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43 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back

Subjective

Based on feeling or opinion

Empirical

Based on experience

Theoretical

Based on assumptions

Relative frequency

a= number of times an even occurs


n= number of trials


=a/n

Complement rule

P(Ac)=1-P(A)

Intersection of two events

P(A and B)

Union

P(A or B)

General Addition rule

P(A or B)= P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)

Disjoint events

P(A and B)=0

Multiplication rule for independent trials

P(A and B)= P(A) * P(B)

Conditional Probability

P(A/B)

P(A/B):

The probability of A occurring given B has occurred

P(A and B)/P(B)

P(A/B)

two events are independent if

P(A)=P(A/B)=P(A/Bc)


P(B)=P(B/A)=P(B/Ac)


P(A and B)=P(A)*P(B)

Random phenomenon

any even for which the outcome is uncertain

random variable

a numerical value associated with the outcome of a random phenomenon

Discrete random variable

A distinct set of numerical values associated with random phenomenon with countable outcomes.

mean of a discrete random variable.

u=(sum)[xP(x)]


x= expected variables


P(x)=probability of expected variable

Binomial Random Variable conditions

n= number of trials that has two possible outcomes


each trial has a probability of success=p


n trials are independent



Parameter of binomial random variable

are values that completely summarize the behavior of random variables


n=number of trials


p=probability of success

n!=

1x2x3x(n-1)xn

0!=

1

mean of binomial random variable

u=np

std dev of binomial random variable

o=(root)np(1-p)

z=

(x-u)/o

standardizing allows for

comparison

Models for data distribution

shape


center


variability

Shapes can be

unimodal


symmetric


bell-shaped

rule for normal models

1 std dev=68%


2 std dev= 95%


3 std dev = 99.7%

something is unusual when

something has a z-score of above 3

Population

Group you want to collect information from.

Parameter

summary of information wanted from population. (proportion)

sample

smaller group selected from population that we obtain information from.

Statistic

Summary of information collected from sample. (p(hat)=proportion of sample members)

p(hat) infers to what?

value of p

Sampling variabliltiy

the variability in a sample statistic

Sampling distribution

Many possible samples


Each sample gives a sample proportion


These sample proportions are quantitative values

n in sampling distribution is

sample size

as sample size increase the sampling distribution changes in what ways

mean: stays the same


Std dev: decrease


Shape: the same

std dev of p(hat)=

(root)(p(1-p)/n)

how to tell if success or failure

both np and n(1-p) are greater then 15

N in sampling distributions are

number of times samples are taken and analysed.

SD(x(hat))=

o/(root)n