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68 Cards in this Set
- Front
- Back
power
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the ability to make someone continue a course of action, change what he or she is doing, or refrain from acting.
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power potential
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the relative capabilities or resources held by a state that are considered necessary to its asserting influence over others
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Trends in armed conflict
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-civil war is growing
-big powers are not fighting as much -Global South has the most conflict (least stable countries) |
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Interstate war vs Civil war
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Interstate- between states
Civil war- war in one state |
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Utility of war
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Value minus Cost
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Rationality assumption
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Balance of power relies on the fact that leaders are rational.
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Assumption of risk aversion
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Balance of power assumes that leaders are risk adverse and cautious. But some are risk acceptant (gamblers)
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"Rules" of balance of power system
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-be vigilant
-seek alliances whenever you cannot match the armaments of your adversaries -alliances should remain flexible -oppose any state that seeks hegemony -be moderate in victory |
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Flexible, amoral alliances
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alliances should be separate from morals and ethics. Ex. Churchill and Stalin
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Polarized alliances
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"Two" big powers and everyone aligns with one or another. "Polarized"
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Balancer
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an influential global or regional state that throws its support in decisive fashion to the weaker side of the balance of power
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Secret diplomacy
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be able to form alliances quickly and quietly before enemies know what's up
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great-power concert
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when many great powers ally together to keep the balance of power amongst themselves fairly equal
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Concert of Europe
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everyone plays by certain rules, and rivals. Assumes there is a hidden hand behind it all. Well, things can get out of alignment. Europeans tried to put order. Any time the great powers get together to discuss their differences and resolve without war
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bandwagoning
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some little states bind with the strong rather than balance against them
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cleavages: crosscutting
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multi-power. A and B disagree on somethings, but agree on others. Difference are all jumbled up. War is less likely
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cleavages: overlapping
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disagree on one thing, disagree on all ten. bipolar system most likely. War more likely. Lots of hostility
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"rules" of collective security system
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-All threats to peace must be a common concern to everyone
-Every member of the state system should join the collective security organization -Members of the organization pledge to settle their disputes through specific means -If a breach of the peace occurs, the organization will apply timely, robust sanctions to punish the aggressor |
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League of Nations vs UN
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-quickly put together/better thought out
-major chances to stop aggressors when it didn't/helps things better |
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Types of sanctions
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-Declaration- statement of principle
-Resolution- declaration of principle that calls upon someone to do something -convention (multilateral treaty)- declaration of value, someone to do something, and signature of parties that say they will actually do it. |
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Manchurian War
Chaco War Italian-Ethopian war |
All wars where the League of Nations failed to act.
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UN General Assembly
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-meets in NYC
-main deliberative body, legistatlor -192 members -1 vote each, majority rules, except on IMPORT ISSUES which require 2/3 vote |
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US Security Council/veto
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-deals with issues of war and peace
-15 members -5 permanent with veto power: US, Russia, Great Britain, France, China -10 nonpermanent, no veto power, serve 2 year terms -controversy: permanent members |
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UN Secretariat
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-run by Secretary General
-bureaucracy -8,000 people working, 8,000 with temp positiions -budget |
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trends in UN membership
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how many people are in the UN and how many people are now in the UN. 50 members up to 100+ members. Increased. Who are the members? Beginning, all mostly US allies. Up to 1960. 1980s or 1990s. US allies do not make up a majority of membership. US now doesn’t win as often in the general assembly. We use the veto more often because it is our greatest source of power. Lots of people unaligned, and looking at self-interest. Sometimes vote with US, sometimes vote against.
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Financial veto
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You can say "I won't pay" and that gives you power. Big powers pay lots of dues
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preventative diplomacy/peacekeeping
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-didn't have to name an aggressor
-in cases that it looked like 2 countries were going to fight, UN would send in peaces keeping, a symbol saying to the 2 sides, talk it out instead of fighting -volunteer army |
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limitations of international law and organization
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No higher power, no police force, based on treaties, can't enforce treaties, etc.
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deterrence vs compellence and preemption
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deterrence- make someone NOT do something
compellence- make someone do something (harder) |
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ways of deterring
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-punishment
capability, credibility, and communication |
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Preemption
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A quick first strike attack that seeks to destroy an enemy before they can find a way to retaliate
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Preventative
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A war of prevention.
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Preemption vs Preventative
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Take out the enemy quickly v attacking before they even get into power
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Credible threat of punishment
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convincing the other side you have a weapon and are willing to use it
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massive retaliation
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a policy of responding to any act of aggression with the most destructive capabilities available, including nuclear weapons
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mutual assured destruction (MAD)
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balance of terror. Cold War
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second strike capability
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a state's capacity to retaliate after absorbing a first-strike attack with weapons of mass destruction
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TRIAD
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ICBMs, SLBMs, and Bombers. Triad makes it awfully difficult for someone to bomb you and get away with it
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ICBM
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InterContinental Ballistic Missiles- can fly from one continent and then hit another
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SLBMs
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Submarine Launched Ballistic Missiles
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NUTS
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Nuclear Utilization Theorists. Like any other weapon, just make a bigger noise. Humans always use the weapons they make. We have to think and plan for actually using the weapons so they will be careful not to use their own nuclear weapons.
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nuclear winter
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The end of the world. nuclear blast goes off, mushroom cloud, lots of debree, blocks sunlight, temp of earth drops suddenly, end of the world if plant life dies.
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counter value
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Maybe I can deter you better by threatening the thing you value the most (population)
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force targeting/ counter-force targeting
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Launching against military bases or installations
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brinkmanship
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threatening to pull someone over the brink and into nuclear war
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nuclear proliferation
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spread of nuclear weapons into other countries. US Russia China France Britain France Israel, Pakistan,
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launch on warning
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a policy that wouldn't have been a good idea. The idea of launching simply on a warning of attack.
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SDI
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Strategic Defense Initiative. Lazer-beam satellite weapons around the world to shoot down missiles. STAR WARS
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Dense pack
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Putting all your missiles in one place. "We let them attack our cities, but at least they don't attack our missiles!"
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ASAT
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Antisatellite weapon. Weapon designed to knock out satellite
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ABM
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Missile that can shoot another missile
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MIRV
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Multiple Independently Targeted Missile. Multiple warheads on top of one missile
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Arms Race
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Racing to get the most weapons.
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Unilateral arms control
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A form of arms control. When countries form an agreement and reduce their arms....??? FIND OUT!
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Forced arms control
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Another form of arms control. Ex. When everyone beat Germany...??? FIND OUT!
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Mutual arms control
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A form of arms control. When countries form an agreement and reduce their arms....??? FIND OUT!
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Tacit agreement
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both sides understand that signing the treaty is in both of their interests
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Reciprocity
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Find out.
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Verification
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Find out.
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Reconnaissance satellites
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Find out.
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SALT treaty
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LLLLimit. Freeze nuclear weapon growth
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START Treaty
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arms control. Control offensive arms race in nuclear weapons Stragetic Arm RRRReduction Treaty- lower number of weapons both sides had.
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Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty
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All countries that already had nuclear weapons promising to not give to any other country that doesn't already have nuclear weapons
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general disarmament
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generally reduce your arms
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Specific disarmament
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Specific weapon in a specific location. Ex. great lakes and that one warship
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FOBs
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functional orbital Bombardment system. No one did it because we knew the other side would do it. No one likes that
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INF Treaty
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treaty was a disarmament. Specific weapons in specific place. Agreed to get rid of intermediate weapons in Europe
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Rush-Bagot Treaty
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eliminate war ships on the Great lakes. Getting rid of a specific type of weapon in a specific place
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