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48 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
Macroeconomic Policy Trilemma:
What are the three desirable policy choices? |
1. fixed exchange rates
2. free movement of capital 3. independent monetary policy |
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What is the macroeconomic policy trilemma?
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Only two of the three desirable policy choices can be attained simultaneously.
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Who is Robert Mundell?
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1999 Nobel Prize winner for International Economics, described "The Impossible Trinity" of policy trilemma
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Free Movement of Capital: In order to free up its financial markets and join world financial & monetary system, a country needs to:
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1. Open up currency transactions
2. Open up capital movements 3. Open up movement of goods |
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If US interest Rate > German interest rate then...
EX of Uncovered interest Parity |
Dollar expected to depreciate
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If German interest rate > US interest rate then...
EX of UIRP |
Euro expected to depreciate
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Do Central Banks set interest rates?
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No
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How do central banks affect interest rates and exchange rates?
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Buy & Sell government securities
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What is domestic credit?
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value of domestic securities held by a central bank
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What are the central bank's assets?
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domestic credit & foreign reserves
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Free Movement of Capital: Free to invest in ____ and ____ assets.
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Free to invest in DOMESTIC and FOREIGN assets.
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Free Movement of Capital: Hold both ______ and ______ Treasury bills.
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Hold both US and GERMAN Treasury Bills.
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Free Movement of Capital: Expected returns must be ______.
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Expected returns must be EQUALIZED.
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Free Movement of Capital: Uncovered Interest Rate Parity
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Relates exchange rates and interest rates..equal interest rate, equal return... depreciation of a dollar would have to be matched by interest rate change in a country to equalize returns
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Free Movement of Capital:
Interest rate differential equals___________________ |
Interest rate differential equals expected rate of depreciation
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Free Movement of Capital: Fixed _______ rates
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Fixed Exchanged rates
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Free Movement of Capital: No expectations of _________________
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No expectations of depreciation
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Free Movement of Capital:__________ rates equal between countries.
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INTEREST rates equal between countries.
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What is an example of a capital control?
Is it used today? |
Restrictions on the amount of foreign currency that domestic residents can purchase.
YES, by small countries |
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Capital Controls permit the ________ rate to be different from the world rate with fixed exchange rates.
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DOMESTIC
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What is the disadvantage of capital controls?
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Reduce the efficiency of international capital markets
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How are exchange rates fixed?
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Capital & Exchange Controls:
1.fixed by fiat 2.countries announce exchange rate 3.not necessarily rates that people conduct trade 4.parallel or "black" markets |
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Fixed Exchange Rates: How are exchange rates fixed?
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Free movement of capital, expected depreciation must be zero, domestic interest rate must equal world rate
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What policy is necessary to fix exchange rates?
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Monetary policy
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Foreign securities are denominated in ___________ currency. Frequently, take form of ______ issued by foreign govts.
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FOREIGN, BONDS
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Foreign Securities are..
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FOREIGN RESERVES
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What are the liabilities of the Central bank?
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currency in circulation, bank reserves held by commercial banks (mostly required by the Fed)
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What are Open market operations?
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central bank purchases domestic credit with currency
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What is Foreign Exchange Intervention?
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central bank purchases foreign reserves with currency
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open market operations and foreign exchange intervention affect the ___________ and __________
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MONEY SUPPLY & Interest Rates
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Open market operations and foreign exchange intervention increase the money supply to...
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decrease interest rates
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Open market operations and foreign exchange intervention decrease the money supply to...
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increase interest rates
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Monetary Policy: How to fix exchange rates with free movement of capital?
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1. Central bank directs monetary policy towards keeping the domestic interest rate equal to the world interest rate.
2. keep expected depreciation zero 3. cannot direct monetary policy towards other objectives |
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Cannot have independent monetary policy when...
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fixed exchange rates and free movement of capital
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With fixed exchange rates & free movement of capital, independent monetary policy is not possible because...
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monetary policy is directed towards fixing the domestic interest rate at the world interest rate & not towards other objectives such as inflation or unemployment
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Cannot have free movement of capital when...
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there are fixed exchange rates and independent monetary policy
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No free movement of capital w/ fixed exchange rates & independent monetary policy bc
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monetary policy does not necessarily set domestic interest rate equal to world interest rate, can't allow exchange rate to be market determined
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Cannot have fixed exchange rates when...
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independent monetary policy and free movement of capital
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Independent monetary policy & free movement of capital allows no fixed exchange rates bc
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country must allow its exchange rate to be market determined - free to move
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What is the United States policy choice?
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independent monetary policy, free capital mobility, flexible exchange rate
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What countries have a macroeconomic policy similar to US
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Australia, canada, United Kingdom
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What 12 countries joined by combining their national currencies to form the Euro in January 1999 and 2001?
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Austria, belgium, france, finland, germany, ireland, italy, luxembourg, netherlands, portugal, spain...Greece
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What are these countries known as?
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Eurozone, Jan2002 elimnated indivdual currencies in favor of EURO notes & coins, European Central Bank conducts monetary policy for the EUROZONE
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What is the internal policy of the Eurozone?
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free movement of capital, fixed exchange rates, no monetary policy (Same as US)
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What is the external policy of the Eurozone?
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independent monetary policy, free movement of capital, flexible exchange rates, same as US
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What is China's macroeconomic policy?
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Fixed exchange rates, independent monetary policy, but controls on capital
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China has pressure to allow more _______ __________ flexibility
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exchange rate, by US to let YUAN appreciate, not much response so far (2%)
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China is fueled by a trade _____
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deficit
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