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hindsight bias
the tendency to believe, after learning and outcome, that one would have foreseen it (Also known as the I-knew-it-all-along phenomenon)
critical thinking
thinking that does not blindly accept arguments and conclusions. Rather, it examines assumptions, assesses the source, discerns hidden values, evaluates evidence, and assesses conclusions
Why is overconfidence toxic?
Overconfidence in our judgments results partly from our bias to seek information that confirms them
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