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42 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
billy beane method
analyze existing data differently

better performance models yield better decisions:
- play acquisition
- utilization of existing players
emergence of management
prior to 1900 no pro. mgt.

today: pro. mgt. important for social functions (healthcare, education, welfare, econ, etc.); survival depends on good mgt.
mgt. 1.0 instinct
mgr. as gunslinger

- gut feel decisions
- company performance depends on mgt. talent
- strict org. hierarchy rules
mgt. 2.0 decisions
fact-based decisions

data-driven decision support systems (DDS): database , decision models, interactive and analytical modeling process

decision support evolution: better data, models, tech.; pushed lower into org.
mgt. 2.0 implications
reduced reliance on "superstar" mgrs.

DDS enables ordinary people to perform at extraordinary levels

what we think vs. what we know

competing on analytics
competing on analytics
sophisticated IS and rigorous analysis applied across all company functions

development and maitinence of analytics capability is a primary focus

fact-based decisions

hire many people with good analytical skills

metrics for evaluating key business processes

share data and analysis with customers and suppliers

small experiments to create a culture of "test and learn"
retail industry -- IT-enabled changes
power shift to large retailers: from push to pull; bulk buying, economies of scale; closer to consumer; control of shelves and extended store chains; store brand recognition and acceptance

product proliferation: excess demand for shelf space; slotting fees; excessive mfg. prod. promotions

integration of supply chain partners
old retail process
build buyer relationship -- persuasion tactics to influence decisions -- purchase decision -- ind./ad-hoc decisions (shelf layouts, promotions) -- analysis of results (long lag time and high level aggregation)
new retail process
collect and share scanner info. with mfg. -- category review analysis -- reccomend mkt. mix strat. -- data driven strategy decisions -- analysis of results -- mfg. modifies promotion and mkt. strategy
retail performance review process
retailer strategy and positioning

growth and mkt. share analysis

prod. mix/variety analysis

reccommendations
DDS process
database

decision models

decision-maker insights

interactive analytical modeling process
DDS design principles
reliability: output is correct and consistent

auditability: user able to trace steps to generate output

modifiability: easy to modify

elegant simplicity: approp. degree of automation; approp. calc./processing method; NOT clever complexity
DDS effectiveness test
purpose: goals, qualifications answered

data: type and qty./source

calculations: parts calcuatlated, formulas used

changes: easy to modify or change data
structured process vs. ad hoc approach
ad hoc: good for simple model with few deliverables; small data set; BUILDER = USER

structured process (SDLC): good for complex model and system; may deliverables; large data set; BUILDER NOT USER
DDS development process
design
build and test
document
DDS design - 4 step process
1. output - metrics, tables and graphs
2. processing logic - models to generate output metrics; excel tools and methods to populate output forms
3. data model - sources, structures, links
4. excel multisheet layout - what goes where in spreadsheets
DDS design practices
goal - elegant simplicity
approach - art, NOT science
process - iterate among 4 steps until design goal is met
DDS design tips
work back from end product

catch and fix problems before the spiral out of control

acid test: stranger must be able to replicate the analysis with new set of data without help from developer
growth market share output forms
how to measure growth

how to measure market share

how to compute for each group

how to display results
growth rate metrics
% growth rate for market - (sm05-sm04)/sm04
market share metric
market share = sp05/sm05
growth/mkt. share quadrant chart
mkt. share vs. growth rate %
variety product mix output form
how to measure variety
how to calculate variety for each group
how to determine if prime has right mix
how to display results
variety index ratio
= # prime SKUs/# market SKUs

top 10 bottom 10 comparison
- 10 SKUs with lowest sales
- 10 SKUs wit highest sales
uses for spreadsheets
small simple databases

grid for drawing/flow charts

financial models

stat. analysis

project management
alt. methods for deliverable processes
brute force: sort, subtotals, averaged by groupings, copy and paste to output tables; output tables = data source

conditional calculation: sumif/averageif function

pivot table: report, chart
data model
how data is organized, represented, accessed

efficient and effective org. of data: principles tempered by requirements of excel based DSS
database
collection of tables that organize and store related information
table
lists of rows and columns containing info. on a subject
columns
field or attributes on subjects
rows
instances for each attribute
data design principles
minimize redundancy -- duplicate info. wastes space, increases likelihood of errors

efficient use of storage space and processing capability

ensure correct and complete info. -- analysis based on incorrect data leads to bad decisions
good database design
info. divided into subject based tables to reduce redundancy

tables can be linked together to retrieve data

accuracy and integrity of info.

data model of ind. analysis and processing requirements
DBMS design process
purpose: range of expected uses

sources: identify and collect required data

divide info. into tables: each major entity becomes a seperate table

define columns/fields for each table: info. attributes assoc. with each entity/subject

set-up table relationships: common fields link records across tables
DBMS vs. excel DSS
DBMS: linked tables consolidated through queries; field structure based on subject attribute relationships apparent in the data

excel DSS: fewer tables; info. compared in single table; field structure based on analysis reqs. for grouping and filtering; excel influence data model design
growth issues
tend to either grow or decline

steady state declining relative to competitors that are growing

investors reward growth

growth masks mistakes
mkt. share issues
econ. of scale advantage

brand recognition - go with best

leverage with suppliers

correlated with LT profitability
calculation method -- pivot table
convert growth/mkt. share data to excel table

select field by groups, categories, brands

select data fields - growth rate, mkt. share, sales

change fields and views for what if analysis

refresh tables to look at updated data
quadrant charts
plot growth-mkt. share results as quadrant bubble charts

purpose: facilitate interpretation through visualization; 4 quads. = benchmarks to eval. results
quad. chart midpoint selection criteria
choose midpts. for x and y axis that yield most meaningful comparison of the bubble positions in the chart based on overall goal of analysis

look for benchmarks for x and y vars. that provide best context for comparison of data plotted

choose measure broader than the data plotted
- overall competitors
- stores in chain as benchmark for store performance
product mix
important factor in shopping choice

important in space constrained environment

source of differentiation and competitive advantage
marketing mix elements
price
promotion
dist.
product