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71 Cards in this Set

  • Front
  • Back
What does "AE"? stand for?
“Analogical
Explanation”
What six analogies can determine Player X's response to situation Y?
1) what is and is not part of Y.
2) the stakes involved in Y.
3) prescribed and proscribed responses to Y.
4) the probability of success of various responses to Y.
5) the morality of various responses to Y.
6) the risks and costs of various responses to Y.
What is the main advantage of Khong's AE approach?
This AE approach explicates decision-makers’ use of analogies more fully than
standard approaches to analogies do.
Is the AE approach consistent with current theories of cognitive psychology?
Yes, it followes the general trend of humans coping with ungainly quantities of information (i.e., the real world) by reducing it to simpler, more comprehensible forms (i.e., the analogy).
According to Khong, what is the difference between Schema and Analogies?
- an “analogy” is a comparison of the given case to a specific case in the past.
- “schema” is a comparison with a spectrum of generally similar past cases
What is the thesis of Analogies at war?
suggests that analogies are cognitive devices that ‘help’ policymakers perform six diagnostic tasks central to political decision-making. Analogies (1) help define the nature of the situation confronting the policymaker, (2) help assess the stakes, and (3) provide prescriptions. They help evaluate alternative options by (4) predicting their chances of success, (5) evaluating their moral rightness, and (6) warning about dangers associated with the options.
According to Khong, what is one problem of decision-makers sometimes employing top-down processing?
They construct facts to fit their analogy, instead of their analogy to fit the facts.
Why does Khong consider U.S. policy towards Vietnam a particularly valuable test case for his theory?
it is especially unlikely to conform to his predictions.
What is Khong's three most important methodolical steps?
1) “identification of the most important analogies,
2) “specification of what these analogies ‘teach’ and what constitutes acceptable evidence that
their lessons were taken seriously, and
3) “documentation of the role of each analogy in the policy process and assessment of how consistent its lessons are with the options chosen.”
What does Khong considers – on the basis of various letters,
interviews, and other primary sources particularly about LBJ and Secretary of State Rusk – to be the most
relevant analogy for explaining the U.S. grand strategy???
Khong applies his methods in this chapter to the analogy between the Vietnam situation in 1965
and Neville Chamberlain’s situation with respect to Hitler in the 1930’s. This analogy would prescribe
the eschewing of appeasement and hence suggest some sort of escalation to prevent Ho Chi Minh and
communism from further expansion.
(Preston) What did Richard Neustadt observe about the inherent limitations on institutional powers?
That presidents are forced to rely upon their interpersonal skills and arts of persuasion to carry out their policies.
(Preston) Name one personality characteristic which has been extensively studied and linked to specific types of behavior and interactonal styles with others.
The need for power (or dominance)
(Preston) Name one individual characteristic which has a significant impact upon the nature of decision making, style of leadership, assessment of risk, an character of general information processing within decision groups.
Cognitive complexity of decision makers.
(Preston) What is the cognitive complexity of decision makers sometimes linked to?
How attentive or sensitive leaders are to information from (or nuances within) their surrounding political or policy information.
(Preston) Name one factor that has a significant impact upon presidential style, the nature of advisory group interactions, and how forcefully leaders assert their own positions on policy issues.
Prior Policy Experience/Expertise
Which three main things does (Preston) outline as important?
1. The need for power.
2. Cognitive complexity.
3. Prior Policy Experience/Expertise.
(Preston) How can we measure Leaders' Characteristics?
Using Margaret Hermann's (1983) Personality Assessment-at-a-Distance (PAD) approach.
(Preston) What does PAD mean?
Personality Assessment-at-a-Distance
When is the PAD approach from?
1983
Who created the PAD approach?
Margaret Hermann
(Preston) What is the PAD approach?
The Personality Assessment-at-a-Distance (PAD approach is a method utilizing content analysis of the spontaneous interview rsponses by political leaders across differing time periods, audiences, and substantive topic areas to construct detailed personality profiles of individuals
(Preston) Which 8 traits does the PAD approach have?
1. Need for power.
2. Need for affiliation.
3. Ethnocentricm
4. Locus of control
5. Complexity
6. Self-confidence
7. Distrust of others
8. Task/interpersonal emphasis
(Preston) PAD:

1. Need for (...).
2. (...) for affiliation.
3. Ethno(...)
4. (...) of control
5. Complexity
6. (...)-confidence
7. Distrust of (...)
8. (...)/(...) emphasis
1. Need for power.
2. Need for affiliation.
3. Ethnocentricm
4. Locus of control
5. Complexity
6. Self-confidence
7. Distrust of others
8. Task/interpersonal emphasis
(Preston; Typology)
Director
High prior policy experience/expertise.
High need for power
(Preston; Typology)
Magistrate
Low prior policy experience/expertise.
High need for power
(Preston; Typology)
Example of Director:
Foreign Policy: (...)
Domestic policy: (...)
Foreign Policy: Kennedy and Eisenhower.
Domestic policy: Johnson and Truman.
(Preston; Typology)
Example of Magistrate:
Foreign Policy: (...)
Domestic policy: (...)
Foreign Policy: Johnson and Truman.
Domestic policy: Kennedy and Eisenhower.
(Preston; Typology)
Example of High need for power and high prior policy experience leaders:
Foreign Policy: (...)
Domestic policy: (...)
Foreign Policy: Kennedy and Eisenhower.
Domestic policy: Johnson and Truman.
(Preston; Typolocy)
Example of high need for power and low prior policy experience leaders:
Foreign Policy: (...)
Domestic policy: (...)
Foreign Policy: Johnson and Truman.
Domestic policy: Kennedy and Eisenhower.
(Preston; Typology)
What are characteristics of Director?
- Activist Presidential Style
- Decision making centralized within tight inner circle.
- Preference for direct personal control for final policy decision.
- Preference for direct personal involvement throughout policy process (agenda-setting, formulation, deliberation, decision and implementation.)
(Preston) What is the PAD approach?
The Personality Assessment-at-a-Distance (PAD approach is a method utilizing content analysis of the spontaneous interview rsponses by political leaders across differing time periods, audiences, and substantive topic areas to construct detailed personality profiles of individuals
(Preston) Which 8 traits does the PAD approach have?
1. Need for power.
2. Need for affiliation.
3. Ethnocentricm
4. Locus of control
5. Complexity
6. Self-confidence
7. Distrust of others
8. Task/interpersonal emphasis
(Preston) PAD:

1. Need for (...).
2. (...) for affiliation.
3. Ethno(...)
4. (...) of control
5. Complexity
6. (...)-confidence
7. Distrust of (...)
8. (...)/(...) emphasis
1. Need for power.
2. Need for affiliation.
3. Ethnocentricm
4. Locus of control
5. Complexity
6. Self-confidence
7. Distrust of others
8. Task/interpersonal emphasis
(Preston; Typology)
Director
High prior policy experience/expertise.
High need for power
(Preston; Typology)
Magistrate
Low prior policy experience/expertise.
High need for power
(Preston; Typology)
Example of Director:
Foreign Policy: (...)
Domestic policy: (...)
Foreign Policy: Kennedy and Eisenhower.
Domestic policy: Johnson and Truman.
(Preston; Typology)
Example of Magistrate:
Foreign Policy: (...)
Domestic policy: (...)
Foreign Policy: Johnson and Truman.
Domestic policy: Kennedy and Eisenhower.
(Preston; Typology)
Example of High need for power and high prior policy experience leaders:
Foreign Policy: (...)
Domestic policy: (...)
Foreign Policy: Kennedy and Eisenhower.
Domestic policy: Johnson and Truman.
(Preston; Typolocy)
Example of high need for power and low prior policy experience leaders:
Foreign Policy: (...)
Domestic policy: (...)
Foreign Policy: Johnson and Truman.
Domestic policy: Kennedy and Eisenhower.
(Preston; Typology)
What are characteristics of Director?
- Activist Presidential Style
- Decision making centralized within tight inner circle.
- Preference for direct personal control for final policy decision.
- Preference for direct personal involvement throughout policy process (agenda-setting, formulation, deliberation, decision and implementation.)
(Preston; Typology)
Which president type has these characteristics:
- Activist Presidential Style
- Decision making centralized within tight inner circle.
- Preference for direct personal control for final policy decision.
- Preference for direct personal involvement throughout policy process (agenda-setting, formulation, deliberation, decision and implementation.)
Director.
What are characteristics of the Magistrate?
- Relegative, less-activist presidential style;
- Decision making centralized within tight inner circle.
- Preference for direct personal control over final policy decisions, but limited need for personal involvement throughout policy process.
Which president type has these characteristics:
- Relegative, less-activist presidential style;
- Decision making centralized within tight inner circle.
- Preference for direct personal control over final policy decisions, but limited need for personal involvement throughout policy process.
Magistrate
(Preston, Typology) What was Kennedy in
Foreign Policy:
Director
(Preston, Typology) What was Kennedy in
Domestic Policy:
Magistate
(Preston, Typology) What was Johnson in
Foreign Policy:
Magistrate
(Preston, Typology) What was Johnson in
Domestic Policy:
Director
(Preston; Typology)
What is the Navigator?
- Vigilant, highly sensitive presidential style
High general need for information and high personal interest/expertise in policy area
- Active collector of information from policy environment.
Which presidential type have these chartacteristics:
- Vigilant, highly sensitive presidential style
High general need for information and high personal interest/expertise in policy area
- Active collector of information from policy environment.
Navigator
True/False: Kennedy was a Navigator in Domestic Policy.
False. Kennedy was a Navigator in Foreign Policy.
WHat are high complexity and high prior policy experience leaders?
Navigators
Kennedy was a Navigator in Foreign Policy. What does this mean?
1. He had high complexity and high prior policy experience.
He was:
- Vigilant, highly sensitive presidential style
High general need for information and high personal interest/expertise in policy area
- Active collector of information from policy environment.
Typology: What was Kennedy?
Foreign Policy: Director.
Domestic Policy: Magistrate.
Foreign Policy: Navigator.
Domestic Policy: Observer
Typology: What was Johnson?
Foreign Policy: Magistrate.
Domestic Policy: Director.
Domestic Policy: Sentinel
Foreign Policy: Johnson
According to Preston, which characteristics did Kennedy have?
In Foreign Policy, Kennedy:
1. Had an activist presidential style
2. D
One limitation of the Preston's Contingency (Typology) Aproach:
Presidential leadership styles can change over time.
Who had the Contingency Approach?
Preston.
Thesis of Analogies at War: Khong suggests that (...) are cognitive devices that ‘help’ policymakers perform six diagnostic tasks central to political decision-making. Analogies (1) help (...) the nature of the situation confronting the policymaker, (2) help assess the (...), and (3) provide (...). They help evaluate alternative (...) by (4) (...) their chances of (...), (5) evaluating their (...) rightness, and (6) warning about (...) associated with the options.
Khong suggests that analogies are cognitive devices that ‘help’ policymakers perform six diagnostic tasks central to political decision-making. Analogies (1) help define the nature of the situation confronting the policymaker, (2) help assess the stakes, and (3) provide prescriptions. They help evaluate alternative options by (4) predicting their chances of success, (5) evaluating their moral rightness, and (6) warning about dangers associated with the options.
Preston/JFK
What kind of personality type was JFK in the Cuban Missile Crisis? (Name 2)
Director-Navigator
Preston/JFK
Name one strength of JFK in the Cuban Missile Crisis
JFK's foreign policy style was shaped by his prior foreign policy experience & his strong interest in foreign affairs.
Preston/JFK
JFK had an inner (..)) emphasizing (...) involvement and control over (...).
JFK had an inner circle emphasizing personal involvement and control over policy.
Preston/JFK
True/False: Kennedy, with his limited foreign policy expertise, often delegated enormously to expert advisers.
FALSE. Kennedy, with his extensive foreign policy expertise, did NOT defer policy questions or policy formulation to expert advisers.
Preston/JFK
High need for (...)
(...) to context
High need for Information
Sensitivity to context.
Preston/JFK
True/False: Kennedy often sought alternative viewpoints and information.
True.
Preston/JFK
True/False: Kennedy was not interested in multiple perspectives on policy.
False.
Preston/JFK
True/False: Like Truman, Kennedy often engaged in "black-and-white" information processing.
False. Kennedy did not often engage in black-and.-white information processing, utilize simplistic stereotypes, or demonstrate a heavy emphasis toward the use of historical analogies in attempting to understand the course of ongoing events.
Preston/JFK
Did JFK have a more or a less decisive decision style
Less decisive decision style
Preston/JFK
Did JFK have a high or a low self-monitoring and attention to interpersonal relations
JFK had a high-self monitoring and attention to interpersonal relations.
Preston/JFK
JFK had a high self-(...), and attention to interpersonal (...).
JFK had a high self-monitoring and attention to interpersonal relations.
Preston/JFK on Conflicts:
a) Kennedy wanted staff politicking for his favor.
b) Kennedy kept his relations with his aides on a multilateral basis.
c) Kennedy did not believe in a competitive advisory process.
d) Kennedy allowed arguments to get contentious.
c) Kennedy did not believe in a competitive advisory process.
Preston/JFK
President Kennedy's leadership (..) and foreign policy behavior were (...) with the expectations of the Director-(...).
President Kennedy's leadership style and foreign policy behavior were consistent with the expectations of the Director-Navigator.