Crystal Ball Case Study

Decent Essays
Register to read the introduction… Answer: TRUE
Page Ref: 440
Topic: Simulation of an Inventory Problem Using Crystal Ball
Difficulty: Moderate

25) A Decision Table is used in Excel to try at most 2 values automatically for a parameter in the model.
Answer: FALSE
Page Ref: 443
Topic: Simulation of an Inventory Problem Using Crystal Ball
Difficulty: Challenging
26) In Excel, the function =NORMINV(RAND(),100,5) will return a normally distributed random number with a standard deviation of 100 and mean of 5.
Answer: FALSE
Page Ref: 415
Topic: Role of Computers in Simulation
Difficulty: Moderate

27) A binomial distribution can yield only two outcomes.
Answer: TRUE
Page Ref: 416
Topic: Role of Computers in Simulation
Difficulty: Moderate

28) Monte Carlo simulation and operational gaming are the only two categories of simulation.
Answer: FALSE
Page Ref: 452
Topic: Other Types of Simulation Models
Difficulty: Moderate
10.2 Excel Problems

1) Cheap Rentals has collected the following information on the demand for compact cars over the last 30 days. Daily Demand
10
11
12
13
14
Number of Days
5
7
8
5
5

a. Use the historical data to estimate the probability distribution of demand for compact
…show more content…
E(X) = 0(0.1333) + 1(0.2000) + 3(0.3333) + 4(0.2000) = 2.0667
c.

d. Empirical mean = 2.05 and theoretical mean = 2.0667
3) Consider the event of tossing three coins. You are interested in computing the probability of getting three heads. Use Crystal Ball to simulate the event of tossing three coins 1000 times.
a. What is the theoretical probability of getting three heads?
b. What is the percentage of getting three heads using the 1000 simulated values?

Answer:

4) Consider the following game involving a single die. Someone offers to give you $1 if you toss a 1, $2 if you toss a 2, $3 if you toss a 3, etc. In other words, your earnings will correspond to the face value of the die. However, to play this game, each toss will cost you $2.50. You decide to use Crystal Ball to simulate your net earnings per toss based on 1000 simulation runs. What is your mean net earning per toss based on the simulated sample values?

Answer:

Note: Theoretically, the mean earnings per toss is $3.50 - $2.50 = $1.00.
5) In a game of backgammon, your movement is based on the outcome that you get from rolling a pair of dice. Tossing a pair of sixes on the very first roll will give you a significant initial advantage over your opponent. Use Crystal Ball to determine the odds of rolling a pair of sixes in 1000 simulation

Related Documents

  • Improved Essays

    Nt1310 Unit 4 Case Study

    • 424 Words
    • 2 Pages

    For the ounces of bottles in the sample the standard deviation is 0.55. Construct a 95% Confidence Interval…

    • 424 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Penny Lab

    • 907 Words
    • 4 Pages

    so therefore it’s correct. The average of heads was 18.03 while tails was 17.13. The difference between the two averages was 0.9 drops of water, which isn’t really a full drop of water. Question:…

    • 907 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    2.04 Investing Assignment

    • 1002 Words
    • 5 Pages

    2.04 Investing assignment Jarrett Touchton Step 1) Spin the wheel to see how much money you have to invest. What were your results? Inheriting $10,000_____________________________________________________ Step 2) Fill out investing chart.…

    • 1002 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Collectively the pennies represent a radioactive sample, and each penny is an atom. Because each penny has a 50% chance of decaying it can represent a radioactive atom. When the atoms are grouped together it becomes a sample of a radioactive element. For the simulation to work one has to assume that a coin toss has a 50% chance of landing on heads and a 50% chance of landing on tails.…

    • 408 Words
    • 2 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Malvolio’s yearnings for power lead him to wildly manipulate his surroundings. In an effort to take revenge against Malvolio for ruining their party, Maria and Toby decide to write a letter from “Olivia” confessing her love for Malvolio. Upon finding the letter, Malvolio reads a portion at the end with a riddle. He tries desperately to crack the riddle in his favor: RIDDLE. I may command where I adore.…

    • 506 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Great Essays

    Current Market Conditions Paper To analyze the current market value of the company Walgreen there are other topics that need to be addressed such as is included in this report. They are as follows: Market Structure…

    • 2598 Words
    • 11 Pages
    Great Essays
  • Great Essays

    1. State the title of your research simulation High-quality child care important is important for a child’s Development. 2. Describe the major topic and the overall goal…

    • 1251 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Great Essays
  • Improved Essays

    Behavior Quiz

    • 535 Words
    • 3 Pages

    The target behavior is _______smoking________, which I am attempting to: a) decrease b) increase (circle one) 2. How are you measuring the behavior? The behavior is being measured by how many cigarettes she smokes per day. 3.…

    • 535 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    When playing online Bingo for cash, nothing is quite so destructively seductive as math. One so-called "system" after another purports to tell players how to clean up in Bingo for cash games time after time, just by knowing which cards to reject and which to buy. One game after another demonstrates that these systems seem sound in theory but almost always crumble in practice with a narrow few exceptions. In fact, there's only one even somewhat-solid modus operandi for picking Bingo for cash cards.…

    • 619 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Great Essays

    3 TTH $8 1/8=0.125 4 TTTH -$16 1/16=0.0625 5 TTTTH $32 1/32=0.03125 --- --- --- --- N n(T….. T)H (1)^(n+1)*2^n P(x) Expected values = 2x (1/2) + -4 x (1/4) + 8 x (1/8) + -16 x (1/16) + 32 x (1/32) + . . . . . = 1-1+1-1+1- . . . . .…

    • 1230 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Great Essays
  • Improved Essays

    The chosen project, data set, and recommendation(s) stemmed from a needs assessment done as a multidisciplinary approach to ensuring that LMHS meets the current and future needs of its medical staff. The identified concern was that the current locations for trainings, nursing residency education, orientation, and other meetings have had their locations renovated into patient care areas. This places a strain on the healthcare system as these scheduled meetings are necessary to ensure communications are disseminated, new employees are properly trained and oriented to current culture, and leadership is able to continue a forward thought process. These needs were isolated through meetings with each department, captured, and fed into an online survey…

    • 717 Words
    • 3 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Great Essays

    The task As an assistant manager of an insurance company my task is the prediction of which customers are potentially interested in a caravan insurance policy based on both socio-geographic and personalized data. For model building, data of 4000 customers and 86 variables, including the target variable was available. Also, give an explanation why these customers would buy the caravan insurance company. Make my insights useful and action in order to report it to my boss with no prior knowledge of computational learning technology.…

    • 942 Words
    • 4 Pages
    Great Essays
  • Improved Essays

    5.6 Dacia Renault company strategy The Renault Group is presenting in 118 countries and functioning in five major regions: Europe, Euromed, Russia, Asia, Africa and the Americas. The Renault Group now has more than 129,000 employees, who are working in 139 industrial sites. With regards to the environmental protection, all those industrial sites have ISO 14001 certification. Renault owns three brands: Renault, Samsung and Dacia, the Group design and produce personal vehicles and commercial vehicles.…

    • 1318 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Improved Essays

    The HEB School of Business stock track simulation that we went through in class was a great learning experience. It taught all members of the class how to actually make trades, and it identified the risk and rewards that correlate with these trades. Throughout this simulation each member of the class was given $1,000,000 to invest in whatever stocks they wanted to. The Stock Track simulation stretched from September 1st through November 13th to see how much money each member of the class could make in the stock market. Each member also used various strategies to try to gain an advantage over the other members of the class.…

    • 1221 Words
    • 5 Pages
    Improved Essays
  • Superior Essays

    Putting eggs in multiple baskets is obviously not literal, but it paints a picture for managing a business during uncertainty and turbulence. In any situation where the future is an important focus in business, which should be always, just one prediction will not be enough most of the time. Actually, that one prediction that a manager will make about his business could very well be wrong. The future always unfolds differently. Therefore, exploring multiple predictions is a great idea.…

    • 1439 Words
    • 6 Pages
    Superior Essays