REQS.
DBMS design process
PURPOSE: range of expected uses

SOURCES: identify and collect required data

DIVIDE INFO. INTO TABLES: each subject is separate table

DEFINE COLS./FIELDS FOR EACH TABLE: info. attributes assoc. with each entity/subject

SET UP TABLE RELATIONSHIPS: common fields to link across tables
DBMS vs. excel DSS
DBMS: linked tables consolidated through queries
-- FIELD STRUCTURE: based on subject attribute relationships inherent in data
-- independent of analysis tools and reqs.

EXCEL DSS: fewer tables, consolidate all info. to be analyzed in a single table;
-- FIELD STRUCTURE: based on analysis reqs. for grouping/filtering
-- EXCEL ANALYSIS TOOL/method influences design
why analyze growth?
doesn't stand still -- usually grows or declines

steady state is declining relative to to competitors that are growing

growth masks mistakes and incompetence
why analyze mkt. share?
economies of scale advantage

brand recognition -- go for the best

leverage with suppliers

correlated with LT profitability

new venture myth of capturing small amt. of mkt. share in a big mkt.

GE rule: if not 1,2,3 -- get out -- disadvantages too great to overcome
quadrant charts
plot growth/mkt. share info. as quadrant bubble charts

purpose: facilitate interpretation through visualization
-- 4 quadrants = benchmarks to eval. results
Quad. chart midpoint selection criteria
choose midpts. for x and y axis that yield most meaningful characteristics of bubble positions in chart based on overall goal of analysis

-- look for benchmark values for x and y that provide the best context for comparison for data plotted
-- choose measure external to or broader than scope of data plotted if you can
** overall mkt. share for comp.
** all stores in chain as benchmark for comparing performance
why analyze product mix?
important part of consumer shopping choice

very important in space constrained environment

source of differentation and comp. advantage

one retail mkt. mix elements: price, promotion, place/dist., product/shelf space utilization