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97 Cards in this Set

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1-1 D-me-2560 E-2380 F-2420 G-2600 SB-2600 BB-2380. 10/20 blinds. Only a few hands in. A and B seem loose, while G and big blind appear tight. Td-8c. A, B, and C all fold. A)Fold B)Raise to 60 C)Raise to 120 D)Call
Folding is right. Why? Look at all the other choices. B) Remember that although the loose players have folded and the tight players are left, you are only a few hands in and cant be sure of your reads. C)The raise is too big. If noone has anything, they all fold. If someone has a hand and reraises, you have lost 120 instead of 60. D)I don’t mind seeing cheap flops with marginal hands if I have some assurance that the flop is in fact cheap. This is an argument from tossing in $ from the button or small blind, but here five players remain to act that could raise you. As soon as you enter a pot with a marginal hand, there are a lot of ways things can go wrong, and a lot of ways you can end up spending more $$.
3-1 F-me-1650 G-1400 H-1280 Sb-1450 BB-1700 10/20 a couple hands have been played. Table is tight. 9s-8s. Folded to you.
No real incorrect play here with the 9s-8s. You can fold, since your hand is weak. You can call and see a cheap flop since your hand is disguised and position may favor you if noone behind comes along. You can raise and try to take the pot down. In situations like this, make your decision based on knowledge of the table. The table is tight, so I prefer raising or calling to folding. Raise to 85.
3-2 You raise 85. G and H fold. Sb calls. BB folds. Pot is 190. Flop Kh-5d-4s. Sb checks.me- 1650 him-1450
He called you, knowing he would be out of position. Although he got a 10 discount for his blind, he still had to call 75. Start thinking about the hands he might have called with. He didn’t reraise you so, probably isn’t holding a big pair or ace-king. His most likely holdings are the following.-1) A-x where x is queen or lower, but probably higher than four or five. 2) medium pairs 3)low pairs 4)hands like KQ, KJ, QJ You could narrow this down more if you know your opponent. If he is strong, TAG, he probably doesn’t have a small pair. You are an underdog vs every hand on the list. This is a good flop for a ½ pot continuation bet. Bet 100.
3-3 You bet 100. Sb calls. Pot is 390. Turn Kh-5d-4s-8c. Sb checks. Me( 1465) him(1265)
Sb called, but the turn hit your hand. Narrow his range a little more since you have more info. What pairs could he hold.- AA-QQ- not likely since he only called preflop JJ,TT-possible, these pairs might just call preflop and would likely call post-flop with one overcard 99,88-Nines are less likely since you hold anine, and eights even less likely since two are accounted for. 77,66- could have called both 55,44-might have called and is now trapping with a set. 33,22-unlikely pre-flop callers and impossible post-flop callers. Your beating sevens and sixes and losing to Jacks, tens, fives, and fours. You want to charge more money to the sevens and sixes, while a bet might chase the tens away although probably not the jacks. Your beating most of the a-x hands and you want to charge them although a bet will likely chase them off. KQ, KJ, or KT, he is ahead and wont fold, but this is unlikely since he probably bets the flop or turn. The odds look good for another half-pot sized bet. You need to charge the hands your beating, and there are many of those. Don’t bet more than ½ pot, since you want calls from hands your beating. Bet 200.
3-4 You check. The pot is 390. River Kh-5d-4s-9h. Sb bets 200. Pot is 590. me ( 1265) him ( 1065)
Folding is out of the question with two-pair. Your going to at least call, your getting 3-1 odds, and he might have just slowplayed a pair of kings. He could have A-9 and just decide to bet on the end. Or he also could have fours or fives and is getting value on the end. Calling versus raising hinges on stack size. You have 1465, with blinds totaling 30. your m is just under 50 which is a deep stack. Rather than get involved in a toss-up situation with a deep stack, I would just call. If my M was 10 or lower, I would raise. Call.
4-1 C-7000-me D-15000 E-6000 F-10000 G-12000 H-30000 SB-11000 BB-8000. blinds 25/50. H is Sammy Farha, super tricky and aggressive. 9h-8h. Folded to you
this hand would be playable here if you believe that your skills in hand reading, analysis and post flop play will compensate for the inherent weakness of your hand. Folding is ok, raising is ok since its aggressive and masks your hand. Calling is not as good, since someone behind you may raise, and then you might have to fold.
4-2 You raise to 150. D and E fold. F raises to 400. G folds. Farha calls. Blinds fold. Pot is 1025. me( 6850) farha(29450 )
Getting 4-1 here. It seems like your against a couple real hands, although sammy could have all kinds of hands here. Your out of position vs a raiser and a caller, with just medium connectors. Calling is only ok if you think you are much better postflop than your opponents. Otherwise fold.
4-3 You call. Pot is 1275. Flop 7s-6s-5d. me( 6450) him(29450 )
Jackpot. You hit the flop and your hand is well-disguised. How to extract the most to compensate for all the times when playing medium suited connectors gets you nothing. Since the two players behind showed strength before the flop, there is no reason to bet here. One of those two players will take the lead in the betting. The flop would have missed most hands you would have played for value preflop. A bet just announces that your hand is not what might be expected. Much better to check instead.
4-4 You check. F checks. Farha bets 1000. me(6450 ) him(29250 ) Pot- 1375
Survey the table again. Player F checked, which was significant. Had he raised preflop with a high-pair, he could be expected to bet with an overpair to the board. So for now we’ll put him on a couple of high cards, maybe A-K or A-Q. Farha would bet with a hand or without one. He could have anything, but he probably doesn’t have a big pair. He would have raised preflop to chase away one of his opponents. His probable hands are- pair+straight draw, two high cards with flush draw, or flat-out bluffing. You still have the nuts, there is no reason to believe that there is a threatening hand out there. It would be premature to raise. F might be slowplaying a big pair, in which case he is about to raise. In the absence of F, you would want to raise a little bit vs Farha. It wont chase him off, and it will build the pot slowly, so that he will call on the end with good odds. You want to get all your chips in this hand, and the best way to do it is gradually. But the possible involvement of F negates this plan, just call and see if he raises.
4-5 You call. F calls behind you. Pot is now 4275. 7s-6s-5d-Kh. me( 5600) him(29250 )
The king is good for you. If farha is on a draw, it didn’t help him. If F or sammy has a king, they made a pair. It didn’t hurt you, and might have given someone a hand that could call you. Now its time to start building the pot. You still have 5600 in the stack, and if you start now, you wont have to make a huge bet on the river. 2000 is a nice solid amount giving them 3-1 pot odds. Don’t check. You have the best hand, and your call on the flop shows that your sticking around. You cant assume that they will continue to bet for you. Pushing would be absurd since your stack is only 25% bigger than the pot. A two stage bet is better. Don’t worry about a flush draws since other hands are more likely.
4-6 You bet 2000, F folds. Farha calls. Pot is 8275. You have 3600. River 5s
The river was a bad card. If sammy was on a flush draw, it hit. He could have been playing something like 7-5 suited or 6-5 suited, in which case he made a full house. But you still have a good hand. Do you bet? 3 key questions to answer. 1-ARE YOU SURE YOU HAVE THE BEST HAND? Not anymore. 2.IF YOU BET, CAN YOU GET ANY STRONGER HANDS TO FOLD? No. The only stronger hands are flushes and full houses, and they are certainly calling. 3. IF YOU BET, CAN YOU GET ANY WEAKER HANDS TO CALL? Theoretically, yes. If you thought he had trips or two-pair, there is certainly some chance he would call. But when we look at the likely hands, it’s almost impossible that farha has one of these holdings. What trips could he hold? He can’t have trip kings or sixes or sevens, since they are all full-houses. But if he has trip fives, whats the other card in his hand? Would he call preflop with a5 or 54? And if he has two pair, then he must have started with k7, k6, or 7-6. Did he call a raise and reraise preflop with one of those hands? One weaker hand that fits all the action so far is A-K suited or off. It matches the preflop call, the bet on the flop after two checks, and the call on the turn with top pair, top kicker. But would they call an all-in bet on the end? Maybe. One more question. IF YOU CHECK, WILL YOUR OPPONENT BLUFF? Given that farha is so aggressive, maybe. The preponderance of evidence lies with checking. If you do bet, you should push since your pot-commited.
4-7 You check. Farha puts you all-in. Pot is now 11875
Should we call? 1.POT ODDS and STACK SIZE- 3.3 –1. Big odds. Need 23% equity to call. 2.HAND STRENGTH- You have the best straight, but given the board and betting, most hands you beat don’t make sense. The hands that beat you make sense. 3.YOUR OPPONENT-IS HE CAPABLE OF PLAYING HANDS VERY CREATIVELY OR BLUFFING ON THE RIVER?-definitely. I would call here, although Daniel actually folded, deciding that his hand analysis trumped all other considerations. This hand shows that vs a skilled hand reader, implied odds for draws may not be there.
5-1 A-1280 G-me-3370 SB-970 BB-1380 blinds 15/30. Big blind and C seem a little loose. 6c-6h. A limps, folded to you. You call 30. sb folds. BB checks. Pot is 105.
A limp at a large table can mean any of several things. From a strong opponent it usually means a medium pair or a couple high cards. A strong player with a high pair will usually raise, since he wants to get heads-up rather than race a multi-way pot. And a strong player with a small pair will usually throw it away since limping to often gets raised. From a weak player, a limp can mean a lot of different hands. He might limp with a high pair, thinking he’s being tricky. Or limp with a small pair, prepared to call a raise. Or limp with suited connectors. So you cant really put them on a hand. Just assume your against a medium strength hand and wait for more info. Vs a good player with a small stack (M less than 10), I may raise with my sixes, figuring I’ll mostly be a 6-5 favorite in a showdown. If my M is less than 10, Ill raise also, trying to achieve the same result. But if we both have deep stacks, I don’t want to get into a position where I can lose a big pot with just a small pair. Instead I’ll just call with my sixes, and use my position after the flop to try to win the hand. In this case you don’t know anything about player A and his M is 28. I’d play small here and just call.
5-2 Flop Kh-7d-3c. BB checks. A checks.
Not a bad flop for you. Cards are split, no obvious straights or flushes are possible. It might easily have missed both opponents, and noone has bet, so you should make a stab to try and win it. Bet close to half the pot, 55 or so.
5-3 You bet 80. BB folds. A calls. Turn Kh-7d-3c-3s. A checks. Pot is 265.
The trey is a good card for you. It only hurts if A was hanging around with a 3, which is unlikely since he called under the gun. Should you bet now with your pair of sixes? Most players get confused in this situation and spend their energy trying to figure out if A really has a king or not. The right way to think about it is: 1.IF MY OPPONENT HAS A HAND THAT BEATS ME, CAN MY BET GET HIM TO FOLD? If your bet makes a hand that would otherwise beat me in a showdown to fold, then you win a pot you would otherwise lose. That’s very unlikely here. A player with a pair of kings certainly isn’t folding, and someone with a pair of sevens might fold, but with only one overcard showing he will probably call. Pairs between kings and sevens will call. The board is just weak enough to keep all the better hands playing.
5-4B answer continued
2.IF MY OPPONENT HAS A HAND THAT IM BEATING, WILL HE CALL MY BET? If the answer to this is “yes”, then im getting more money in a pot your winning. That’s a good result, but it won’t happen here often. The only pairs you can beat are fives, fours, and deuces. The deuces will go away, fives and fours will probably but not certainly follow suit. What about two big but unpaired cards like A-10? A good player would fold since he’s about a 6.5-1 dog vs any pair and an even bigger dog if the pair is bigger than his undercard, but some weak players might call in that situation. The other reason for betting is to prevent weaker hands from drawing out on you. But if those weaker hands don’t have much of a chance to improve or aren’t likely to be in the pot anyway, that might not be enough reason for another bet. Here, the weaker hands fall into two categories- two unpaired high cards and a smaller pair. The small pair only has 2 outs( 44 unseen cards, 21-1) Two high cards have 6 outs on the river or 6.5-1. But that hand should have folded to the bet on the flop. Maybe it didn’t, but downgrade the chance your facing that hand. The bottom line- do you want to invest a bet of perhaps two-thirds of the pot to make sure these longshots don’t draw out on you? No. The best risk-reward comes from letting those hands draw, but not giving your money to the better hands that you can’t beat. So check.
5-4 A checks. Pot 265.
The arrival of the ten creates a couple of small changes. A hand with a ten now beats you. A bet is somewhat more likely to chase away a pair of sevens, eights, or nines, hands that have now become third pair. Its hard to say whether the net effect is positive or negative. I would still check down and see what happens.
6-1 B-me-11000 C-9200 D-10400 E-7700 F-13200 G-11600 H-8800 SB-9600 BB-10200 E is an experienced player, you don’t know anything about the BB. You have Qd-Qc, and table image of a world class player, Jen Harmon. Blinds 25/50. A folds.
In Ep, the only question is how much to raise. Ideally I would make a slightly larger than normal raise with the queens, since im hoping to discourage a-x hands from coming in against me too cheaply and beating me with an ace on the flop. Jennifer raises to 200, which is 4x the big blind. I like this since its not too large to discourage all action but its large enough to make a-7 and a-9 think twice.
6-2 Flop comes Qh-Jd-10s. BB checks. Pot is 625
you made top set, but on a very dangerous board. If either called with A-K, they made the nuts. Two other straights possible- k-9 and 9-8, but neither is likely to have called the pre-flop raise. Plenty of holdings drawing to a straight or two-pair. If either has a pair of jacks or tens, they have a dominated set and will lose all their money. The real danger is AK, which is very possible considering preflop action. Its only one hand among many. Betting around 500 seems bets. More money going in the pot, drawing hands are getting about 2-1 pot odds. Any hand that calls has to have something.
6-3 E raises to 2000. BB folds. Pot 3125, 1500 to call.
Getting 2-1 to stick around. What hands could be making a raise here? **AK- Big threat, beats me and fits play perfectly. You have 7 outs( 3 Js, 3 tens, Qs or 15.5%) now and 10(22%) (on the river if the turn card misses me. **K9-It takes a brave man to call a raise in EP with K9, especially since your table image is a world-class player. Minimal chance of this holding. **98(probably suited)- Aggressive players don’t mind calling with this hand in position. Against most tight players I wouldn’t assume they called if I opened from EP with this hand. **AQ- Many players would call with this hand in MP, and the nraise with top pair, top kicker. Your way ahead of this holding it only has 4 outs. (41-4 or 9%) **KQ-This holding now has top pair plus an oesd. Its less likely that he would have called this preflop, but its more likely he would have raised after the flop. ** JT(probably suited)-Like 98 this is a possible holding for an aggro player. Unlikely for most others. If he has this, he’s raising with his two pair but drawing almost dead. **JJ or TT-These match the bets so far, and are drawing almost dead. You want to see these, since they are going broke. **AA or KK- Not likely at this point, most players would reraise preflop. Kings would be more likely since the oesd better explains the postflop raise.
6-3B answer continued
Most likely are AK(suited or off), jacks, or tens. These explain the postflop play best. AQ or KQ aren’t very likely since they use the last queen in the deck. Aces and Kings don’t explain the preflop call, and the postflop raise with aces looks optimistic at best. Forget about K-9. J-10 and 9-8 suited are barely possible. The three most likely hands are AK, jacks, and tens. Many more AK combos than jacks or tens. More likely than not that im beaten now. But im getting 2-1 and I have seven outs. Im also beating most of the unlikely hands. Just call.
6-5 you check. He bets 1000.
Your only losing to pocket tens. He has 4500 left. The right play is to make him put in a little less than half his stack. This will offer him good odds, but not the odds to draw out on you. Then you put him all-in on the river, and he will be compelled to call by the pot odds. Raise 3000.
7-1 B-14000 C-10000 D-11000 E-8000 F-15000(me) G-10000 H-14000 SB-8000 BB-12000 button is conservative. you have Jc-9s. A folds. B calls 200. C, D and E fold.
Calling and folding are both ok. There is nothing wrong with folding this if you aren’t really strong post-flop. You don’t have a strong hand, cards aren’t suited, two left to act, so you don’t know if you will have position after the flop. The early call doesn’t mean much from an unknown/bad player.
7-2 You call for 200. G folds. H, raises to 700. blinds and B fold. The pot is 1400, 500 to call.
Not what you wanted to see. The danger of limping with weakish hands is that youll get an unpleasant raise from someone behind you, so if you call you have a weak hand out of position. Arguments for calling- 1 Pot odds. 2.8-1, very nice odds indeed. 2-Postflop skill is hard to quantify. I think I would call with this in position, but fold it out of position. Obviously cant reraise.
7-3 You call the raise. Pot is 1900. Flop comes Jh-9c-3d.
You have hit a hand, and its well concealed. Based on your preflop action, you opponent probably puts you on a small to medium pair or something like A-Q or AJ. Now comes the real work. To play hands like J-9 out of position, you need to be able to win some big pots when you hit your hand to balance all the times when your out of position with nothing after the flop. Top two is a prime candidate for slowplaying, so check. Since he raised pf, you should be able to get him to commit some money by checking.
7-4 You check. Button bets 1000. Pot is 2900.
build the pot, just calling isn’t good enough. It reveals you have a hand but doesn’t get any money in the pot. Raise to 3000. Puts 2000 more in the pot and gives him reasonable odds. From the point of view of the button hes getting 6000 to 2000, which looks like good odds. He might call with a hand like AK if he thinks your trying to buy the pot.
7-5 You raise to 3000, he calls. Pot is 7900. Turn 9h.
You fill up and the hand is a lock, so think about what he has. He raised two limpers preflop and got one call from a dangerous opponent. He bet the flop and got Cred by the opponent, and he just called. We can put him on- **An overpair(AA,KK,QQ) These are the most likely hands right now. The pf raise and bet on the flop make sense. If he thought he was facing a lower pair, then the call of the check-raise makes sense. He wasn’t ready to throw it away, especially with good odds, but he was afraid that you played with jacks or nines and made trips. He may think your bluffing, or playing aggro with top pair, but hes not ready to play for all his chips yet. **Jacks- Nightmare scenario, but unlikely, last two jacks in the deck, you have 1 out.**AK or AQ-possible hands if he thinks your bluffing with the check-raise. They match the other bets reasonably well. To win more money, you’ll need to make him think you were bluffing on the flop but now have cold feet.**Best play is a check vs a tight player. If he’s holding AK or one of the overpairs a check signals that you have been bluffing or you think your TP is no good. A check might set up a profitable bet on the river.
7-6 You check, he checks behind. Pot is 7900. River is 6c. Stack sizes are you 11300, him 10300
6 couldn’t have helped him so you are almost certainly ahead. You cant check he might check behind. You cant induce a bluff since he has something, he is just not convinced it’s the best. If you make a modest bet like 3000, which is unlikely but not certain to be called, or push all-in, betting in essence 10300, which is unlikely to be called, but not impossible. If you think the 3000 bet is 80% to be called, but the 10300 is only 20% to be called, then the 3000 bet has a higher expectation. The key number is the ratio between the profit from the two bets to the % chance its called. 10300-3000 is about 3.5-1 so if the % of being called is 20-70, (3.5-1) then the bets are equivalent. In this case, they are about the same, so the more aggressively you play, the more likely you should be to push.
8-1 B-2200 C-1350 D-1250 E-1500 F-1100 G-1750 SB-1200 BB-1400(me) Kc-Qs. B has limped several times and called a raise preflop. D too. A folds. B calls. C folds. D calls. E and F fold. Button calls. Sb calls.
4 limpers ahead, temptation is to make a big raise and try to take the pot down. After all, if everyone limped, they must be weak right? The stronger the players at the table, the stronger your hand needs to be. At a strong table, not everyone will be limping with Q-5 suited or similar junk. Players might limp with AK under the gun or nines in late position. If in doubt whether to raise or not, look at the first limper. If you know he will fold, then you can raise. If he will call, then just check and see a flop since each progressive caller will give the next one better odds. Some good players might deep-limp with Aces or Kings in order to move all-in after the big blind raises. K-Qo wont work since B has already been seen to limp and call a raise. Check.
8-2 You call. Pot is 150. Flop comes Ad-Kh-10s. Sb checks.
you have a pair of kings and an inside straight draw, but that’s not a good flop for you. With four other players in the pot, the presence of an ace is worrisome. 2 ways to play the hand. Check, and hope its checked around, or bet ½ pot and see if you encounter resistance. At a passive table I would be inclined to bet. At an active or unknown table, I prefer checking. When you check, you can learn something from who bets and who doesn’t. Ex- if I check and b, the initial limper bets, I would fold. He’s betting with two players left to act so he’s probably happy about his hand. If everyone checked and the button bets, I would call since he could be trying to steal. I would have folded if sb had bet.
8-3 You bet 75. D calls. Everyone else folds. Pot is 300.
Two pieces of info gained- 1 he liked his hand enough to call. He didn’t like it enough to raise. An ace with a good kicker probably would raise on the spot, his most likely hand is ace-weak. He might have a king with a weaker kicker or a pair of tens, or Q-J and is slowplaying a straight. Your probably behind, but maybe not. Check and see what he does.
8-4 You check, he bets 100. Pot is 400
getting 4-1. He doesn’t seem to want to chase you away, which is a bad sign. But you might have nine outs, which is just about right to call.
8-5 You call, pot is 500, rive is Ac
Good card. He is less likely to have an ace, and K-10 is now losing to you. Not enough to bet though. Check.
8-6 You check, he bets 200. Pot is 700.
probably beaten, but pot offers 3.5-1, which is enough to call.
9-1 Most players at the table seem inexperienced in live play, a lot of limping with suited cards, connectors, and weak aces. A-18k B-12k C-4k D-11k E-10k F-15k(me) G-18k H-6k Sb-8k BB-10k you have 3d-3c. blinds 100/200. A and B limp for 200. C folds. D calls. E folds. Pot is 900.
Three problems with limping too many hands- 1.These tiny bets add up as the hours roll by to big numbers as you keep missing flops. 2.If late players are raising, you never get to see a flop. 3.Mediocre starting hands can develop into middle pair or bottom pair hands that draw you in even further. You need great post-flop skills to keep yourself safe. You have a small pair and position on the three limpers. The pot is giving you 4.5-1. You are 7.5-1 vs hitting a set, and implied odds make it an easy call.
9-2 G raises to 1100. Button and blinds fold. Limpers fold. Pot is 2200.
Small pair getting 2.5-1 and you will be oop for the hand. The odds might be right vs a somewhat loose opponent. Your previous observations are very important. Could he have made a raise with an A-J or KQ as well as all the higher pairs. If the answer is yes, there are enough non-pairs in the mix to call. If the answer is no, and you think hes playing with high pairs + AK and AQ, then you should let it go. Hellmuth relies on his skills to smell danger and get out of the hand. But the counter-argument is that you might have to get 10-20% of your stack involved with just a pair of threes. If the flop comes three medium cards, and you check, and he fires a pot-sized bet at you, it is easy to make a mistake. So don’t call here if you think your opponent is better that you.
9-3 You call, pot is 3100, flop comes Kd-7c-6h.
First thought should be AK or KQ just made top pair, the only hands you may be a favorite against are AQ and AJ. On the other hand, the pairs below kings now have to be afraid of the king on board. Check and see what he does. You don’t have anything, and you don’t know what this flop did for him. So check and get some information.
9-4 Opponent checks. Turn comes 6s
Assess the significance of both his check and the six. This is difficult. Vs a top player you couldn’t draw any conclusions from the check. It might be a weak hand or a strong hand exploiting position and denying you information. Vs a weak player it probably means weakness. The would probably make a big bet here with any high pair. So if he is an unknown, this means the value of your hand has gone up. The 6s was good for you, since it didn’t improve the board. If you were best before your still best. But if the board gets paired, your treys will be counterfeited. So you have to do something to get him out of the pot, but bet how much? 9-4B continued answer
9-5 F calls the 550 very quickly. The pot is 2400. River is Jh.
3 bad pieces of news just arrived. F called, called quickly, and a jack arrived. The quick call indicates he knew his hand was strong enough to call and he didn’t have to ponder the significance of your bet or calculate pot odds. The arrival of the jack elminated AJ as a hand you beat. Check/fold.
10-1 A-20k B-22k C-60k(me) D-10k E-20k F-35k SB-18k BB-15k. The table has been generally tight and passive, except for F who is aggressive. It is a televised table. Many of the players seem intimidated by you. You have 9s-3d. Blinds 150/300. A limps. B folds.
Nothing wrong with folding, but why would you limp? You already have a big stack. This will make other players cautious. Ivey knows this so he is trying to get involved in cheap pots where he can feel out his opponents, see if there are any good hands floating around, and then lower the hammer when he smells weakness. I wouldn’t get involved here, the hand is just too weak. I would need like 10-9 offsuit or something like that at least. If you have to make a move here, a raise would be better. Each extra player increases odds for the next, so a raise would give you a better chance of winning.
10-2 D folds, E and F limp, sb folds, BB checks. Flop comes Qc-8c-6d. BB and A check. Pot is 2050
Before the flop- This wasn’t a good result, now there are a lot of callers. On the bright size, the pot is 2050, which gives some money to win. Noone has shown any strength by raising. Probably up against a motley collection of suited cards, a-x hands, and maybe a small pair. After flop- Good news for ivey, flop was better than average, given that he didn’t hit his hand. No ace, so players who called with a-x are unhappy. Someone may have a club draw.**with 4 opponents there is likely to be at least a pair of eights or a pair of sixes somewhere.**real question is, does anyone have a queen with a decent kicker?**The two player in front checked, which is good although either could be trapping. Noone has shown any strength. You need to bulldoze them out of the hand. If someone has a good hand, you need to find out now, before investing any more money. By betting the pot you will give a very strong hand a chance to raise you, after which you can let the hand go. If noone raises, the hand is winnable.
10-2B continued
The two checkers in front of you have also allowed you to put a squeeze play on the two players behind you. The poor fellow in the cutoff seat has to worry about not just you but also the button behind him and the other two players. Even someone with Q-J might be worried, and might toss it. If he folds, the same logic applies to F on the button. These players are under such pressure that if either of them sticks around or raises, your done with the hand.
10-2C E and F fold. BB also folds. A calls 2000. what can you infer from this.
Two clues, the one caller was the only player who wasn’t squeezed. He knew he could see the next card for 2000, and he only called, he didn’t raise. So he has something. But unless hes trapping, he probably doesn’t have a queen. The most likely candidates are something like middle pair, or maybe a straight draw or a flush draw. He could have a pair of eights or sixes in the hole, or be trapping you with a set, but all these hands are far less likely.
10-3 Turn comes 4d, A checks.
Whatever he was playing, the 4d didn’t help it. He checked again, still not indicating strength. Ivey now bets a little more than the pot, 7000. A folds. This kind of play works less well on the internet.
11-1 B-15k C-15k D-28k E-75k(me) F-25k Sb-25k BB-50k. blinds 200/400. BB is a skilled player, but basically tight. Table is generally cautious. You are Phil Ivey. You have 4s-4d. A folds. B calls 400. C and D fold.
A small pair is a good hand for getting in cheap, especially in position after several opponents.**Your looking to flop a set, after which you may make a big score. If you flop a set, your position may let you take down the hand. **Since someone has already limped, showing some strength, you have no first-in vigorish. A single limper has reduced your winning chances quite a bit.
11-2 You call. Button and small blind call. BB raises to 2700 making pot 5100. B now folds.
BB might be raising a big pair, or he might have a hand like AK or AQ, and simply be pounding on the limpers. He might even have a much weaker hand, and just be making a play, attacking the limpers. You have position and a pair, getting 2-1 odds. Call.
11-3 You call. Pot is 7800. Flop is Ah-5d-4c. BB checks.
You hit your set and have a huge hand. Only two higher sets can beat you, a pair of fives is unlikely due to his raise. Many players check here, but your phil ivey, you cant play that way. You bet when you don’t have anything, so you have to make these bets credible by betting with big hands as well. Bet 5000.
11-4 You bet 5000, BB check-raises to 15000.
He probably has AK or AQ and is pushing top pair, top kicker combos. Those hands explain both the big raise before the flop and the check-raise. He probably doesn’t have any other high pair, since he’d be nervous about the ace out there. **Two ways to get more money in the pot, call now and bet or raise on the turn, or raise now. Of the two, calling now is better. If you have read him properly, and he has AK or AQ, he could pair a card on the turn, if he pairs the ace, he improves to trips, but if he pairs the other card, his two pair is losing to your trips. Either way, your more likely to get all his chips if you call.
11-5 You call. Pot is 37800. Turn Qc. BB checks.
This is good for you, except in the unlikely case he has queens. He may have made two pair. Keep betting to keep money moving towards the center. Bet 10,000.
11-6 He check-raises all-in to 32000 with his Ad-Kh for a pair of aces. What did he learn here?
Although ivey is aggro, he will back off unless he has a real hand. BB showed strength by raising with a pot sized bet preflop, and check-raising on the flop. Neither bet took ivey out of the hand. BB should have stopped and though, “He has something real, what could it be?” Your betting announced something like top pair, top kicker. What could he reasonably have? The weakest hand that fits his bets is something like A-5 or A-4, where he called pf with an ace and hit two pair on the flop. Would a good player stick around with a pair of nines or tens in the face of a preflop raise, an ace on the flop, and now another big raise? Not likely. A second bet on the turn would be ok, but then you should be thinking about giving up.
12-1 A-1530 B-2400 C-1580 D-2710 E-900 F-600 G-1680 SB-600 BB-1500. A thru E fold. F calls from cutoff seat. Blinds 25/50. D and E are loose. F has played good and solid but has been unlucky. You have a tight table image. Sb is loose and aggro and has lost most of his chips pushing weak hands.
K-9o isn’t very good hand but 5 folds, and only the solid player in front of me calls. No harm in folding, but this is a situation where I don’t mind doing a little speculating. Flop is cheap, in position with moderately high cards. So calling is ok too, although throw it away to a raise from the blinds. I don’t like raising because it might not steal the pot and then im putting more money in with a weak hand. If player F showed he liked to call with weak hands, then I might be more inclined to raise.
12-2 I call. Blinds call. Pot is 200. Flop comes 7h-6s-6c. Blinds and F check.
We have nothing, but everyone checked, should I stab at it? Im a little uncomfortable. We area against three opponents and the more opponents we have, the less I want to try speculative stealing plays. Also, the flop isn’t so innocuous. Three calls but no raises preflop, so they probably don’t have high cards, but are more likely to have medium-to low cards and suited connectors. If that’s right, the flop could have hit someone or give them a good draw. Take a free card, if a 2 or 3 comes on the turn, maybe ill make a play for the pot.
12-3 I check. Turn 5c. All three check.
The same analysis applies as applied on the flop, only more so. If a 7-6-6 could have connected w/someone, then a 7-6-6-5 really could have connected. Im done with the hand now.
12-4 I check. River comes Kd. Blinds check, F bets 100.
I don’t think I have the best hand here and if I call I will have to fold to a raise from either of the blinds. Its possible noone has anything, or F is making a stab, or F has A-7 and thinks its good. We’re getting 3-1 odds, so call.
13-1 B-1570 C-2710 D-900 E-850 F-1530 G-540 SB-1470 BB-1530. player C, D, and G are loose. E is solid, tight, and dangerous. Your image is tight. Blinds 25/50. You have Ac-Ts. A folds. B calls. C, D, and E all fold.
You have one limper, the player in 2nd position, about whom you know very little. All the other players fold, including the two loose players and the solid player right in front of you. You have A-10, not a bad hand but not a great hand either. The combo of good position and a medium strength hand argues for playing the hand small, not big. If I had AJ I might raise here, b/c I would have one more ace I can beat vs aces I cant beat. Another improvement to make me raise would be the position of the limper. A player limping in second position makes me more cautious than one limping in fifth position. If just the one player right in front of me had limped I would raise since there is less of a chance he has some ace, and more chance he has suited connectors or some medium hand.
13-2 You call 50. The loose button folds. Sb also folds, BB checks to see a flop. Pot is 175, you have position. Flop is Ah-Jh-5d. BB checks. B bets 100.
We paired our ace, which is nice, but he is betting out despite the ace, so he may have a pair of aces as well. There is the matter of two hearts on board, which may be significant. I’d say we probably have the best hand, but its not that strong, and certainly not strong enough to get in a raising war. Most likely scenario is he has an ace and is betting his pair of aces. If he has an ace, there are four aces that beat us(AK, AQ, AJ, A5) and seven that are losing to us(A9, A8, A7, A6, A4, A3, A2). That 7-4 ratio might look good, but the smaller his kicker, the less likely that he played it before the flop and bet it after the flop, so all aces aren’t equally likely.**We are more happy than with an A-7-5 flop, since the jack would beat us anyway but the 7 and 5 are two more aces that beat us.**Wont a raise chase away a heart draw? Maybe but we have more serious problems. BB could be sitting on something. Just call.
13-3 You call for 100. BB folds. Pot is 375. Turn 9h. B bets 150.
Not a good card for us. 9 makes another ace beat us now that we were beating. The third heart makes the danger of a flush. We might still be winning, cheap 150 bet gives us better than 3-1 odds. So stick around.
13-4 You call 150. Pot is 675. River comes Td. B bets 250.
Now we beat AK and AQ and A9 and A7 KQ and 87 made a straight but they are unlikely holdings. Our opponent is undeterred, and his bet gives us 3.5-1, he isn’t trying to get us out. We are probably behind, but 3.5-1 means we should call.
14-1 SB is loose and BB is tight, good, player who tends to check medium strength hands. A-2260 B-1880 C-1240 D-1900 E-1490 SB-2340 BB-2390. blinds 50/100. You have Ac-Ts.
Your one of the chip leaders, your entitled to push a little with marginal hands. Raise 300.
14-1 You raise 300, everyone folds except for the solid strong player who calls. Flop comes 9c-7s-5d. He checks.
We know 3 important facts-1)He is a good, solid player so he isn’t playing oop with trash. 2)He called someone who opened under the gun 3)He didn’t raise. **put these facts together and his most likely holdings are two high cards, ace-x or low to medium pair. **If he has two high cards, either of us could be ahead. We are beating KQ and KJ but losing to AK, AQ, AJ. ** If he has A-x we are beating A2,A3,A4,A6 and A8 we are losing or tied with the other seven Ax holdings. The lower the kicker, the less likely is a call. So we aren’t doing good vs Ax.**If he played a low to medium pair, three of the possible pairs just became trips and the others are still beating us. **So we probably don’t have the best hand. ARETHERE ANY HANDS THE ARE CURRENTLY BEATING US THAT WE CAN MAKE LAY DOWN? If we bet and a hand we already beat lays down we gain nothing. But maybe AQ, AJ or AT might fold to a bet. But the other hands that are beating us will call. Lets keep the pot small and see what happens. Maybe our position will continue to work for us.
14-2 You check, turn is 5c. BB checks.
The five was neutral, any hand that beats us still does. No new hands are beating us. We cant assume we are the favorite, the arguments are the same as before. Check.
14-3You check. River is Kc. BB checks once again.
Kc is a bad card, making some hands we were ahead of us beating us- KQ and KJ. Also possibility of a club flush, so we want to see a showdown for free. Headsup there is little need to bet a hand only moderately strong, but still good enough to win on its own. Checks like this provide a good counter-balance if you tend to make continuation type bets, since they provide disguise and show you don’t always bet with medium or weak hands.
14-4 you check, he shows As-Jc. His jack kicker beats your ten. Analysis
our quiet play was partly predicated on the fact that our opponent was a solid, conservative player. We would have played the hand quite differently vs an aggressive player. If we were sitting vs sam farha instead of player B, we couldn’t have checked the flop. He would have seen it as weakness and fired a bet on the turn regardless of his hand. Our defense would then be to call his bet with a certain percentage of hands to prevent being pushed off the table. A better strategy vs an agro player is to bet on the flop after his check. We might win the pot right there, but if he elects to call, he’ll probably check to us on the turn, where we can check again if we choose. Roughly the same amount of money will go in the pot either way but our bet on the flop will have bought an extra chance to win a small pot, plus control of the hand going forward. A GOOD RULE IS THAT VS PASSIVE PLAYERS YOU CAN AFFORD TO CHECK A MIDDLING TO WEAK HAND, BUT VS AGGRESSIVE PLAYERS YOU HAVE TO BET THOSE HANDS TO HOLD YOUR OWN AT THE TABLE.
15-1--- 75/150 blinds. E is a solid player. Your table image is tight/conservative. E-2690 SB-me- 2310 BB-1880. Folded to E who limps. Pot 375. I have Kh-6s
your hand isn’t much and you are out of position. But getting 5-1 odds are too good with a king and noone showing strength yet. Call.
15-2--- You call 75. BB checks Pot 450. Flop comes 6d-2d-2c
Good flop for you, top pair, good kicker, no preflop raising so unlikely anyone has a higher pair. Could someone have a 2? Button almost certainly doesn’t unless it’s A-2 or 22. A tight soldi player wont put $ in with x-2 even on the button. But the BB could have anything, so if a 2 is out there he has it. Best move is to bet out and see what happens. If someone has a 2 you will know soon enough.
15-3 You bet 300. BB folds. E calls 300. Pot is 1050. Turn is 6d-2d-2c-3c
Your happy to see BB fold since he was most likely to have a 2. But solid player on the button calls, he must have something. What is he most likely to have?**He has something, and a high pair isn’t consistent with the betting so far, the best guess is that he has two over cards, both diamonds. **Since your table image is conservative, its dangerous for him to assume your bluffing with nothing. If you have something, then two high cards without a flush draw only give him 6 outs, not enough reason to call a bet of 2/3 pot. But two high cards with a diamond draw fit his play perfectly. He could call b/f flop, relying on position, and call after the flop with 15 outs.**Other possibilities though. He might have called with something like A-2 or K-2 and now be trapping with trip deuces. **Or a small to medium pair, like 77,55,44, 33 and be trapping with that. ** Flush draw is more likely since its straightforward and this player is straightforward. You have to be aware of potential for disaster.
15-3B continued
Look at possible options. **Bet 700 (40% of your stack). Pot will contain 1750 and will cost him 700 to call. Hes offered 2.5-1. If he has two overcards with diamond draw, you haven’t denied him the express odds he needs to play. You will chase him away if he has two high cards or if he thinks your original bet was just a stab. **Bet 1000(60% of stack) Pot will contain 2050 and will cost 1000 to call. Odds are 2-1 and you have denied him express odds. He may figure if he hits his hand he will get your stack in which case his odds are 2900 to 1000 or 3-1. In that case you still haven’t denied him the odds he needs even by committing 60% of your stack.**Push. Now pot is 2900 to 1850, so odds are 1.5-1. Now he is supposed to toss drawing hands. But if hes trapping your stacked. Betting 700 is best choice. Although it wont deny him odds, This bet will chase away hands that wondered if you were bluffing, while fattening the pot in case he is drawing and misses. Also a defensive bet, which may prevent him from pushing, which would give you a difficult decision. You also keep some chips if things go wrong.
16-1 BB has been active, likes to stick in small raises during a pot. Small raises don’t indicate anything about strength of his hand. B-me-120k C-150k D-70k E-50k SB-30k BB-110k. blinds 1k/2k A folds.
High pairs play best vs a single opponent. Being in a pot with multiple opponents carry too great a risk that someone will draw out on you. A limp at a full table encourages others to limp, and its usually a mistake to limp with a high pair. As the table gets smaller, the odds of a bunch of limpers gets smaller. Also a short stack may decide to move-in. I don’t like limping with aces at a full table, its reasonable as the table shrinks. Raise to 6k.
16-2 You raise to 6k. Everyone folds except BB who miniraises to 12k. Pot is 21.1k
Miniraise puts you in an interesting position. First, the reraise is an odd play. Gives you 3.5-1 odds to call, and you are in position. Any hand that could have legitimately raised from EP is forced to call. Also, you could reraise and drive him out or build a bigger pot.**This seems like a dumb play, but he made it for a reason. If you can figure out why, you may get a clue to his actual hand. What hands could he hold that make the reraise a good idea.**One possibility is a high pair like kings or queens. Now he might think “he raised with two high cards or a lower pair. I want more money in the pot, so I will do it by offering good odds, plus he might think im weak and try to reraise and I could get him all-in preflop.**Other possibility is medium pair like 9s or 8s. now he thinks “Im happy to play vs two high cards, but I need to figure out quickly if im up vs a higher pair. If he reraises he must havea high pair and I can let it go cheaply. **I could reraise, but trapping is now a valid option. We can win a big pot with good play after the flop.
16-3 You call. Pot is 27.1k flop comes Ks-Jc-6d. BB bets 12k.
Not the best flop. Two hands that might have stood up to us just became trips. KJ, although unlikely, made two-pair. Sixes are unlikely to have made a miniraise preflop. We are way ahead of everything else. **He bet a little less than ½ pot. A lot of hands might have made that bet to see if the pot was winnable. If we had tens or a pair of nines, for example, we’d be hard-pressed to call with the two overcards on board. I wouldn’t try to read too much into the bet. BB is out of position and needs to do something, even if the flop missed. We are probably ahead, but im not so confident I want to stick in a raise. Just call and encourage him to keep betting.
16-5 You bet 20k. BB raises to 40k. Pot is 111.1k.
We got check-raised, but the pot is offereing 5.5-1 to call. Very peculiar check-raise. Miniraise was peculiar too. **You cant fold your overpair with 5.5-1 odds and position. Simplest explanation is that he just likes minibets, and we cant conclude anything from it about the strength of his hand.**Pushing in is best, heres why—If you call, pot will be 131.1k and you will have 56k left and he will have 46k. You will both be pot-commited. You probably have the best hand now. Most likely he has a pair of kings or jacks, in which case he has just a couple outs on the river. If he has trips your screwed, but you are losing your whole stack anyway on the river. He also could have some kind of draw, like AQ or QT. In this case you will get called now, but not on the river. Either case there is no reason to wait now. Pot is large enough, hand is strong enough, to push now.
17-1 blinds 100/200 A-18500 D-8500 E-12000 H-9000 SB-10000 BB-me-18000. A lot of people have been limping. I have Jd-Js. A limps. B and C fold. D and E limp. F and G fold. H lims.
Jacks need to be played aggro preflop. Its no good vs several opponents, since any overcard may be beating you. **Your last to act, and you have 5 limpers. Its unlikely that there is an overpair to you jacks lurking out there. A high pair should have raised preflop, so you most likely have the best hand. You have a big stack, so you can put pressure on your opponents.** You need to bet enough to chase away at least four of five limpers. If everyone folds, your not unhappy, since there is a lot of money out there. Playing 1 opponent would be better, especially if they are holding a middle pair.** Right raise is 2500 or 150 to 200% of the pot. It should chase almost everyone away, leaving you noone or just one limper.
17-2 You raise to 1400. Flop comes 6c-5h-2h
Good flop for me, but hard to let go. If he had tens, nines, eights or sevens you are an 89 percent favorite if he doesn’t have a heart, and 85% fav if he does have one.**If he called with something like AK or AQ, things are more interesting, depending on how many hearts he has in his hand. You’re a 75% fav with no hearts, 72% with one, and 45% with two hearts!!**Could he have called with a really low pair? Three of these five just became trips. A good player would fold, with a big raise and four players to act. But weak players have trouble letting go of these hands. You don’t know about him yet, consider trips and unlikely but possible threat.**My guess would be that he has a medium pair or AK(with some number of hearts). Both hands fit the preflop limp and subsequent call.**Bet a sizable amount so 1 heart hands aren’t getting odds to call.. You cant chase out AK, and medium pairs are such a big underdog that they shouldn’t call any reasonable bet if they knew what you had. Bet 3500. Don’t push. Only hands you beat will call you.
17-3 You bet 3500, A calls. Pot is 10850. You have 13100 left. A barely has you covered. Turn 8h.
Not happy about the 8h. If A was holding Ah-Kh he is ahead, or Ah-Qh, or a pair of eights. All are possible hands.**Time to push!! Here is why—1)Im going to ignore the possibility that we are vs trip sixes, fives, or deuces. It is almost impossible to call here preflop with so many to act behind.**2)A couple of the hands we beat just hit the jackpot, there are many more that we are beating. Two question to answer when I make a big bet late in the hand—If the answer to both is yes, you have a great betting opportunity. If the answer is no, then just check. If one answer is yes and the other is no, look closely at how many hands are in each group, and the likelihood that they will, in fact, call or fold. 1.ARE THERE HANDS BEATING ME THAT WILL FOLD?-no. The hands that are beating you are Ah-Kh, and Ah-Qh, which just made a flush, and a pair of eights which just became trips. They aren’t folding. But fortunately, there aren’t very many of these hands.
17-4B continued
2.ARE THERE HANDS IM BEATING THAT WILL CALL-AK or AQ with a single heart might call you on the theory that you might be bluffing, and they have outs even if your not. A pair of tens or nines or sevens might call b/c you could be playing a lower pair, or bluffing with two high cards, and if the pair has a heart, then they have 11 outs if they are wrong. Betting only 5000 gives these medium hands with a heart the correct odds to call. This category(the hands your beating that will call) actually contains a lot of hands. **So there are plenty of hands that can call and lose and your all-in move denies the hands with a single heart the proper pot odds to call if they knew what you had. Your probably still the favorite.
17-5 strategy for handling AK in early position employed by top players as an alternative to raising.
Limp EP, some limpers enter the pot behind you looking to see a cheap flop with weak hands. One of the blinds picks up a reasonable hand and makes a big raise trying to scoop the pot. You counter with a bigger reraise representing a pair of aces. You are in great shape unless the blind happened to have aces or kings. Your still in great shape even if called, with lots of money in a big pot.
18-1 bay 101 tournament. You get a 5k bounty for knocking out the button who is a superstar. G-10k, SB-20k BB-me-30k. blinds 1500/3000. 6s-5d. A thru F fold. Button pushes with 10k. Pot is 6300 before this.
6300+10000+5000(bounty if you win)= 21.3k and 7k to call or about 3-1. You aren’t a 3-1 underdog here. If he pushed with any two(correct strategy with his M of 2). You have 40% equity or 3-2 dog. If he was a little conservative , since he wont have to post for several more hands, and he pushed with the top 60% of his hands, you have 36% equity or a 2-1 dog. Even if he only pushes with 44+, A7s+, A90+, KJs+, you have 30%, 2.3-1 dog, still an easy call. If he was a rock and pushing with tens+ and AK, you still have 25% equity, and it would be a toss-up. That would be an unrealistic assumption, so you must call.
19-1----E-gus Hansen-27k F-22k G-18k-me Sb-36k BB-allen Cunningham-4.4k blinds 200/400. you have 7h-7s. Folded to Gus who raises to 1.3k. F folds.
call or raise, and how much? **Arguments for raising- Gus may be bluffing, I can take the pot down now. **Arguments for calling- 1. My M(16), is not huge, but not tiny either. A raise to about 4k gets almost a quarter of my stack commited with a pair of sevens. If my M were 9 or 10, I would be planning on raising here and probably would go all the way with the hand. If M was 9 or 10, I would be planning on raising here and probably going all the way with the hand. Vs a known aggro player, you must be prepared to gamble with hands like small pairs and a shrinking M. But a good, solid M or 16, Im inclined to be a little more cautious. **2. My position- I have position on Gus throughout the hand. I can play some small-ball and let my position do some of the work for me.**3. The big stack is sitting right behind me in the small blind. Id like to see what he does before I make a decision for a lot of chips. If he gets in the hand, Im less enthused about playing, and by calling I can get info cheaply. **4. The small stack. Allen Cunningham is the big blind with the, and his M is only about 4. He’ll be looking to get involved with a wide variety of hands. If he moves all-in, I can see what Gus does before I have to act. So call. With sevens of eights are the only pairs that give me trouble in this situation. With any better I am certainly raising. With any pair less than sevens Im just calling.
19-2 You call. Sb folds. Allen moves all-in for his last 4k from the big blind. Gus calls 2700. Pot is 10.35k.
2700 to call. Pot is about 4x this. I definitely have odds to call, but can I do something better? The key here is that Gus called but didn’t raise. Usually when both players have deep stacks, and one just calls in a position like this, it means he is playing a medium strength hand. That’s a good situational tell, more reliable than most b/c a very strong hand would raise because of the possibility of winning a huge pot, and a merely good hand would also raise because of the possibility of losing a huge pot. If a good hand raises and doesn’t win the pot, they are probably beaten and can get out quickly, whereas calling and seeing a flop can get them locked into a second-best hand. Just calling means a medium hand that wants to see a pot. Gus has a J-9 or 8-6 type hand, or a weak ace like a-4, a hand that can really benefit from a good flop. And since I called but didn’t reraise the first time around, and since I have a conservative table image, gus probably puts me on a low pair, maybe kq or qj suited type hand.**Allen Cunningham is a complicating factor, although his M is low he didn’t have to be desperate this hand. Next hand he is in the small blinds, after that he moves to the button and has seven more hands before he has to dip into his stack. He probably has a good hand, AJ, KQ or better. **Still, eliminating Gus from the hand will increase my chances. **Just calling allows gus to put a lot of pressure on me postflop.**Push to get rid of gus and leave you heads up vs allen, with a lot of dead money from gus in the pot.
19-3 You call. Pot is 13050. Flop comes Kh-5s-4d. Gus bets 3200 creating a side pot.
I actually liked this flop, with two cards below my sevens, but when he bet I understood how big a blunder I had made on the flop. The problem is, I may well be beating Gus, assuming I was beating him from the start, but how am doing against allen? If I he went all-in with a higher pair than mine Im still losing and if he went allin with a couple of picture cards, several of those combos just beat me as well. If I call against gus, I may be only playing to win the money in the side pot, since the main pot may be out of reach. Whats really happened here is that gus and I are, in effect, locked in a game of checken and whoever bets first wins by putting the opponent in an untenable. Assuming gus and I are playing roughly the same type of hands, theres no advantage any longer to acting second. In fact, the advantage goes to the player who can act first, leaving his opponent a choice of two evils.
20-1 E-20k F-24k-me G-12k SB-20k BB-3.9k E is competent with some good results. BB is the short stack with M of 2. A thru D fold. E raises to 3575. You have Kc-Qc, blinds 300/600.
Your hand is strong enough to play with position, but not strong enough to reraise. Im happy to call and see what happens.
20-2 button folds, sb calls. Bb goes all in for 3300. E folds.
Now I am in almost the same situation as the previous problem. Im not concerned with the big blind, whose M was so small that he was almost forced in with any reasonable hand. Im focused instead on the small blind, who only called the first time around. A strong hand would have raised to nullify some of the effects of being out of position. Im pretty sure hes got a small pair or a couple of low connectors, and he wants to see a relatively cheap flop. If im right, I want to get rid of him and go heads up against the big blind, who could have almost anything. **Note that the pot right now contains plenty of dead money. Theres 1800 contributed by player E, and another 1800 from the small blind, if I can chase him away. That dead money is a big payoff for an aggressive move. Raise to 7000. it will let me get away with most of my stack if the sb has been trapping with some huge hand(unlikely),
22-1 D-420k-me SB-440k-Scotty Nguyen BB-gus Hansen-940k. Blinds 5/10k Pot 27k. I have 8d-7s
Really no wrong play here. Hand is weak enough that you can just fold and let the blinds fight. Raising is plausible and might work. However, the two players behind you, nguyen and Hansen, are aggressive and don’t mind a good fight, so raising wont win the hand as often as you might like. Calling is a quiet little player which keeps you in the hand cheaply with positional advantage. I like that the best.
22-2 Flop 8h-8c-5d. Scotty bets 20k, Gus folds.
Great flop, unlikely he has the eight, so you should be a big favorite. How do you respond to the bet. Obvious choices are a call or a small raise. Calling represents a draw, or maybe an underpair to the board, or a five, or maybe two overcards, which might be good if we thought he was bluffing. A small raise represents the same hand but with a more aggressive attitude. Maybe we don’t have much, but we think Scotty is bluffing and we want to move him off the hand. **To decide between the call and the raise, we have to know something about how Scotty plays. He is very aggressive, but less respectful of apparent strength than phil ivey or gus Hansen. They will attack relentlessly, but will pull back if resistance appears and they have nothing. Scotty will push a little harder against resistance. IF he thinks he can push you off a hand he will keep trying to do so. It is higher risk and higher reward. Longball strategy. With that profile, the small raise looks slightly better than the straight call. It gets more $$ in the pot right away and offers great calling odds if he has anything at all.raise to 40k.
22-3 You raise to 40k, he raises 50 more to 70k. Pot 170k
He raised you, which was a little unexpected. But he only raised a little bit, the pot has 172 and you need 50 to call so your getting 3.5-1. Big odds, and with your table image(hard to push off a made hand), nguyen must expect you to call unless your on a complete bluff. Call. The pot odds are so good that your not really letting the cat out of the bag by calling. You might have an underpair or a five or a draw, although the only plausible draw right now is the open-ended straight if you have precisely 7-6. Hopefully that’s enough possibilities to keep him guessing. **What about his hand? You don’t really know what he has, although in truth you don’t care much. Your beating all his hands except a pair of fives or the case eight with a better kicker. At this stage of the tournament, with all four players with an M of 15 to 20, you will have to take that chance to double up.
22-4 You call. Pot is 222k. Turn is Kc, he bets 120k.
There is now a club flush draw on board, but that’s a long shot you cant worry about. Whatever he has, its probably not a draw, so there is no need to rush the betting. Just call, and try to get the rest of the money in on the river, where the pot will be so large that he may have to call.
23-1 A-Layne flack-220k B-Phil ivey(me)-280k C-100k SB-90k-andy bloch BB-200k-howard lederer. Blinds 2/4k. Pot 8.5k. You have Qd-6d
Not an atrocious call at a five-handed table. You have a little bit of a hand, getting 3-1 odds, and you will have position after the flop on everyone but the button. It’s a little risky, but aggressive players often make calls with less.** Calling > folding, a conservative and reasonable play > raising, with a limper ahead of you. The idea is to see a flop and wield your positional advantage. Raising would be reasonable on a 5 handed table if noone had entered yet.
23-2 You call 4k. C folds. Bloch and lederer call. Pot is 18500. Flop Kh-10h-3c. Bloch checks. Lederer bets 8k. Flack folds. Pot is 26500.
Noone has showed strength preflop. Bloch only checks, showing no real interest in the hand. Lederer makes a bet of less than half the pot, a probe-type bet. He might have something, he might just want everyone to go away to take a small pot. **Ivey smelled weakness and made a big raise. He is thinking that if lederer had a strong hand like a king and a good kicker, he would have bet more or checked and with a monster like two pair or trips he might not have bet at all with two aggressive players left to act. **If ivey is right, lederer doesn’t have a big hand, the best he might have is a king with a weak kicker. Ivey also knows lederer is capable of going away with a small loss if he thinks that hes likely beaten. Put all these facts together and a strong raise looks like a good play. Its also a standard defense vs a player who likes to make small probe bets to win pots where noone has anything. Just come over the top strongly, letting him know that approach wont work. **Ivey raises to 25k.
24-1 C-ivey-520k D-610k SB-me-david Williams-2,200k BB-400k. blinds 12/24k. pot 54k. Folded to Ivey who raises to 70k. D folds.
your not folding. Make two simplifying assumptions 1-Ignore the BB small stack. Given the action he will probably fold unless he picks up a very strong hand, like top 5%. That’s a small enough calling frequency that whatever play we decide is correct for the two player case will be right overall. ** First, look at calling vs pushing. Intuitively, it seems that pushing would show a nice profit. Ivey will fold many hands he would raise with, and our fives are a small favorite vs some of his calling hands. **I estimate Ivey would raise with any pair(73 hands, 6 combos each except 2 for 5s), and ace(184 hands, only 2 a-5 hands instead of 16), any two cards 10 or higher- KQ,KJ,KT,QJ,QT,JT (96 hands)**
24-1B continued
This is probably a conservative list. I wouldn’t be astonished if he moved with 9-8. But the more hands he could use, the better a play pushing becomes, since he has more hands to fold. So whatever we get for an answer will represent a conservative estimate for the strength of pushing. **This gives us 353 hands that ivey might be folding. I think he calls with nines+, AK, AQ, AJ. This gives 84 calling hands, about 25% of what he might be raising. Of these 43% are high pairs, and 57% are strong A-x hands where we are a favorite. **Three possible results. 1.If he folds, we win the pot- 124k. 2.if he calls and we lose, we lose 508k.(12sb+58 to call+ 450 for the rest of his stack) 3. If he calls and we win, we win 124k pot + 450k stack= 574k**We must figure out how much we win if we push and he calls. We know he calls 25% of the time. He will have a high pair 43% of the time, and 57% strong aces. **high pairs 25%*43%= 11%**Two high cards 25%*57%= 14%. We win 20% vs high pairs and 54% vs two high cards so***when he calls we win 2.2%+7.5% = 10%. We lose the rest, 15%.*****
24-1C continued
Assigning an evaluation to calling is a little more difficult. Assuming—If we call, pot is 182k, we have a pair of fives out of position. One time in 8 we hit a third five and win at least the pot. If the flop misses ivey we might not win much more. Seven out of 8 times, we miss the pot and are oop with a small pair. It will be easy to make a mistake. Under this scenario, is there any reason to think we have 40% or more equity of the pot? No. At best, we might be breaking even. But I doubt we could do better than that in the long run. So pushing dominates calling by a wide margin. Pushing >modest raise> call > fold.
24-2 You call. Pot is 182k. Flop comes 10d-4c-2d
Good flop for you, two cards lower than your pair. If he was playing two high cards, you likely have the best hand. We know ivey likes to take the lead when he sees weakness, and so far all he has seen is a preflop call. He will probably bet if you check. Then you can raise and hopefully win a larger pot. If you bet he will fold hands you beat and call/raise hands that are ahead.
24-3 You check. Ivey bets 105k.
Push all-in. If you bet smaller and he reraises, you will have to call anyway, so you might as well get chips in first.
24-4 You push, he folds. Analysis?
small pairs don’t play well post-flop, they are usually best preflop, but not post-flop. They need to be played fast, especially out of position.
6-4 You call. Pot is 4625. Turn Td.
Your trips have improved to a full house, so the only holding that beats you are pocket tens. Judging from his last raise, he has something, and may bet it. You have a lock, so how to extract the most. He looks like he will bet, so check-raise. If you wanted to bet, look at stacks and what odds you can give him. Pot is 4625, he has 5500. A bet of somewhat less than half the pot offer the best combo of maximizing money in while minimizing chance he folds.
16-4 You call. Pot is 51.1k. Turn is 7h, BB checks.
Turn card was harmless, the check is good news. Time to keep massaging the pot. Bet 20k. It’s a good amount, about 40% of the pot. It should keep the ball rolling. No reason to assume we are beaten. Its possible, but much more likely we are ahead. Don’t bet big get so he cant get away.
24-1B continued
This is probably a conservative list. I wouldn’t be astonished if he moved with 9-8. But the more hands he could use, the better a play pushing becomes, since he has more hands to fold. So whatever we get for an answer will represent a conservative estimate for the strength of pushing. **This gives us 353 hands that ivey might be folding. I think he calls with nines+, AK, AQ, AJ. This gives 84 calling hands, about 25% of what he might be raising. Of these 43% are high pairs, and 57% are strong A-x hands where we are a favorite. **Three possible results. 1.If he folds, we win the pot- 124k. 2.if he calls and we lose, we lose 508k.(12sb+58 to call+ 450 for the rest of his stack) 3. If he calls and we win, we win 124k pot + 450k stack= 574k**We must figure out how much we win if we push and he calls. We know he calls 25% of the time. He will have a high pair 43% of the time, and 57% strong aces. **high pairs 25%*43%= 11%**Two high cards 25%*57%= 14%. We win 20% vs high pairs and 54% vs two high cards so***when he calls we win 2.2%+7.5% = 10%. We lose the rest, 15%.*****
so 75% of the time, he folds and we make 124k. our equity is .75x 124k= 93k.***10% of the time, he calls and we win. Our equity is .1x 574k= 57.4k***15% of the time, he calls and we lose. Equity is 15%x –508k= 76.2k.****93+57.4-76.2k= 74.2k or a substantial positive expectation.