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6 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
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Denying the Antecedent |
X |
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Affirming the Consequent |
X |
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Conjunction Fallacy |
If A contains B, B cannot be more probable than A. A(%) x B(%) - Overall probability will be lower |
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Base Rate Fallacy |
Saying that, based on information alone, you have a result. (Ex. 95% chance of having something, saying you probably have it) You have to compare the percent chance of you having the thing to the chance of the whole. |
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Small Numbers Fallacy |
Smaller samples tend towards extremes. Ignoring that fact is a fallacy. |
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Gambler's Fallacy |
H, H, H, H, _ Saying the next is more likely to be tails because of the proceeding information. It's still 50%. |
